Upgrades

Transport Corporation of India’s (TRPC) Q4FY25 EBITDA of INR 1,217mn was broadly in line with our estimate. Overall revenue/EBITDA grew 9.3%/11.2% YoY and 2.8%/2.7% QoQ.

CESC has arrested the build-up of regulatory assets in the Kolkata distribution area, addressing a major overhang on the stock. It has taken two hikes in fuel and power purchase which has augmented its cashflow.

JSW Energy (JSWE) has earned its RE stripes very quickly. It has built one of the largest RE portfolios in the country via both organic and inorganic routes.

Syrma’s Q4FY25 print was strong with EBITDA margin reaching to highest level (12.4%) in past 15 quarters. While there is reduction in revenues, we note there is reduction in low-margin business of consumer segment.

V-Guard reported a strong set of Q4FY25 result which was partially overshadowed by muted numbers of Sunflame. We believe V-Guard did well led by Stabiliser business benefitting from strong demand for air conditioners.

We attended Nexus Select Trust REIT’s (Nexus) recently held Analyst Meet. The company has unveiled its “Nexus 2.0: Re-imagining the Future” strategy.

Post underperforming domestic peers in FY25, Apollo Tyres (APTY) is aiming to outgrow peers going ahead. This will be led by corrective measures undertaken in the last couple of quarters with respect to addressing product gaps (adding SKUs), hiring key personnel etc.

ASK Automotive’s (ASK) consolidated revenue at INR 8.5bn was up 9% YoY, in line with I-Sec estimate. EBITDA margin at 12.2% was also largely in line with I-Sec estimate of 12.1%. Margin improvement of +170bps YoY was led by operating leverage and cost optimisation initiatives.

Keeping up with its ‘industry-superior’ performance trend, Shree Cement (SRCM) reported a fabulous Q4FY25. Adjusted EBITDA/t stood at a whooping INR 1,459, surging 35% QoQ (reported being INR 1,404) being 7% ahead of our estimate.

Eicher Motors’ (EIM) Q4FY25 standalone EBITDAM came in at 24.7%, 130bps below I-Sec estimate. Elevated marketing / brand-building efforts and regular product interventions have been driving growth for RE in domestic market.