Reliance Industries Ltd. share price target

Reliance Industries (RIL) hosted its 43rd AGM and made several key announcements. Few key announcements were 1) Google agreed to invest Rs337.4 bn to pick-up 7.7% stake in Jio Platform, 2) ready with home grown 5G solutions, 3) spinning off its O2C (Oil-to-Chemicals) business, 4) delay in Saudi Aramco deal due to disruption in energy market, 4) Net-debt free before stipulated timeline, and 5) few new offerings in Jio including a new handset in collaboration with Google. We have factored-in right issues and stake sale of Jio in our model. We expect the company's EBITDA to grow 2.9%/+42.3% while PAT to grow by -17.3%/+65.6% in FY21/FY22, respectively. We are raising our EBITDA estimates upwards by 6% and 7% for FY21 and FY22 to factor in...

10 July 2020 Reliance Industries (RIL) focus and determination with which it has executed its foray into digital and retail segments is highly commendable. This has resulted in our own equity valuation for digital and retail changing from INR315/share three years back to INR1,385/share currently. RILs digital segment has seen partnerships with global giants like Facebook, Microsoft, Intel and host of well known global private equity players. As RIL has achieved a decent foothold in both digital services and organized retail, we believe it would now turn its focus to the oil-to-chemicals project, for which it has signed an MoU with Saudi Aramco. In a conventional refinery, only three products (petrol, diesel and ATF) comprising 60-70% of the product slate, command positive margins. Globally, a conventional refinery produces ~8% of naphtha, which may be used as chemical feedstock. Comparatively, RIL has 24% conversion rate of oil-to-chemicals currently.

Reliance Industries rights issue will be listed on June 15. The rights shares present a very interesting option to participate in company's equity because of the staggered payment plan divided into three tranches of 25% at time of application (already paid), 25% in May 2021

5 June 2020 Net D:E RIL has announced that Mubadala would invest INR90.94b in Jio Platforms for 1.85% equity stake at post-money equity value of INR4.91t and at EV of INR5.2t. Jio Platforms valuation in this deal is in line with the previous four deals at INR4.91t post-money equity. Mubadalas investment is fresh equity infusion into Jio Platforms (like the previous deals) and would not dilute the stake of earlier investors (Facebook, Silver Lake, Vista, General Atlantic and KKR) as RJios capital structure is fixed and this is fresh equity through conversion of OCPS (held by WOS of RIL). Similar to the previous deals, Jio Platforms is expected to retain 10% of the cash and the rest would be transferred to its parent company, which could be subsequently used for deleveraging. Moreover, 10% of Mubadalas investment (INR90.94b) would flow to Jio Platforms and the rest would to the parent company.

RIL have raised Rs670bn through sale of stake in Jio platform to multiple global investors. To further strengthen B/S and capitalize on global opportunities amidst the Covid-19 pandemic, RIL plans to raise Rs531bn...

18 May 2020 Net D:E RIL has announced that General Atlantic would invest INR66b in Jio Platforms for 1.34% equity stake at post-money equity value of INR4.91t and at enterprise value of INR5.2t. Jio Platforms valuation in this deal is in line with the previous two deals Silver Lake and Vista Equity Partners (INR4.9t post-money equity) and is at 12.7% premium to the FB deal (INR4.4t). This is the fourth high profile investment in RIL in less than four weeks, during which the company has raised INR672b for 14.8% equity stake. The fourth high profile investment in Jio Platforms (in less than four weeks) reaffirms the global demand for the company and provides a huge thumbs up for its valuation. The company has a 40-year track record of investing in the technology, consumer, financial services and healthcare sectors. General Atlantic has investments in companies such as Airbnb, Alibaba, Ant Financial Box, Facebook, Uber and other global technology players.

In the phase 1 tranche of economic stimulus package of Rs 20 trillion, ~15 measures were announced with focus on MSMEs, NBFCs, Real estate and power sector amongst others. Phase 1 accounts for ~Rs 6 trillion of which ~10% is outflow from government in form of stimulus

Reliance Jio registered net addition of 17.5 million wireless subscribers during the Q4FY20.Reliance Retail now operate 11,784 stores with over 1,500 stores opened in the year, 30% space added. There was a strategic investment of 43,574 crore by Facebook into Jio Platforms Limited for a 9.99% stake. This results in Partnership...

Reliance Industries' (RIL) deleveraging initiatives have accelerated in the last three weeks, with ~Rs 610bn raised from a ~13.5% stake sale in RJio.

8 May 2020 Net D:E Reliance Industries (RIL) Jio Platforms appears to be the new darling of the global investing community. In less than three weeks, on 8 announced a third equity stake sale in Jio Platforms to US-based investment firm Vista Equity Partners. Vista would invest INR113.7b in Jio Platforms for 2.32% equity stake at post-money equity value of INR4.91t (in-line). Once again, this deal reiterates global investors interest in Jio Platforms. Moreover, Jio Platforms is in a sweet spot currently. Further, Jio Platforms has turned virtually debt free through the recent capital reorganization, InvIT structure and now the stake sales. We value Jio Platforms assigning EV/EBITDA multiple of 13x on FY22E to arrive at a target price of INR855/share. RILs announcement states that Vista Equity Partners would invest INR113.7b in Jio Platforms for 2.32% equity stake at post-money equity value of INR4.91t and at enterprise value of INR5.