Muthoot Finance (MUTH)'s 3QFY21 PAT grew 22% YoY to INR9.9b, driven by healthy loan growth, stable spreads, and continued cost control. In 9MFY21, MUTH delivered 2324% NII/PPOP/PAT growth....

Growth trajectory healthy; confident of beating AUM growth guidance in FY21 Despite increasing competition from banks, MUTH has witnessed robust growth in the past few months. Given the short duration as well as low ticket size of the product, the absolute interest cost in INR terms to the borrower does not increase much with higher yield; hence, players such as MUTH are able to compete with banks that offer much lower interest rates. The management further clarified growth comes regardless of gold prices in times of decline in gold prices, borrowers pledge more gold and vice-versa. Hence, despite the stated guidance of 15% YoY loan growth, management is confident...

MUTH at point of inflection ................................................................................. 5 AUM to clock 19% CAGR over FY21-23 ............................................................ 7 Pricing power to be maintained; long terms NIMs stable ................................. 14 Cost efficiencies to drive RoAs......................................................................... 18 Superior asset quality; subsidiaries closely watched ........................................ 21 Subsidiaries' asset quality a key monitorable: ........................................... 25 Robust Risk matrix and collection infra across business segments .............. 26 MUTH's high return controlled risk model ........................................................ 27...

Muthoot Finance's (MUTH) 2QFY21 PAT increased 4% YoY to INR8.9b (4% beat). The quarter was characterized by best sequential loan growth of 14% (since FY12), stable spreads and sharp improvement in asset quality. With...

19 August 2020 Muthoot Finances (MUTH) 1QFY21 PAT increased ~60% YoY to INR8.4b (2% miss). However, according to management, the cost reduction is one-off and unlikely to sustain. As the company opened branches in May20, it witnessed more collections than disbursements. Hence, its loan book declined marginally QoQ. Standalone AUM moderated 1% QoQ to INR413b, driven by stronger collections. However, disbursements picked up toward end-1QFY21 and have sustained in 2QFY21 too. A key factor was the online disbursements (wherein the company is offering cash-backs), which have jumped 4x since the start of the lockdown. Over the past year, the company has enhanced liquidity on its Balance Sheet from INR9b in 1QFY20 to INR85 in 1QFY21. The higher liquidity weighed down on margins as borrowings have grown 38% YoY (v/s 15% YoY growth in the loan book). Management has guided to keep liquidity on the balance sheet at 10%.

Muthoot Finance's (MUTH) gold AUM increased 22% YoY to Rs 416bn in Q4FY20 due to robust gold loan demand.

Muthoot Finance (MUTH), one of our top picks, reported robust growth in profitability (60% YoY) as well AUM (22% YoY Cons.) in 4QFY20. NII grew by 30% YoY led by improvement in margins; while PBT grew by 38% YoY led by lower provisions (down 76% YoY). Lower provision as asset quality improved as well as management expects no further requirement of provisions for Covid -19 due to gold loan business model. Stage III loan assets declined by 38bps QoQ to 2.16%, however NPA is never a cause of concern in gold loan. We revise estimate upwards to 10% AUM growth for FY21 vs 5% YoY earlier as management remains confident of 15% gold loan growth in FY21. This...

IGL: Volume concerns worsen downgrade to SELL. MUTH: All that glitters is gold. HPCL: Marketing advantage in challenging times

17 June 2020 Muthoot Finances (MUTH) 4QFY20 PAT surged 59% YoY to INR8.2b (in- line), driven by strong AUM growth and improvement in asset quality. In FY20, MUTH delivered growth of 22%/34%/53% for loans/PPoP/PAT. RoA/RoE for the year stood at 6.8%/29%. However, given the uncertain outlook for MUTHs subsidiaries and the re-rating in the stock, we maintain with TP of INR1,100. spreads were up 200bp YoY due to higher penal interest and lower cost of funds (down 80bp YoY). GS3% declined 40bp QoQ to 2.16%. The company made INR48m provisions during the quarter. Similar to 3QFY20, MUTH raised USD550m via ECBs in the quarter. Opex jumped 17% QoQ due to an accounting treatment on hedging cost for the ECBs raised. Customer footfall at 65-70% of run-rate now. Disbursements declined ~40% QoQ to INR583m.

We delved into the operating metrics of three large gold financiers Muthoot Finance (MUTH), Manappuram Finance (MGFL) and Muthoot Fincorp (MFIN) and found that MUTH has a wider reach and is a better paymaster, aiding higher productivity.

Muthoot Finance reported improvement in AUM growth to 21% YoY on consolidated basis as against 13% YoY in H1FY20. NII grew by 45% YoY (11% QoQ) led by improvement in margins; while PBT grew by 38% YoY led by higher provisions as management decided to write offs of loans. Stage III loan assets declined by 89bps QoQ to 2.54%, however NPA is never a cause of concern in gold loan. All the subsidiaries are witnessing healthy growth except home finance, accounting for 12% of the overall loan...

