Bajaj Finance Ltd. share price target

BAF’s AUM is expected to grow at 25% (CAGR) for FY25-FY27, driven by favorable government reforms, such as the reduction in GST on auto and consumer durables, which is expected to drive demand.

We have revised our FY26E/FY27E Adj. Book Value estimate by -1.0%/0.2%, respectively, as we factor in higher AUM growth led by proposed GST rate cuts and higher provisioning on account of elevated stress in the unsecured lending portfolio.

Net earnings beat estimates by 2.8% (up by 21.8% y-o-y and 4.8% q-o-q) to Rs. 4,765 crore driven by healthy AUM growth, lower opex and credit cost that was below estimates. NII was almost in line with estimates, growing by 22.3%/4.3% (y-o-y/q-o-q) to Rs. 10,227 crore.

AUM grew 25% YoY to Rs 4,414.5 bn; we expect a similar run-rate in FY26E as the company adds new verticals (Cars, Gold, MFI) and customers (~14-16 mn). Expect NIM to improve by ~10 bps in FY26 supported by a lower cost of borrowing. Credit cost continues to be elevated in the quarter (at 2%) on account of higher stress in the auto/ MSME portfolio. Expect a moderation in FY26, factoring a healthy trend in early-stage delinquencies. We make minor changes to our FY26/FY27 estimates and assign a multiple of 3.9x (unchanged) on Mar'27 ABV with a TP of Rs 900. While we are positive on the growth outlook...

We maintain our BUY recommendation on the stock.

Bajaj Finance’s (BAF) PAT grew 22% YoY to ~INR47.6b in 1QFY26 (in line). The company’s 1QFY26 NII grew 22% YoY to ~INR102.2b (in line). Non-interest income stood at ~INR23.8b (up 16% YoY), aided by higher income from investments in mutual funds.

We reiterate our BUY recommendation on BAF, valuing it at 4.9x FY27E ABV and arriving at a Target Price of Rs 1,050/share, which implies an upside potential of 14% from the CMP.

We recommend a BUY on the stock with a target price of Rs 10,225/share, implying an upside 10% from the CMP.

be stable in FY26 aided by an improvement in CoF. Credit cost saw a spike in the quarter (at 2.3%) due to a change in ECL assumptions (impact of Rs 3.59 bn). Expect a moderation in FY26 driven by an improvement in early-stage delinquencies. We assign a multiple of 3.9x on Mar'27 ABV with a TP of Rs 9,000. Company has seen a large shift in business mix, growth outlook and...

AUM growth healthy at 26% YoY, guided for 24-25% in FY26, aided by new lines of business, gold, and secured business segments

Net earnings in line for Q4FY25. NII grew 22.4% y-o-y/4.5% q-o-q at Rs. 9,807 crore due to lower yield on AUM and reduction of interest rate on select unsecured products. It marginally missed our estimates. NIM at 9.42% (as a percentage of AUM), was almost in line with estimates.

We maintain our BUY recommendation on the stock.

Bajaj Finance’s board has promoted Mr. Rajeev Jain (MD & CEO) to as vice chairman, in the capacity of an executive director for three years with effect from 1 April 2025. Besides, Mr Anup Saha (deputy MD) has been promoted as MD.

We maintain our BUY recommendation on the stock.

Bajaj Finance (BAF)’s reported PAT grew 18% YoY to ~INR43.1b (~5% beat) in 3QFY25. NII grew 23% YoY to INR93.8b (in line). Other operating income at INR22.9b rose 39% YoY (6% beat), driven by improvement in fee income and income from the sale of services.

Healthy, 28% y/y, AUM growth, and greater productivity led to Bajaj Finance’s healthy 18% y/y consol. PAT growth. Despite premium valuations, we retain a Buy, on the best-in-class execution skill, improving productivity and stable asset quality

Q3 numbers were steady. Management commentary and data suggest that asset quality stress has peaked out, making outlook stable