Buy

Canara Bank posted a 20% beat on earnings at Rs50bn/1.3% RoA, mainly aided by treasury gains/recovery from written-off loans and provision reversal on SR investments. Credit growth outpaced expectations at 12.6% YoY/2.5% QoQ, while deposit growth was strong at 11% YoY/6.4% QoQ.

With 6% volume growth (4% in India business) and 21.1% EBITDA margin (Street’s estimate at 20.4%), Godrej Consumer posted broadly in-line Q4 results.

Q4FY25 consolidated revenue of Rs. 37,825 crore was up 1.1% y-o-y. Volume and realization growth were both tepid and almost flat y-o-y. The volume growth has been slow overall due to increase in captive consumption of coal.

COAL reported a strong quarterly performance, with Q4FY25 EBITDA at Rs132.9bn (+2.5% vs Emkay; +17.3% vs consensus). The performance in Q4 profitability is on the back of better-than-expected e-auction premiums, lower employee cost, and lower reversal from stripping activity.

We maintain BUY on GCPL while raising our Mar-26E TP by ~6% to Rs1,400 (on 50x P/E) from Rs1,325, as we upgrade earnings by 3-4% over FY26-27E on improved margin performance.

Bank of Baroda (BoB) reported healthy credit growth at 13% YoY. However, the sharp and constant decline in NIM (by 8bps QoQ) to 2.86% (due to lower loan yields) and the higher provisions were the upsets during 4Q.

Sonata posted a weak operating performance in International IT Services (IITS) in Q4. IITS revenue declined 7.2% QoQ CC, below our expectations. The decline was majorly attributed to higher-than-expected ramp down at a large TMT client, along with Quant seasonality.

PNB reported some moderation in credit growth at 15% YoY, albeit the higherthan-expected margin downtick, similar to BOB’s, at 12bps QoQ to 2.8% was upsetting.

HPCL reported better than expected Q4FY25 earnings, with SA EBITDA/PAT of Rs57.3/33.5bn – at a sizable beat, driven by better-than-expected GRMs as well as marketing margins.

Sapphire’s Q4 EBITDA was in line with our muted expectations. Overall/India revenue grew 13%/10%, largely led by store additions in India and a ~31% growth rebound in Sri Lanka.