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The Baseline
20 May 2024
Five high-upside stocks from analysts this week - May 20, 2024
By Abhiraj Panchal

 

Today we take a look at five stock picks from analysts with high upside potential.

1. DLF:

Edelweiss maintains a ‘Buy’ rating on this realty developer with a target price of Rs 1,081, indicating a potential upside of 27%. In Q4FY24, the company reported revenue growth of 47% YoY to Rs 2,316.7 crore, with net profit rising 61.5% YoY to Rs 920.7 crore. Analysts Amit Agarwal and Rishith Shah say, “We are upbeat on the company’s growth story given its robust launch pipeline, brand recall, favourable dynamics in its home turf, improving annuity income, and market consolidation.” DLF’s recent luxury projects in North India have sold out within a few days. 

Analysts are optimistic about the company’s steady presales of Rs 14,777 crore, down 2% YoY primarily due to a higher base in the previous year. New launches of around 6 million square feet (msf) constituted 82% of presales, while the remaining 18% came from existing projects. 

Agarwal and Shah are positive about the company’s outlook as the management forecasted a launch pipeline of Rs 36,000 crore for FY25. They also forecast a revenue CAGR of 11% for FY25-26 owing to the launch pipeline of Rs 94,000 crore with an additional land bank of 132 msf, for which development plans are yet to be finalised.

2. Safari Industries (India):

IDBI Capital maintains a ‘Buy’ call on this luggage maker with a target price of Rs 2,535, indicating an upside of 20%. The company’s net profit grew by 13.4% YoY to Rs 43.2 crore in Q4FY24, while its revenue improved by 21.3% YoY to Rs 370.5 crore. 

Analyst Ajit Sahu says, “Safari Industries Q4FY24 sales were in line with our expectations.” He believes that the growth occurred due to improvements in tourism activities. He also notes, “Over the past two years, Safari has gained market share from its peers”. The analyst states that Safari Industries' sales grew by 21% YoY outperforming VIP Industries’ sales growth of 15% YoY in FY24.

Sahu is optimistic about the company as it sets up a greenfield manufacturing unit in Jaipur. He believes that future growth will come from its initiative to sell premium products like Urban Jungle (the premium luggage collection). He applauds the management’s ability to outperform industry sales growth and also expand operating margins to higher levels. He estimates profit and revenue to grow at a 26.5% and 19% CAGR, respectively, over FY25-26.

3. CreditAccess Grameen:

KR Choksey maintains its ‘Buy’ call on this finance company with a target price of Rs 1,850, indicating an upside of 29.9%. In Q4FY24, the company’s net profit grew by 33.9% YoY to Rs 397.1 crore (1.1% above the brokerage’s estimates), while total revenue improved by 36.9% YoY to Rs 1,459.1 crore. Analyst Unnati Jadhav says, “CreditAccess Grameen reported stellar operating performance during the quarter, but saw deterioration in asset quality led by higher slippages.”

The analyst is optimistic about the company's expansion strategy and expects it to be key to business momentum going forward. The company added 194 branches during FY24, bringing its total infrastructure strength to 1,967 branches. The analyst also says that the NBFC succeeded in controlling its borrowing costs through a cost-effective borrowing mix, and expects it to remain stable and bring predictability to its overall margins in FY25.

Jadhav continues to be positive about CreditAccess Grameen due to its leadership, improving geographical footprint, superior return ratios, consistent operating performance, and industry tailwinds.

4. Sansera Engineering:

Axis Direct maintains a ‘Buy’ rating on this auto parts and equipment manufacturer with a target price of Rs 1,270. This indicates a potential upside of 19.8%. In Q4FY24, the firm reported revenue growth of 19.7% YoY to Rs 745.6 crore, with net profit rising 31.1% YoY to Rs 46.1 crore. 

Analysts Shridhar Kallani and Aditya Welekar note, “For FY24, the share of auto components has reduced to 75%, while non-auto & tech and aerospace segment has increased to 20% and 5%, respectively.”

Kallani and Welekar are upbeat on the company’s capex plan of Rs 400 crore in FY25 and Rs 350 crore in FY26, mainly towards electric vehicle components and non-auto products. They expect the company to post a CAGR of around 20.8% for EBITDA and 29.4% for net profit over FY25-26. They attribute this growth to the sales mix tilting towards non-auto components, growth in the export business, and recovery in its its Sweden operations led by improved operational efficiency.

5. NCC:

ICICI Direct maintains its ‘Buy’ call on this construction and engineering company with a target price of Rs 320. This indicates a potential upside of 15.2%. In Q4FY24, the firm’s net profit increased by 25.3% YoY to Rs 239.2 crore, while revenue grew by 31.1% YoY. 

Analysts Bhupendra Tiwary and Hammaad Ahmed Ulde are optimistic about NCC’s order book. Its order book stands at Rs 57,536 crore, largely driven by Rs 18,439 crore worth of orders secured in FY24, a growth of 37% YoY. The management has guided for an order book inflow of Rs 20,000-22,000 crore, with ordering likely to be impacted owing to elections in the first half. Considering the order book, the analysts expect a revenue CAGR of 15% over FY25-26. With healthy execution, the analysts estimate EBITDA margins at 10% and 10.5% in FY25 and FY26, respectively, and expect a 26% earnings CAGR over FY25-26.

The analysts say, “NCC is a key beneficiary of the tailwinds in the buildings, roads, water, mining and electrical segments. Given strong order book visibility and improving balance sheet strength, it is poised for healthy growth ahead.”

Note: These recommendations are from various analysts and are not recommendations by Trendlyne.

(You can find all analyst picks here)

 

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