13 November 2019 2QFY20 PBT increased 41% YoY to INR10.5b, driven by one-off strong GNPL recoveries, which led to income of INR2b. Excluding this one-time income, PBT grew 14% YoY to INR8.5b. PAT for the quarter was INR8.6b, driven by 18% tax rate. However, MUTH has raised USD450m senior notes from the international market as well as INR4.6b from retail NCDs in Oct19 hence, loan growth has resumed in 3QFY20. Excluding the INR2b income mentioned above, yields have improved 50bp QoQ to 21.7% v/s 20bp increase in CoF to 9.5%. While cost of funds may further increase due to the external borrowings, we expect the company to largely maintain spreads at 12%. Opex grew 8% YoY to INR3.97b. Company has guided for a pick-up in opex commensurate with loan growth in 2HFY20.

Muthoot Finance's AUM growth of 16% has come in line with our expectation. Company has reported a bit subdued quarter with NII at Rs11.8bn (growth of 7% YoY) and PAT at Rs5.3bn (growth of 7.4% YoY). Stage III loan assets though increased by 50bps sequentially to 3.2%, are not a cause of concern. All the subsidiaries are witnessing healthy growth, accounting for 12% of the overall loan book. We continue to...

Stable operating performance, but liquidity remains tight Motilal Oswal values your support in the Asiamoney Brokers Poll 2019 for...

Muthoot Finance has reported another stellar quarter, with AUM growth of 18% against our expectations of 15%. NII at Rs12.2bn (growth of 3% YoY) and PAT at Rs5.1bn (growth of 1% YoY) are 6% and 8% ahead of our expectations respectively. Stage III loan assets have increased by 76bps sequentially to 2.7%. All the subsidiaries are witnessing healthy traction, accounting for 12% of the overall loan book. We roll forward our...

Muthoot Finance reported tad soft Q3FY19, with AUM growth of 15% YoY as against 17% last quarter on account of tighter liquidity condition in the market. NII at Rs10.9bn (flattish YoY) and PAT at Rs4.9bn (growth of 1% YoY) are both 6% below our expectations. Stage III loan assets are flattish sequentially at 2.0%. All the subsidiaries are witnessing healthy traction, accounting for 11% of the overall loan book. We have cut our earnings estimates by 2%/4% for FY19/20 respectively. We marginally cut our...

Muthoot Finance's Q2FY19 has seen revival in momentum of its core business with AUM growth of 17% YoY as against 11% during last quarter. NII at Rs4.8bn (growth of 9% YoY) and PAT at Rs11bn (de-growth of 5% YoY) has narrowly missed our estimate of Rs4.9bn and Rs11.3bn respectively. Stage III loan assets have eased by 94bps sequentially to 1.9%. All the subsidiaries are witnessing healthy traction, accounting for 10% of the overall loan book. On the back of higher loan growth, we raise our TP to...

disbursements; yet management expects 15% AUM growth for FY19. Margins shrank ~300bp YoY to 14.1%, driven by a similar decline in yields. However, the decline was due to a high base (one-off income in 2QFY18). MUTH has recently increased yields to offset the rise in borrowing cost. Opex increased 18% YoY, largely driven by a 35% YoY increase in nonemployee expenses, largely due to advertising expenses. Asset quality improved on a sequential basis stage 3 loans declined ~100bp QoQ to 1.9%. This was against a sequential increase of 230bp in 2QFY18. As a result, credit costs declined sharply to INR25m from INR1.2b in...

Muthoot Finance's Q1FY19 numbers have beaten our estimates. There has been a revival in the Standalone gold loan AUM growth of 6% QoQ and 11% YoY. NII and PAT growth of 31% and 43% is 10% and 14% ahead of our expectations respectively. Asset quality has improved with GNPA easing by 240bps sequentially to 4.6%. We retain our Buy rating on the stock with a target price of Rs595, valuing it at 2.5x P/ABV FY20. We have yet not assigned any value to its subsidiaries....

Muthoot Finances (MUTH) 1QFY19 PAT grew 43% YoY to INR4.9b, driven by a pick-up in loan growth, a reduction in GNPLs and a lower C/I ratio. 5 September 2018 With interest write-backs on account of declining GNPLs and lower cost of funds, NII increased 31% YoY. Note that next quarter onward, the base for cost of funds will become unfavorable and MUTH is likely to witness a sharp increase in cost of funds thereafter. MUTH raised INR30b worth of NCDs in a private placement during the quarter. Under Ind-AS, 1QFY18 PAT was 2% lower; FY17 networth was unchanged. Muthoot Homefin increased its loan book almost 3x to INR16b, with PAT up ~3x to INR110m. Belstars loan book grew 86% YoY to INR12b, with PAT almost tripling to INR140m. We increase our FY19/20 estimates by ~15% to factor in stronger growth and lower credit costs under Ind-AS.