Bajaj Finance Ltd. share price target

NII for Q4FY25 grew 22.4% YoY (+4.5% QoQ) to INR 98,072 Mn., which was below our estimates by 3.4%. PPOP stood at INR 79,675 Mn., up 24.3% YoY (+2.1% QoQ), which was below our estimates by 6.0%, led by weaker NII growth and higher other opex. PAT stood at INR 45,456 Mn., up 18.9% YoY (+5.5% QoQ), below our estimates led by higher provisions.

We maintain our BUY recommendation on the stock.

AUM growth healthy at 26% YoY, guided for 24-25% in FY26, aided by new lines of business, gold, and secured business segments

be stable in FY26 aided by an improvement in CoF. Credit cost saw a spike in the quarter (at 2.3%) due to a change in ECL assumptions (impact of Rs 3.59 bn). Expect a moderation in FY26 driven by an improvement in early-stage delinquencies. We assign a multiple of 3.9x on Mar'27 ABV with a TP of Rs 9,000. Company has seen a large shift in business mix, growth outlook and...

Net earnings in line for Q4FY25. NII grew 22.4% y-o-y/4.5% q-o-q at Rs. 9,807 crore due to lower yield on AUM and reduction of interest rate on select unsecured products. It marginally missed our estimates. NIM at 9.42% (as a percentage of AUM), was almost in line with estimates.

Bajaj Finance’s board has promoted Mr. Rajeev Jain (MD & CEO) to as vice chairman, in the capacity of an executive director for three years with effect from 1 April 2025. Besides, Mr Anup Saha (deputy MD) has been promoted as MD.

Bajaj Finance (BAF)’s reported PAT grew 18% YoY to ~INR43.1b (~5% beat) in 3QFY25. NII grew 23% YoY to INR93.8b (in line). Other operating income at INR22.9b rose 39% YoY (6% beat), driven by improvement in fee income and income from the sale of services.

We maintain our BUY recommendation on the stock.

Healthy, 28% y/y, AUM growth, and greater productivity led to Bajaj Finance’s healthy 18% y/y consol. PAT growth. Despite premium valuations, we retain a Buy, on the best-in-class execution skill, improving productivity and stable asset quality

Q3 numbers were steady. Management commentary and data suggest that asset quality stress has peaked out, making outlook stable

Bajaj Finance completed its long-range strategy (LRS) 2025-29 meet last week and released an investor presentation. Its targets are lofty; however, with impeccable execution skills, we believe the same are achievable.

Bajaj Finance announced its long-range strategies (LRS-3, FY2025 to FY2029) after seeing exponential growth in LRS-1 (2008-2016) and LRS-2 (2017 to 2024). it is expected to remain a dominant NBFC expanding its share in the total credit to 3.2-3.5% by FY2029 from 2.1% in H1FY2025.

Bajaj Finserv hosted its investor day on 10th Dec’24, wherein the senior management of Bajaj Finance (BAF) led by Mr. Rajeev Jain, MD, unveiled BAF 3.0 – a FINAI company - and gave a sneak peek into its Long-Range Strategy (LRS) 2025-29.

Bajaj Finance (BAF) has unveiled its Long-Range Strategy (LRS) 2025-2029 in which it targets – a) total credit market share of 3-3.25% by FY28 and 3.2-3.5% by FY29 from 2.1% as on Sep’24, b) strong customer franchise of 130-140mn by FY28 and 190-210mn by FY29 from 92.1mn on Sep’24,

Bajaj Finance (BAF) has decided to exit the co-branded credit card distribution business. RBL Bank (RBK) announced that the bank and BAF have mutually agreed to terminate their co-branded credit card partnership.

The Board of RBL Bank has decided to terminate its 8-year old co-branded credit card agreement with Bajaj Finance (BAF), resulting in BAF selling nearly 8mn cards cumulatively and logging 3.4mn outstanding cards as of H1FY25.

Bajaj Finance (BAF) ended its eight-year-long co-branded credit card partnership with RBL, as per exchange filing. We retain BUY with a TP of INR 8,500, valuing the standalone business at 4.7x FY26E BVPS while assigning INR 1,450/share towards housing subs.