Muthoot Finance Ltd. share price target

*over or under performance to benchmark index We retain a cautious stance on Muthoot Finance despite its solid operating performance. The company continues to benefit from its strong gold-loan franchise and supportive industry tailwinds; however, intensifying competition in the segment...

Muthoot Finance’s (MUTH) strong operating performance in 2QFY26 was driven by: strong gold loan growth of ~45% YoY to ~INR1.25t, ~35bp QoQ improvement in GS3 to 2.25%, aided by NPA recoveries, an increase in gold tonnage by ~5% YoY to 209 tons.

The stage-3 asset ratio in the gold loan portfolio declined to 2.58% in Q1FY26 from 3.98% a year earlier, supported by customer-led repayments aided by rising gold prices and flexible repayment options....

Muthoot Finance (MUTH) reported robust gold loan growth at 40% YoY vs 41% YoY (FY25) led by higher gold prices and new customer additions. Overall AUM growth stood at 42% YoY vs 43% YoY (FY25). Management maintained guidance at 15% gold loan growth for FY26. We revised upwards gold loan growth to 15% vs 12% CAGR (FY25-27E) earlier. NIMs improved QoQ led by increase in yield on advances. NII grew strongly by 51% YoY led by rise in margins; PPoP grew by 63% YoY led by higher other income (up 135% YoY). Further, provisions declined by 81% YoY due to recovery from NPA accounts; thus PAT grew by 90% YoY. Stage...

Muthoot Finance (MUTH)’s strong operating performance in 3QFY25 was characterized by: 1) strong gold loan growth of ~34% YoY to ~INR930b, without any trade-off in margins; 2) ~5bp QoQ expansion of NIM to ~11.9%; and 3) an increase in gold tonnage by ~2% QoQ to 202 tons.

Muthoot Finance (MUTH)’s 2QFY25 performance was characterized by: 1) strong gold loan growth of ~28% YoY to ~INR862b without the associated trade-off in margins; 2) sequentially stable NIM at ~11.8%; and 3) an increase in gold tonnage by ~3% QoQ to 199 tonnes.

Muthoot reported a healthy quarter with 6.5% QoQ/28% YoY growth in gold book along with slight sequential improvement in spreads (+10 bps) driven by higher yields and contained opex aiding PAT growth of 26% YoY despite higher provisions from GL/PL delinquencies.

MUTH’s 1QFY25 performance was characterized as gold loan growth of ~11% YoY to ~INR809b, NIM compression of ~15bp QoQ to 11.8%.