Emkay Broker Research reports

Fino posted a slight 2.5% beat on PAT at Rs240mn, owing to strong momentum in CASA and the DPS segment, and partly offset by continued cannibalization of the remittance business.

AGEL’s consolidated Q4FY25 EBITDA rose 31% YoY to Rs24bn (up 28% QoQ), led by 30% YoY uptick in operational capacity and improvement in CUF (Khavda achieved 32% in Q4), leading to 44% growth in sale of power.

We downgrade IIB to REDUCE from Add, cutting our TP by 9.4% to Rs725 (from Rs800). This is in view of the spate of top management resignations, including the MD & CEO, which should increase business/margin disruption including risk of another round of deposit run-down, impact on asset quality, middlemanagement attrition, and possibility of appointment of an RBI nominee on the Board as well as a PSU banker as MD & CEO (similar to Bandhan/RBL).

TVSL reported a strong Q4 with ~4.6% QoQ ASP growth and reported EBITDA margin of 14%, aided by recognition of PLI benefit for the full year; margins excl 9M PLI stood at 12.5% vs 11.9% in Q3 (2.3% ASP growth at ~Rs76,800 without considering 9M PLI).

MOFS continued its steady performance in Q4FY25 amid volatile markets and despite impact of the new F&O regulations, with operating PAT at Rs5.2bn (+4% YoY; -1% QoQ). However, treasury loss of Rs7.43bn resulted in reported consolidated loss (including OCI) of Rs2.2bn.

Go Digit’s Q4FY25 results were a mixed bag. Amid the volatile and difficult external environment in FY25, marked by EoM glidepath, no Motor TP tariff hike, sustained competition in Motor OD, and implementation of 1/n regulations for gross premium accounting, the company found it difficult to replicate its past success of accelerating growth with improving profitability.

L&T Finance (LTF) reported a weaker than estimated set of numbers, with changing asset composition and interest-rate cuts in MFI causing NIM compression (35bps QoQ).

Firstsource (FSOL) reported inline operating performance in Q4 – revenue grew 2.1% QoQ CC; EBITM expanded by 10bps QoQ to 11.2%. Growth was broadbased across verticals, except Diverse industries that saw seasonal weakness.

Poonawalla reported another patchy quarter (Q4) with elevated credit cost (3.03% of AUM) and opex (4.6% of AUM) pushing profitability materially lower (RoA of 0.76%).

MSIL reported ~9% YoY/5% QoQ lower EBITDA on Kharkhoda plant costs, higher advertising, and lumpy other expenses; margins declined by 113bps QoQ to 10.5%, with underlying margins adjusted for lumpy expenses at ~11.4% (~5% miss vs Consensus).

RBL continued with its clean-up drive in Q4 as it fully provides for the MFI NPA portfolio leading to historically lower NNPA at 0.3%. However, the bank utilized its contingent provision buffer of Rs2.7bn which along with nearly flat margins and strong card fees helped manage profitability, albeit negligible at Rs0.7bn.

SHFL’s Q4FY25 results were mixed – credit cost was elevated causing a PBT miss, which was offset by lower tax rate that led to in-line PAT.

DLPL reported a steady Q4, with EBITDA beating street/our estimates by 6% and adj PAT improving 34% on YoY basis. Strong performance in core markets (Delhi NCR), buoyed by network expansion, offset the persistent muted performance of Suburban (mid-single digit revenue growth).

Cyient reported weak operating performance in DET, in Q4. DET revenue degrew 3.0% QoQ (1.9% cc) to USD170mn. DET EBITM declined by 48bps QoQ to 13.0%, lower than our estimate.

PSYS reported a robust operating performance in Q4. Revenue growth of 4.5% QoQ CC was in-line, while EBITM of 15.6% was ahead of our estimate. Growth was predominantly led by BFSI and Hi-Tech while HLS stood flat.

We retain REDUCE on Nestlé India and Mar-26E TP of Rs2,300, on 60x P/E. We see demand stress persisting in a major part of the portfolio, with demand for milk products continuing to see impact of healthy price hikes (amid inflation) and competitive pressure in prepared dishes.

SBI Life reported an impressive performance for Q4FY25/FY25 with VNB margin at 30.5%/27.8%, respectively, clocking in 7.2% VNB growth for FY25.

MMFS logged muted growth/profitability in Q4FY25, with key numbers largely in line with our estimate; but PPoP and PAT were ~5% lower than consensus estimates. Despite the management’s persistent efforts and initiatives in recent years toward diversifying away from the wheels business, MMFS remained dominated by wheels – around 93% (PVs: ~40%).

AU SFB continues to grow its credit portfolio at a healthy pace, defying industry trend and the declining MFI/Card book. However, higher CoF and interest reversal on MFI/Card NPAs has led to continued margin correction (10bps QoQ).

We initiate coverage on Atul with BUY and TP of Rs8,500 (30x Mar-27E EPS). Atul has invested ~Rs20bn over FY22-24 toward capacity expansion in existing products like Liquid Epoxy Resin (50ktpa) and Caustic Soda (300tpd), and in the backward integration of some key products (MCA for 2,4 D).