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Q4FY25 consolidated revenue of Rs. 37,825 crore was up 1.1% y-o-y. Volume and realization growth were both tepid and almost flat y-o-y. The volume growth has been slow overall due to increase in captive consumption of coal.
We retain REDUCE on Dabur India and keep our Mar-26E TP unchanged at Rs450, on 37x P/E, as we see weak business execution. The management, in consultation with McKinsey, has refreshed the company’s vision, with focus now on seven structural initiatives.
COAL reported a strong quarterly performance, with Q4FY25 EBITDA at Rs132.9bn (+2.5% vs Emkay; +17.3% vs consensus). The performance in Q4 profitability is on the back of better-than-expected e-auction premiums, lower employee cost, and lower reversal from stripping activity.
We maintain BUY on GCPL while raising our Mar-26E TP by ~6% to Rs1,400 (on 50x P/E) from Rs1,325, as we upgrade earnings by 3-4% over FY26-27E on improved margin performance.
Bank of Baroda (BoB) reported healthy credit growth at 13% YoY. However, the sharp and constant decline in NIM (by 8bps QoQ) to 2.86% (due to lower loan yields) and the higher provisions were the upsets during 4Q.
Sonata posted a weak operating performance in International IT Services (IITS) in Q4. IITS revenue declined 7.2% QoQ CC, below our expectations. The decline was majorly attributed to higher-than-expected ramp down at a large TMT client, along with Quant seasonality.
PNB reported some moderation in credit growth at 15% YoY, albeit the higherthan-expected margin downtick, similar to BOB’s, at 12bps QoQ to 2.8% was upsetting.