NCC Ltd. share price target

Robust execution pipeline with ~Rs830bn order book (4.8x TTM revenue), improving balance sheet and positive OCF Management's reluctance to provide FY27 guidance appears conservative despite healthy inflows and execution traction After a weak standalone 9MFY26 performance, with revenue declining 16% YoY, NJCC reported a relatively stable Q4FY26, with revenue remaining broadly flat YoY and largely in line with estimates. EBITDA margin moderated to 8.4%, lower on a YoY basis but broadly in line with Street and our expectations. On the balance sheet front, the...

About the stock: NCC is one of the leading infrastructure companies with Well-diversified order backlog, robust execution capabilities, and a strong focus on working capital to be key over next few years Q3FY26 Performance: NCC reported a weak set of numbers for Q3FY26, with revenue at 4043 crore, down 13.4% YoY, impacted by weak execution amid delayed payment cycle. EBITDA declined 20.1% YoY to 327.3 crore, while margins contracted by 67 bps YoY to 8.1%. PAT stood at 82 crore, down 55.7% YoY,...

We expect the near-term outlook to remain subdued due to continued delays in JJM project payments and challenges in working capital management. However, the strong order book and healthy traction in new project awards provide good revenue visibility. We project a revenue CAGR of 9% over FY25FY27, with a meaningful recovery expected from H2FY26. We maintain BUY rating and value NCC at 11x...

NCC’s Q2FY26 reported a decline of 16% in revenues in Q2FY26 (vs I-Sec’s flat expectation). The execution was negatively impacted on account of low execution in existing order book for water segment (due to payment delays), prolonged monsoon and Co delay in start of work on order received during FY25 (40% of current order book).

Weak Quarter; Most of the pain priced in! About the stock: NCC is one of the leading infrastructure companies with Well-diversified order backlog, robust execution capabilities, and a strong focus on working capital to be key over next few years Q2FY26 Performance: NCC on standalone basis, reported a weak set of numbers for Q2FY26, with revenue at 3,726 crore, down 16.2% YoY, impacted by sluggish execution owing to extended monsoon. EBITDA declined 30.8% YoY to 277.5 crore, while margins contracted by 158 bps YoY to 7.4%. PAT stood at 101 crore,...

NCC Limited reported a soft quarter as execution headwinds and workingcapital strain weighed on results. Consolidated revenue declined 12% YoY to Rs45.8bn vs 52.2bn in Q2FY25 with EBITDA at Rs3.9bn, reflecting a margin of 8.7% versus 8.5% last year. PAT stood at Rs1.55bn with a net margin of 3.4%. On a standalone basis, revenue fell 16% YoY to Rs37.7bn while PAT dropped 37% YoY to Rs1.bn. H1 FY26 revenue was Rs97.9bn, down 9.3% YoY, reflecting a calibrated execution approach amid delayed project mobilization, extended monsoons, and elongated client payment cycles. Management cited heavy rainfall across multiple states, ROW delays, and slower receipts in water/JJM...

NCC Limited reported a muted financial performance for Q1 FY26, with consolidated revenue declining by 6.3% YoY to Rs52bn. PAT stood at Rs1.9bn, reflecting an 8.5% drop YoY. This decline was largely driven by execution delays and slower turnover, which echoed the concerns raised in Q3 FY25. Despite the revenue softness, EBITDA margins remained relatively stable at approximately 8.8%, aided by disciplined cost control and project management practices. EPS for the quarter came in at Rs3.06, compared to Rs3.34 in Q1 FY25. We maintain our rating to BUY, revising the target price to Rs247, valued at 12x FY27E EPS. A...

NCC has a strong orderbook at INR 701bn with book-to-bill ratio of 3.7x TTM revenue – one of the highest in the industry. It has already bagged orders worth INR 65bn in FY26-YTD with guidance of INR 220bn OI for FY26.

NCC reported a revenue of INR 193bn, flat YoY despite having a book-to-bill ratio of 3.7x. EBITDA and PAT for the year were down 5% YoY each, at INR 175bn and INR 8bn, respectively.

We recommend a BUY rating on the stock with a TP of Rs 213/share, implying an upside of 10% from the CMP.