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Healthy credit growth driven by secured segments; deposits growth led by healthy growth in CASA deposits

PAT beat our estimates by 5% mainly aided by govt-guaranteed SRs; return ratios stay steady with RoA/RoE of 1.1/17.3% in FY25

City Union Bank (CUBK) reported Q4FY25 results broadly in line with our estimates, with a beat on the advances/deposits (advances/deposits were 2%/5% higher than our estimates). The MSME/JL non-agri segment mainly led the growth in advances, while the wholesale segment remained muted.

SBI saw a decent quarter; while core PPoP beat PLe by 11.3% due to better fees and TWO recoveries, asset quality was soft as provisions were higher at 66bps (PLe 25bps) since (1) write-offs/ageing provisions were more and (2) strong TWO recovery and SR reversal (Rs39bn) provided leeway to front load credit costs. Credit growth is guided to be above system in FY26E; we are factoring a 12% CAGR over FY25-27E. Opex for FY25 was flat at Rs1.18trn due to 9.7% decline in staff cost. For FY26, bank has guided a cost to income of 50-51% with...

GPL’s pre-sales volume for 4QFY25 declined 8% YoY (+85% QoQ) to 7.5msf, resulting in the highest-ever quarterly pre-sales value of INR101.6b (+7% YoY/87% QoQ, 32% above estimates). In FY25, pre-sales were up 31% YoY to INR294b (9% above estimates and 9% above guidance).

Indian Bank (INBK) reported a 4QFY25 PAT of INR29.6b (up 31.6% YoY/ 3.6% QoQ; 4% beat), driven by lower provisions and higher other income. NII grew 6.2% YoY/flat QoQ (in line) at INR63.9b. NIM dipped 8bp QoQ to 3.37% during the quarter.

IOCL’s 4QFY25 EBITDA was a 110% beat on est., driven by higher-thanestimated GRM (USD8/bbl) as well as marketing margins (INR5.9/lit). With tax rate coming in below est., resultant PAT stood 5x above est. at INR72.6b.

Avenue Supermarts (DMART) posted weak results in 4QFY25 as standalone EBITDA inched up 4% YoY (9% miss) due to weaker gross margin (GM; -25bp YoY) and higher cost of retailing (CoR; opex up 12% YoY on a per sqft basis).

Kotak Mahindra Bank (KMB) reported a standalone 4QFY25 PAT of ~INR35.5b (6% miss on MOFSLe), because of higher provisions (to shore up PCR, partly due to AIF provisions of INR560m). Consol. PAT stood at INR49b (5% QoQ growth and 8% YoY decline) in 4QFY25.

State Bank of India (SBIN) reported a 4QFY25 PAT of INR186.4b (in line) with robust treasury gains offsetting higher opex and provisions. NII grew 3% YoY to INR427.7b (in line). NIM stood at 3.0% (1bp QoQ dip) with domestic NIM holding stable at 3.15%.