Bajaj Finance Ltd. share price target

Bajaj Finance (BAF) is navigating the current credit cycle with a clear focus on balance sheet resilience, consciously sacrificing near-term growth to protect long-term asset quality.

Q3FY26 performance: Bajaj Finance reported a resilient Q3FY26 performance, with consolidated AUM rising 22% YoY to 4,84,477 crore, driven by healthy loan bookings of 1.39 crore and addition of 47.6 lakh customers, taking customer franchise to 11.54 crore. Net interest income grew 21% YoY to 11,317 crore, while NIM remained stable, supported by a 7-bps sequential decline in cost of funds to 7.45%. Consolidated PAT (including accelerated ECL and one-time labour code charge) fell 6% YoY to 4,066 crore, translating into RoA of 4.3% and RoE of 18.5%...

PAT below expectations (down 6% YoY, 18% QoQ) due to accelerated ECL provisioning; foresees higher credit cost

We maintain our BUY recommendation on the stock.

BFL reported strong total income growth and profitability during the quarter, due to *over or under performance to benchmark index higher interest income and operational efficiency measures. The reduction in unsecured MSME loan volumes is a prudent move, which is expected to improve the company's loan loss metrics in the second half of the year and beyond. The recent GST rate revision has boosted customer sentiment, leading to increased consumption and a strong seasonal outlook. Additionally, the captive 2 and 3 wheeler business, which accounts for a significant portion of loan losses, is being...

Customer-centric transformation driving market share expansion: Bajaj Finance is accelerating its transition from product-centric to customercentric operations, pivoting to deepen customer engagement and increase wallet share. With an existing >10 crore customer base and a target of 2022 crore by FY30, the company plans to deepen engagement and grow product per customer from 6.05 to 6.5-7.5 in FY30. Expanded digital reach, AI-driven personalization and multi-channel distribution is expected to drive a 10x scale up in disbursements (800 crore to 8000 crore/month) with AUM projected to sustain >20% growth and PAT growing at 22-24% CAGR over H1FY26-30, supporting credit market share growth from 2.32%...

Bajaj Finance’s (BFL) FY26-30 strategic roadmap not only focuses on sustaining high growth but also emphasises on improving profitability.

delivered consistent robust growth with consolidated AUM touching ~4.62 lakh crore. Harnessing its large franchise base digitally offers a huge opportunity. Q2FY26 performance: Bajaj Finance reported a stable Q2FY26 performance with strong AUM (consolidated) growth of 24% YoY to 4,62,261 crore, driven by 1.21 crore new loans (up 26% YoY) and a customer addition of 41.3 lakh, taking the franchise to 11.1 crore. Net Interest Income rose 22% YoY to 10,785 crore, supported by 27-bps QoQ decline in cost of funds to 7.52%. Consolidated PAT grew 22% YoY to 4,948 crore, translating to healthy RoA of 4.5% and RoE of 19.1%....

In Q2 FY26, Bajaj Finance continued to demonstrate robust business growth.
The company booked 12.2 million new loans during the quarter, up 26% from 9.7 million in Q2 FY25. The customer franchise expanded to 110.6 million as of 30 September 2025, compared to 92.1 million a year earlier, marking a 20% increase, with an addition of 4.13 million customers during the quarter.

Bajaj Finance (Bajaj)’s Q2FY26 financial performance was impacted by elevated credit cost in MSME and captive 2W/3W loan segments. 2W’s share of captive stands at 1.5% of total AUM; however, it contributes 9% to total credit during Q2FY26.

Bajaj Finance (BAF)’s PAT grew 23% YoY to ~INR49.5b in 2QFY26 (in line). PAT in 1HFY26 grew at ~23% YoY and we expect PAT in 2HFY26 to grow at ~19% YoY.

BAF’s AUM is expected to grow at 25% (CAGR) for FY25-FY27, driven by favorable government reforms, such as the reduction in GST on auto and consumer durables, which is expected to drive demand.

We have revised our FY26E/FY27E Adj. Book Value estimate by -1.0%/0.2%, respectively, as we factor in higher AUM growth led by proposed GST rate cuts and higher provisioning on account of elevated stress in the unsecured lending portfolio.

Net earnings beat estimates by 2.8% (up by 21.8% y-o-y and 4.8% q-o-q) to Rs. 4,765 crore driven by healthy AUM growth, lower opex and credit cost that was below estimates. NII was almost in line with estimates, growing by 22.3%/4.3% (y-o-y/q-o-q) to Rs. 10,227 crore.

AUM grew 25% YoY to Rs 4,414.5 bn; we expect a similar run-rate in FY26E as the company adds new verticals (Cars, Gold, MFI) and customers (~14-16 mn). Expect NIM to improve by ~10 bps in FY26 supported by a lower cost of borrowing. Credit cost continues to be elevated in the quarter (at 2%) on account of higher stress in the auto/ MSME portfolio. Expect a moderation in FY26, factoring a healthy trend in early-stage delinquencies. We make minor changes to our FY26/FY27 estimates and assign a multiple of 3.9x (unchanged) on Mar'27 ABV with a TP of Rs 900. While we are positive on the growth outlook...

We maintain our BUY recommendation on the stock.

GNPA and NNPA increased 16bps YoY (7bps QoQ) and 11bps YoY (5bps QoQ) in Q1FY26 to 1.03% and 0.49% respectively

Bajaj Finance’s (BAF) PAT grew 22% YoY to ~INR47.6b in 1QFY26 (in line). The company’s 1QFY26 NII grew 22% YoY to ~INR102.2b (in line). Non-interest income stood at ~INR23.8b (up 16% YoY), aided by higher income from investments in mutual funds.

We reiterate our BUY recommendation on BAF, valuing it at 4.9x FY27E ABV and arriving at a Target Price of Rs 1,050/share, which implies an upside potential of 14% from the CMP.

We recommend a BUY on the stock with a target price of Rs 10,225/share, implying an upside 10% from the CMP.