Strategy Capital Market - September 2025
IDBI Capital
| Summary | Date | Stock | Author | LTP | Target | Price at reco (Change since reco%) |
Upside(%) | Type | Report | Discuss | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep 2025 | Market Movement |
IDBI Capital
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Strategy Note
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| 02 Sep 2025 | Market Movement |
IDBI Capital
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Strategy Note
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| 01 Sep 2025 | Banks |
IDBI Capital
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Sector Update
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Banks Sectoral Credit: Sector Report
IDBI Capital
Banking sector (non-food) credit growth remains muted in July'25 at ~0.1% MoM (9.9% YoY) vs ~1.1% MoM (9.3% YoY) in June'25. The latest sectoral deployment data showed that credit growth is muted in agri, industry and services sectors, Agri loans (yoy) growth was 7.3% in July'25 vs 6.8% in June'25. Loans to industries yoy growth increased to 6.1% in July'25 vs 5.5% in June'25. Services sector growth increased to 11.1% vs 9.0% YoY in June'25. Growth in loans to NBFCs moderated to 2.6% YoY in July'25 vs 2.6% YoY in June'25. However, loan to retail segment slightly moderated to ~11.4% YoY in July'25 vs 12.1% in June'25. Unsecured loan portfolio...
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| 29 Aug 2025 | Other Financial Services |
IDBI Capital
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Sector Update
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Credit Card Data Update: Sector Report
IDBI Capital
Total card spends saw a strong rebound during July'25, coming in at 1.94L Cr versus 1.83L Cr in June'25. Credit card spends rose by ~6% MoM (vs a ~3.6% decline in June'25), though YoY growth moderated to ~12.2% (vs ~15.2% in June'25). Cards-inforce stood at ~111.6Mn as of July'25, up ~6.8% YoY but broadly stable on a MoM basis. Net new card additions picked up to ~4.2 lakhs (vs just ~0.07 lakhs in June'25), led by HDFCB (~3.15 lakhs), AXISB (~1.2 lakhs) and SBI (~0.8 lakh). Transaction volumes also improved, rising ~6% MoM (vs ~2% decline in June'25) and ~27% YoY (vs ~28% in June'25). Festive seasonality and steadier macros point to firmer spends in the coming months, with UPI-linked credit lines expanding acceptance at QR rails and...
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| 20 Aug 2025 | TCS |
IDBI Capital
|
3177.50 | 3450.00 | 3098.60 (2.55%) | 8.58 |
Buy
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| 19 Aug 2025 | Ador Welding |
IDBI Capital
|
1065.50 | 1151.00 | 915.05 (16.44%) | Target met |
Buy
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Ador Welding: Q1FY26 Result Review
IDBI Capital
Ador Welding (AWL) reported poor financial performance in Q1FY26 primarily impacted by write offs pertaining to the ONGC Uran Flares Project. Although the Rs 279 mn of provision related to the ONGC project is a significant negative, we expect this to factor in the major operating loss for the said project in FY26. We fine tune our estimates downwards to factor in the same.FY27 should see the start of improved profitability reflecting only core business performance without any impact of the project business. Valuations at 14xFY27 expected earnings are attractive and we believe the company is gearing up to tap the...
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| 19 Aug 2025 | Commodities |
IDBI Capital
|
Sector Update
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Commodity Price Update: Sector Update
IDBI Capital
Indian HRC: Indian HRC prices remained flat WoW to Rs 50,000/tonne. Meanwhile, DGTR has finalised a three-year safeguard duty on flat steel products, set at 12% in the first year, 11.5% in the second year and 11% in the third year. Billet-Ex-Raipur: Billet prices remained flat WoW at Rs 37,500/tonne, amid subdued demand as buyer adopted wait and watch approach. Chinese HRC: Chinese HRC prices increased by 3.1% WoW to...
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| 17 Aug 2025 | HG Infra Engineering |
IDBI Capital
|
853.10 | 1235.00 | 963.00 (-11.41%) | 44.77 |
Buy
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H.G. Infra Engineering: Q1FY26 Result Review
IDBI Capital
HG Infra (HGIEL) Q1FY26 performance was mixed, with a softer undertone despite healthy standalone revenue growth. On a standalone basis, revenue came in at Rs17,092.4mn, representing a 13.5% YoY increase but a 13.4% sequential decline. Profit after tax fell 10.1% YoY and 40.9% QoQ to Rs1,254.7 mn, as EBITDA margins contracted to 13.8% from 15.9% a year earlier. The fall in profitability was largely driven by a Rs43 crore one-off margin correction in the Ganga Expressway project due to a change in law provision, alongside higher finance costs and impairment provisions on receivables. Standalone PAT...
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| 17 Aug 2025 | Bata |
IDBI Capital
|
966.65 | 1147.00 | 1120.30 (-13.72%) | Target met |
Hold
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Bata India: Q1FY26 Result Review
IDBI Capital
Bata India's (Bata) Q1FY26 result was in-line with our estimates on key parameters. Q1FY26 was relatively tough, showing only flattish growth, though it seemed slightly better than the previous quarter. There is still stress in the mass segment, particularly the middle and mass segments of the consumer base. Consumers in the target middle-class segment have experienced a pinch due to inflation, necessitating a focus on value for money in products. Further, there is a structural shift in consumer behaviour towards online platforms, leading to growth in e-commerce and direct-to-consumer (D2C) brands. The...
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| 17 Aug 2025 | Somany Ceramics |
IDBI Capital
|
420.10 | 557.00 | 503.50 (-16.56%) | 32.59 |
Hold
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Somany Ceramics: Q1FY26 Result Review
IDBI Capital
Somany Ceramics Ltd.'s (SCL) Q1FY26 result was broadly in-line with our estimates on key parameters. Market demand during Q1FY26 was impacted by lower sales in India. Exports also faced pressure in Q1 FY26. Further, sales of some low product mix items and old/deleted stock, which led to a reduction in realization, though a small price increase was implemented in July. The management guided that the focus is on innovation and better products to move up the value chain. New product launches are planned for September and after Diwali. Despite weak Q1, the management is not changing its guidance for...
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