New Research Reports

Sales +3% above Bloomberg 4QFY25 consensus/our est. EBITDA was in line with cons. and 1% above our est

Investors can expect increased activity in the primary market this week, with three SMEs launching their IPOs. Ather Energy will list on May 6, while four other SME IPOs will debut, following one that listed last week.

City Union Bank (CUBK) reported Q4FY25 results broadly in line with our estimates, with a beat on the advances/deposits (advances/deposits were 2%/5% higher than our estimates). The MSME/JL non-agri segment mainly led the growth in advances, while the wholesale segment remained muted.

Techno-Derivative Outlook

SBI saw a decent quarter; while core PPoP beat PLe by 11.3% due to better fees and TWO recoveries, asset quality was soft as provisions were higher at 66bps (PLe 25bps) since (1) write-offs/ageing provisions were more and (2) strong TWO recovery and SR reversal (Rs39bn) provided leeway to front load credit costs. Credit growth is guided to be above system in FY26E; we are factoring a 12% CAGR over FY25-27E. Opex for FY25 was flat at Rs1.18trn due to 9.7% decline in staff cost. For FY26, bank has guided a cost to income of 50-51% with...

Indian Oil Corporation (IOCL) reported an EBITDA of Rs135.7bn, up 90.7% QoQ (PLe: Rs68.2bn, BBGe:Rs78.7bn). Adj PAT came in at Rs72.6bn (up 231% QoQ, PLe: Rs17.5bn, BBGe:Rs14.7bn). There was an exceptional gain of Rs10.5mn for VAT input tax credit. Reported GRM came in at US$7.85/bbl, up 166% QoQ (PLe: US$6/bbl). GMM stood at Rs6.8/ltr (PLe:Rs3.5/ltr). In Q1-TD, gross margin on petrol/diesel has risen to Rs12.3/9.7/ltr. However, average Singapore GRM continues to remain weak at US$3/bbl and the company is likely to report...

Marketing inventory gain for Q4FY25 at Rs5.23bn Bharat Petroleum Corporation (BPCL) reported better-than-expected Q4FY25 results with EBITDA of Rs77.6bn (up 2.4% QoQ, PLe: Rs35.7bn, BBGe: Rs57.9bn). Adj PAT came in at Rs45.5bn (down 2.1% QoQ, PLe: Rs14.1bn, BBGe: Rs25.2bn). The company reported an exceptional item of Rs17.7bn due to impairment loss in its WOS subsidiary BPRL. GRM stood at US$9.2/bbl while GMM as per our calculation came in at Rs5.9/ltr. While GMM on petrol/diesel has risen to...

GM&A share at 22.6% for FY25 down by 40bps vs 23% in 9MFY25 We cut FY26/FY27 EPS estimates by 2.4/1.6% (earlier est lower by 11/14% than consensus) as we expect margin pressure to continue due to 1) sustained high competitive intensity led by consumer shift to Ecom/QC 2) accelerated store openings in a scenario of subdued demand, softer GM, higher spending on consumer service and rising store level/gig worker wages in metros. D'Mart 4Q results missed estimates as fierce competitive intensity impacted Gross...

MRCO managed to deliver double-digit growth in FY25 led by Foods and Premium Personal Care revenue share increasing to ~22% in FY25 (11% in FY11) and double-digit INR sales growth in international business. Innovation funnel remains strong with portfolio diversification and scale up in Foods, D2C portfolio & B2C acquisitions. Beardo has ended FY25 with double-digit EBITDA margins whereas Plix has delivered low single digit EBITDA margin. MRCO plans to adopt the same strategy for scaling Digital-first franchises and targets double-digit margins by FY27. IBD is also focusing on improving mix by reducing...

GPL’s pre-sales volume for 4QFY25 declined 8% YoY (+85% QoQ) to 7.5msf, resulting in the highest-ever quarterly pre-sales value of INR101.6b (+7% YoY/87% QoQ, 32% above estimates). In FY25, pre-sales were up 31% YoY to INR294b (9% above estimates and 9% above guidance).