MRF Ltd. share price target

MRF’s 1QFY27 adj. PAT at INR4.7b was largely in line. PAT was supported by higher-than-expected other income despite weak EBITDA margin at 11.4% vs. our est. of 12.6%.

MRF’s 3QFY26 Adj PAT at INR7.3b was well ahead of our estimates of INR5.5b. This was largely attributed to strong operating performance, with EBITDA margins expanding 550bp YoY to 17.2% (vs. our estimate of 15.3%).

Below our estimate, MRF’s Q1 EBITDA fell 9% y/y to Rs10.3bn due to the lower-than-expected gross margin. We expect 9/13/19% revenue/ EBITDA/PAT growth over FY25-28.

Broadly in line with our Rs9.7bn estimate, MRF’s Q2 EBITDA fell 14% y/y to Rs9.7bn.

MRF’s 4QFY24 result was weak as higher RM costs and operating expenses
led to lower adjusted EBITDA margin of 16.2% (-100bp QoQ vs. est. 17%). A
provision of INR463.6m, which was made in FY23, was recognized in 4Q
along with the additional provision of INR981.4m for FY24 to cover EPR
costs.

MRFs sales grew weaker than peers due to weakness in TBB & Farm MRF's 2QFY22 performance was impacted by RM cost inflation and higher other cost. MRF lagged peers in revenue growth due to weaker performance of TBB and farm segment. The industry is taking gradual price increases to dilute impact of severe cost inflation. We cut our FY22E/FY23E EPS by ~29%/14% to factor in for RM cost inflation and higher other expenses. Maintain Neutral....

MRF's 1QFY22 operating performance was impacted by operating deleverage and RM cost inflation. The industry is taking gradual price increases to dilute the impact of severe cost inflation....

MRF's Q4 revenue grew 4% QoQ to Rs 47bn, EBITDA margin shrank 530bps on gross margin pressure and adj. PAT fell 38% QoQ to Rs 3.2bn

MRF delivered Q3FY21 revenue as per projections but above-expected gross margins led to a beat on both EBITDA (+58% YoY to Rs 9.6bn) and operating margins (21.1% vs. 16.2% estimated).

MRF Tyres (MRF) has rallied ~30% in the last three months and is currently trading at 25x Sep'22E EPS.

MRF's Q3FY19 revenue grew 5% YoY to Rs 40.7bn, but a 170bps contraction in gross margin and 200bps rise in other expense/sales prompted a 17% YoY drop in EBITDA to Rs 5.7bn and 370bps decline in operating margin to 14%. A below-expected tax rate limited the fall in adj. PAT to 24% YoY at Rs 2.9bn. We prune our FY20/FY21 EPS estimates by ~9% each assuming lower gross margins and weaker demand outlook going ahead and roll over to a...

MRF posted weak topline growth of 8.1% YoY at ` 38.6 bn for the quarter ended Q1FY19 along with gross and EBITDA margins of 39.8% and 15.4% respectively. The gross and EBITDA margins for the quarter Q1FY19 improved by 735 bps and 773 bps respectively on an unfavorable period of Q1FY18. We believe the pressure in the top line growth for MRF was due to the increasing intensity of competition in the tyre space where realizations per unit would have declined and unfavorable product mix due to increasing demand from the CV segment. The stock has corrected nearly 10% in the...

Quarter marginally disappoints but outlook is intact MRF revenue grew 15.8% YoY in Q4FY18 to ` 39bn, which was lower than our estimates of ` 40 bn. Profitability was also marginally lower than estimates. We believe that recent price hikes taken by MRF will enable margin restoration / expansion in coming quarters. MRF has an incomparable moat over its competitors and strong brand recall which will keep MRF ahead of its competitors. With strong presence across segments and volume outlook looking robust, we expect MRF to further strengthen its...

MRF Ltd Q2FY18 results comment Revenue increased by 0.69% to Rs. 3591.11 Cr in Q2FY18 when compared to the previous quarter. Also, it rose by 10.51% when compared with Q2FY17.