New Research Reports

Strong position in infrastructure growth

We recommend a BUY on the stock for a target price of Rs 1,166/ share implying an upside of 10% from CMP.

Revenue increased by 39.6% YoY (+13.0% QoQ) to INR 4,688 Mn, driven by strong volume growth. EBITDA grew by 54.3% YoY (+19.6% QoQ) to INR 801 Mn, on the back of robust revenue growth and strong margin expansion; EBITDA margin stood at 17.1% (+163bps YoY/ +95bps QoQ).

Supreme Industries’ Q4 revenue remained muted at Rs30bn, up just 0.6% y/y, as overall volumes sold rose a meagre 2.3% y/y. Profitability was impacted as PVC pricing environment remained uncertain, with a downward bias deferring filling of channel inventory and under absorption of fixed overheads.

Consolidated revenue stood at Rs. 3,027 crore, flat y-o-y, due to a 2% y-o-y fall in realisations, while total volumes grew at just 2.3% y-o-y in Q4FY25.

Supreme Industries (SI) reported Q4FY25 blended plastics volume growth of 2.3% YoY (6-year CAGR of 9.8%) with pipes segment reporting modest 2.2% YoY volume growth (6-year CAGR of 11.7%) on a high base YoY. Blended EBIT/kg contracted 23.1% YoY to INR16.5 (+19.2% QoQ) as pipes EBIT/kg fell 27.8% YoY to INR 13.3 (+22.3% QoQ), partly due to inventory losses.

We maintain our BUY recommendation on the stock.

Our recent interactions with industry participants and defense consultants focused on the need to put defense and aerospace projects on a fast track, the potential bidders for future tenders for MRFA, the potential impact on the overall defense budget kitty if such large deals were to go through.

We have changed our FY26E/FY27E EPS by -1.2%/+2.4% led by weakness in global demand in the short-term. Hence, we have reduced P/E multiple
to 30x (34x earlier). We value Cyient DLM at 30x P/E on FY27E EPS, implying a target price of INR 661.0 per share and reiterate our “BUY” rating on the stock.