Downgrades

UB will hold share in non-premium, grow in premium. Double digit sales growth and 340bps EBITDA margin expansion between FY25-FY27

4QFY25 CC growth a tad below estimate but EBIT margin surprise +ve. FY25 organic rev. growth is likely in mid teen. FY26 hinted to be better.

Tatva Chintan Pharma Chem’s (TATVA) performance showed signs of improvement in Q4FY25 on the revenue front, but lower gross profit marred profit recovery. TATVA is hopeful of a sharp recovery in FY26, as new products commercialise in PASC and SDA volume recovers.

Bajaj Consumer (BaCo) reported a stable quarter with 4.2% YoY revenue growth (~2% volume growth), aided by marginal sequential recovery in core Almond Drops Hair Oil (ADHO), strong momentum in the non-ADHO portfolio (especially in Coconut oil) and sustained double-digit growth in international business.

Gravita India’s (GRAV) performance was in line with our estimates. EBITDA (including hedging gains) was up 22% YoY at INR 1.06bn. EBITDA margin (adj.) was up 20bps YoY (30bps QoQ) at 10.3%. Lead sales volume rose 12.3% YoY at 45.6kt.

Q4FY25 turned out to be a dream quarter for Nuvoco Vistas Corp (Nuvoco) with an all-time high EBITDA (up 12% YoY), being 24% ahead of our estimate (driven by beat across realisation and cost); and net debt retreated further to INR 36.4bn (down ~INR 4bn YoY).

With a 19% upside potential from the CMP, we maintain our BUY rating on the stock.

We maintain our BUY rating With TP of Rs. 900/share Implying upside of 13% from CMP.