Coforge Ltd. share price target

We recently met with Coforge’s management to discuss the company’s outlook on growth, margins, and cash flow conversion.

Reported revenue stood at $442.4 million, up 8% q-o-q in constant currency (CC) terms, beating our estimates of 6.3% q-o-q growth in CC terms.

we resume our coverage with a BUY rating on the stock.

Coforge delivered a stellar quarter with 9.6%QoQ dollar growth and is targeting 14% EBIT for the fiscal year, backed by strong fundamentals including intense execution, deep industry specialization, and engineering excellence. Revenue reached USD 442.4mn (8% QoQ, 51.5% YoY CC), driven by verticals like TTH (up 32.3% QoQ), emerging segments (up 12.7% QoQ), and top 10 client growth (up 15.7% QoQ). The firm secured USD 507mn in new orders, pushing the 12-month executable order book to a record USD 1.55bn, up 46% YoY. AI-led platforms such as Quasar AI and Forge-X, with 20+ proprietary assets, are accelerating delivery...

COFORGE reported strong 1QFY26 revenue growth of 8.0% QoQ in CC terms, above our estimate of 7.0% QoQ CC. The company reported an order intake of USD507m( +61% YoY) in 1Q with five large deals, resulting in a
robust 12-month executable order book of USD1.55b. EBIT margin stood at 13.2%, below our estimate of 14%.

We recently interacted with COFORGE’s CFO to understand the company’s growth outlook, execution strategy, and margin trajectory.

4QFY25 CC growth a tad below estimate but EBIT margin surprise +ve. FY25 organic rev. growth is likely in mid teen. FY26 hinted to be better.

Coforge continued to report a strong top-line performance in Q4FY25. Management acknowledged the challenging demand environment but reiterated its goal to reach USD 2bn by FY27 on the back of record-high deal wins in FY25, strong deal pipeline and its ability to proactively shape large deals.

COFORGE reported a strong 4QFY25 revenue growth of 3.4% QoQ in CC terms, above our estimate of 3.0% QoQ CC. Reported revenue (adjusted for disc. operations) stood at USD404m (up 3.3% QoQ/43.6% YoY).

3QFY25 was blockbuster quarter 8.4% growth QoQ in CC terms (our estimate-2.8%. Belied seasonality)

Coforge reported strong topline growth of 8.4% QoQ (CC), well ahead of our estimate of 4.7%. Growth was healthy across most horizontals, verticals, and geographies.

COFORGE reported 3QFY25 strong revenue growth of 8.4% QoQ in CC terms, above our estimate of 4.9% QoQ CC. Reported revenue stood at USD397m (up 7.5% QoQ/40.8% YoY).

Given the company's strong growth potential backed by robust deal wins and superior execution capabilities, we recommend a BUY rating on the stock.

Coforge reported revenue of $369.4 million, up 26.8% q-o-q/32.8% y-o-y. Organic revenue stood at $309.8 million, up 5.5% q-o-q in constant currency terms, beating our estimate of $305.9 million.

COFORGE reported 2QFY25 organic revenue growth of 6.3% QoQ in USD terms, above our estimate of 4.3%. It reported an organic CC QoQ growth of 5.5% (consol. CC QoQ growth of 26.3%).

We upgrade Coforge to Buy with revised price target (PT) of Rs. 8,480 (valued at 40x Sept26E EPS).
At CMP, the stock trades at 48.2/36.5/30.2x its FY25/26/27E EPS.

Given the company's strong growth potential backed by robust deal wins and superior execution capabilities, we recommend a BUY rating on the stock.

CEO believes demand has bottomed out. Industry demand commentary turns positive for the first time in the current cycle