Jindal Stainless Ltd. share price target

Jindal Stainless (JSL)’s Q3FY26 EBITDA was in line with our estimate at INR 14.1bn (+17%/+1% YoY/QoQ), driven by better sales volume at 650Kte (+11%/+0% YoY/QoQ).

Operates India's largest fully integrated stainless-steel plant with capacity of ~3 million tons per annum (Odisha- 2.2 MTPA & Hisar- 0.8 MTPA). Q3FY26 Results: JSL reported a steady performance in Q3FY26. Consolidated topline stood at 10,518 crore (up 6% YoY) with stainless steel sales volume stood at 6.5 lakh tons, up by 11% YoY. Reported EBITDA was at 1,408 crore with EBITDA margins at 13.4% (up 65 bps QoQ). EBITDA/tonne stood at 21,661 vs 21,416 in...

Jindal Stainless (JDSL) reported a revenue of INR105b (vs. est. INR113b), growing 6% YoY (-3% QoQ) in 3QFY26. The growth was primarily led by strong volumes, which were partially offset by muted ASP during the quarter.

Jindal Stainless (JDSL) is executing a strategy to support sustainable longterm growth, which focuses on: capacity expansion, raw material security, and product diversification and value addition.

Jindal Stainless (JSL)’s Q2FY26 EBITDA was 5% better than our estimates at INR 13.9bn (+17%/+6% YoY/QoQ) driven by better sales volumes.

Jindal Stainless’ (JDSL) revenue for 2QFY26 came in line with our estimates at INR109b, up 11% YoY and 7% QoQ. The growth was primarily led by healthy sales volume of 648KT, which recorded 15% YoY and 4% QoQ growth in 2QFY26.

Controlled leverage with improving return ratios insight: JSL has consistently maintained a healthy balance sheet, with Net Debt to EBITDA below 1x, despite executing a significant capex of ~5,400 crore. With the commissioning of new capacities, it is expected to generate annual CFO >4,000 crore, enabling debt reduction in the coming years. Consequently,...

Jindal Stainless (JDSL) reported in-line standalone operating performance in Q1FY26 supported by steady domestic volume growth. Overall volumes grew 8.3% YoY to 626kt driven by 9.5% YoY domestic volume growth across segments such as automotive, metro, white goods, lifts and elevators. Exports volume decline is moderated as new base sets in; which should improve depending upon geopolitical issues. Average realization disappointed with 1.6% QoQ decline (despite tad inch up in domestic SS prices) due to continued pressure from imports and inch up in series 400 volumes. Mgmt. reiterated its...

Revenue stood at INR102b (+8% YoY and flat QoQ), in line with our estimate. The sales volume came in line with our est. at 626KT (+8% YoY and -3% QoQ).

We initiated coverage on Jindal Stainless (JSL) on 13th May’25 at a price of INR610 for a target price of INR770. The stock has gained 20% after our report in one month and we believe there is further steam left.

Jindal Stainless (JDSL) reported largely in-line standalone operating performance in Q4FY25 led by strong volume growth. Volumes grew 13% YoY to 643kt led by strong 17% YoY domestic volume growth led by infra, metro and railways sector. Exports volume continued to remain weak and contributed ~8% to total volumes however mgmt. is seeing good traction in key quality conscious markets of EU and US in near to medium term. Average realization declined 2% QoQ as domestic pricing came under pressure post US tariff talks amid continued cheap imports from Vietnam & China. Mgmt. indicated SS...

Despite relatively stable profitability, Jindal Stainless (JSL) has underperformed its carbon steel players over the past 12 months, primarily due to the concerns on earnings growth.

JDSL maintains its 10% volume growth guidance for FY26, with an upward bias depending on conditions in key export markets like the EU. We met the management of Jindal Stainless (JDSL) to get an update on current demand in domestic and export markets amid the ongoing Tarriff war. Domestic volume growth remains strong, while JDSL is seeing better traction for export orders now Vs last two quarters, with the benefits expected to be visible in 1QFY26. JDSL maintains its 10% volume growth guidance for FY26, with an upward bias depending on the situation in key export markets such as...

Jindal Stainless (JSL)’s Q2FY24 performance lagged our estimates marginally, mainly due to lower-than-expected sales volume. Key points: 1) Exports volume was impacted by a subdued global (particularly European) market. 2) Profitability was also impacted by a transient lag between ferrochrome and chrome price movements.

Jindal Stainless’ (JSL) Q1FY24 EBITDA at INR 11.2bn (up 35% YoY) beat our estimate by 9%. Key points: 1) shipments rose 54% YoY to a record level of 548.6kte; 2) EBITDA/te at INR 20,375 was slightly ahead of our estimate; 3) domestic subsidiaries performed well while overseas subsidiaries continued to languish.