New Research Reports

increased sharply over the last 3 years (29% CAGR over FY22-25). Our FY2627E EBITDA estimate broadly unchanged. We estimate 24% EBITDA CAGR over FY25-27E aided by scale-up in margins, healthy ARPOB and bed additions. ASTER DM's board has recently approved merger with Quality care (QCIL) that...

IIB saw an abnormal but weak quarter as it reported a net loss of Rs22.4bn due to recognition of accounting lapses. While forex loss of Rs19.6bn and interest reversal on MFI loans Rs5.7bn were expected, increased MFI stress of Rs19.7bn led to QoQ spike of 81bps in provisions to 281bps; contingent provisions of Rs13.25bn were fully utilized. Our sense is that most of the lapses have been corrected, and no significant deviations are expected. For FY26/27E we trim loan growth by 5%/2% to 8%/11% and subsequently due to cascading effect...

Astral Ltd (ASTRA) has reported soft volume growth of 1.3% in the plastic pipe segment (as expected) due to weak demand scenario and delays in ADD on PVC resin prices. However, its plumbing EBITDA margin remain flat YoY at 20.4%, with EBITDA per kg for the plastic pipe segment at Rs37 even after inventory loss in Q4FY25. This was considered healthy given the current challenging demand environment, largely due to an increase in the VAP mix and cost rationalization efforts. With the upward reversal in PVC resin prices,...

Fortis Healthcare's (FORH) Q4FY25 EBITDA at Rs4.36bn; up 14% YoY was in line with our estimates. Though hospital margins improved by 170bps/190bps YoY in FY24/FY25, we see further scope for improvement aided by 1) improving case and payor mix, 2) cost rationalization initiatives including divestment of Richmond unit in Bangalore, ramp up of Manesar unit and 3) new brownfield bed additions. Fortis consolidated 89.2% stake in Agilus in Jan'25. We expect...

We increase our FY26E/FY27E PAT estimates by 13%/10% as we fine tune our yield and fuel CASK assumptions. INDIGO reported better than expected performance with FX adjusted EBITDAR margin of 30.8% (PLe 28.5%) led by 1) 2.2% rise in yield to Rs5.32 aided by Maha Kumbh and 2) 6.6% fall in fuel CASK to Rs1.60 amid benign ATF prices. Notwithstanding near-term challenges amid the ongoing geo-political tensions, ASKM growth guidance of mid-teens for 1QFY26E is encouraging. Further, we expect the overall pricing environment to remain stable with yields of Rs5.1 over next 2 years as the aviation market is...

Dwarka unit achieved break-even vs loss of Rs50mn in Q3. YoY to Rs 6.32bn; in line with our estimates. The company showed phenomenal additions. We expect pick-up in the growth momentum given 1) strong expansion plans (+3500 additional beds over FY24-27E), 2) improving payor mix and 3) Bolt on acquisitions like recently added in Lucknow, Nagpur and...

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