Aarti’s Q4 EBITDA at Rs2.8bn (+9% QoQ; +12% YoY) was in line with our estimates. Management maintained FY25 EBITDA guidance at Rs14.5-17bn and increased volume guidance to 20-30% from 20-25% on better demand visibility.
Union Bank reported an 11% miss on PAT at Rs33bn (vs Emkay est.: Rs37bn) owing to impact of wage revision (Rs13.3bn) and tax expenses, which overrode the benefits from higher treasury income and reversal of NPI provisions.
MGL’s Q4FY24 SA EBITDA/PAT of Rs3.9bn/Rs2.7bn was 6%/10% lower than our expectation, mainly due to lower realization (higher industrial volume share) affecting gross margin and on slightly higher opex.
HPCL’s Q4FY24 SA EBITDA was 11% lower than expected at Rs48.7bn, mainly due to lower cracks & discounts, MR shutdown, and intermediate stock generation impact (USD1-1.5/bbl), as reported GRM was USD7/bbl vs our estimate of USD13.5/bbl.
BPCL clocked Q4FY24 EBITDA/APAT of Rs92.7/55.7bn – a sizable 17-18% beat each, driven by higher-than-expected implied marketing margin of ~Rs7/kg (at a 16% beat).
DLPL posted a robust quarter, with revenue growing 11% YoY on the back of sample volume increasing 9% YoY and Swasthfit contributing 24% to the topline.
We interacted with industry participants to get a better understanding of the Quick Commerce (QC) business. Key takeaways: a) QC companies have found good product market fit in metros and large cities.