Shriram Finance Ltd. share price target

We maintain our BUY recommendation on the stock.

Shriram Finance’s (Shriram) Q1FY26 core operating performance remained strong with NII growth at 4% QoQ/10% YoY and a sequential easing in credit cost to 1.9% vs. 2.4% QoQ.

Q1FY26 AUM grew 16.6% YoY to Rs 2,722.5 bn, led by strong growth in the PV, 2W, MSME and Farm Equipment portfolio. NII saw a lukewarm growth of 10% YoY impacted by negative carry from excess liquidity; however CoF has started to reduce and we expect NIM to improve in FY26. While credit cost was controlled (at 2.1%), Stage 2 increased by 40 bps QoQ. We remain conservative and build a higher credit cost of 2.1% for FY26E (vs. guidance of <2%). We marginally tweak our FY26/ FY27 estimates and expect SHFL to deliver RoA/ RoE of 3.3%/ 17.0% in FY27E, led by steady growth in AUM, favourable margin...

SFC AUM growth remain stable at 17% YoY led by 11% YoY growth in disbursements. Management maintained guidance for 15% YoY AUM growth for FY26E. We expect 16% CAGR (FY25-27) AUM growth. NIMs declined by 14bps QoQ led by higher public deposits raised during the quarter. However, NIMs are expected to improve with rate cut and lower liquidity. Asset quality remained stable with GS3 at 4.53% vs 4.55% led by better collections. NII grew by 10% YoY led by lower NIMs; PPoP grew by 9% YoY led by higher operating expenses (up 20% YoY). PAT grew by 9% YoY led by lower provisions (up 8% YoY). We have...

The last quarter of FY25 was a mixed bag for Shriram Finance (SHFL) as its AUM growth and disbursement momentum were healthy but its asset quality exhibited minor deterioration over the previous two quarters.

We maintain our BUY recommendation on the stock

SHFL’s Q4FY25 results were mixed – credit cost was elevated causing a PBT miss, which was offset by lower tax rate that led to in-line PAT.

Shriram Finance’s (Shriram) Q4FY25 financial performance was subdued with a sharp NIM contraction and a spike in credit cost. While headline asset quality improved with GNPL falling to 4.55% vs. 5.38% QoQ, this was driven by higher write-offs at >INR 20bn during Q4FY25.

We maintain our BUY recommendation on the stock

Shriram Finance (SHFL)’s PAT in 3QFY25 rose ~14% YoY to ~INR20.8b. Post-tax gain on the sale of Shriram Housing was ~INR14.9b. Reported PAT (including exceptional gain) stood at INR35.7b.

Shriram Finance (SHFL) offers a well-diversified product suite and has emerged as a strong player across all its product segments. It has demonstrated strong execution capabilities and asset quality resilience while navigating multiple credit and economic cycles.

We initiate coverage on Shriram Finance Ltd (SFL) with a BUY recommendation and a target price of Rs 3,825/share, implying an upside of 30% from the CMP.

Shriram Finance (SHFL)’s 2QFY25 PAT rose ~18% YoY to ~INR20.7b (in line), and PPoP grew 14% YoY to ~INR39.8b (in line). NII grew ~19% YoY to INR54.6b (in line), while reported NIM dipped ~5bp QoQ to ~8.75%.1HFY25 PAT grew ~18% YoY to INR40.5b and we expect 2HFY25 PAT to grow by ~15% YoY