NTPC Ltd. share price target

NTPC is reportedly planning a large coal-to-synthetic natural gas (SNG) facility with a capacity of 5-10m tonnes per year (link). Producing SNG from its own coal would lower dependence on imported LNG, which is prone to price and supply volatility.

*over or under performance to benchmark index NTPC Ltd owns and operates electricity generation plants that supply power to state electricity boards in India. The company generates power from coal, gas, liquid fuel,...

We maintain our BUY rating on the stock.

NTPC has set ambitious expansion targets over the next decade. Earlier this year, the company raised its capacity target to 149GW by FY32 (vs. 130GW earlier).

The company's vision is to become a 244 GW+ company by 2037 of which ~120 GW would be contributed by renewable energy. Q2FY26 performance: NTPC reported muted earnings as extended monsoon and grid restrictions impacted coal PLF by 627 bps in Q2FY26 to come in at 66%. The company reported gross standalone generation of 83.2 billion units (BU) down 6% YoY while energy sold declined 6.24% YoY to 77.1 BU. Hence the standalone revenue for the quarter stood at 39167 crore down 3% YoY. The PLF for Q2FY26 at 66% whereas the same for the gas-based stations PLF was at 6.8%. The...

Adjusted PAT in 2QFY26 was 4% above our estimate, mainly supported by higher-thanestimated other income. EBITDA missed our estimate as weak power demand led to soft generation trends.

We maintain our BUY rating on the stock.

We attended NTPC’s analyst meet (on 18 Aug’25). In a bid to play a key role in India’s energy transition, NTPC, a thermal power giant, is transforming itself into a diversified power genco.

We reiterate our Neutral stance on NTPC with a TP of INR380. After a 17% correction in the share price over the last 12M, valuations at 11x FY27 P/E appear relatively reasonable, even as the long-term project pipeline continues to build up, supported by an expanding footprint in nuclear, PSP, renewables, and green chemicals.

Q1FY26 standalone adj. PAT of Rs. 4,414 crore rose 5% y-o-y inline with the 4% y-o-y increase in the regulated equity base.

NTPC – the largest thermal power player in India, is looking to add shades of green to its portfolio. It has substantial capacity addition plans on both thermal and renewables front.

We maintain our BUY rating on the stock.

We recommend a BUY rating on the stock with a target price of Rs 365/share, implying an upside of 10% from the CMP.

In FY25, NTPC's coal production saw a significant 31.4% growth to 46 million metric tonne (MMT) from 35 MMT in FY24. NTPC's financial performance was robust. The company has positioned itself well to meet the evolving energy needs of the nation. Its strategic focus on expanding its renewable portfolio, enhancing operational efficiency and driving technological innovation is expected to drive growth and improve its market reputation and growth prospects. The company is expanding its footprint through international...

The power demand in YTDFY25 (till February) is up only 4.4% y-o-y because of the impact of the monsoon this year and weak economic activity. However, with a hot summer expected this year and temperatures expected to rise, power demand should pick-up.

We recommend a BUY rating on the stock with a target price of Rs 360/share, implying an upside of 10% from the CMP

Q3FY25 standalone adj. PAT grew by 6% y-o-y to Rs. 4,618 crore inline with the 7% increase in the regulated equity base. Standalone revenue of Rs. 41,352 crore was up only 4.8% y-o-y because of the weak power demand.

We maintain our BUY rating on the stock.

NTPC (standalone)’s reported 3QFY25 EBITDA came in 2% above our estimates, though adjusted PAT was below due to a higher-than-expected tax rate and previous year-related adjustments.