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    The Baseline

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    The Baseline
    15 Jan 2021
    Five Interesting Stocks Today

    Five Interesting Stocks Today

    1. Titan Company: This lifestyle and fashion company is witnessing insiders selling. This week its promoter group disposed 50,000 shares worth Rs 5.6 crore via a market sale. Between September 2020 to December 2020, Rakesh and Rekha Jhunjhunwala, who own over 5% of the company, disposed over 18.3 lakh shares. Its stock hit a lifetime high last week.

    2. Burger King India: This quick-service restaurant (QSR) which only listed last month is trading with a declining price and rising delivery. This week, its delivery volume has averaged 51%, higher than its average delivery of 32% since listing on December 14. Its stock price has dropped by 12% since the week began.

    3. Rain Industries: This chemical company’s independent director resigned from her position on the company’s audit committee with immediate effect.

    4. Hindalco Industries: This mining company is seeing mutual funds exit. Between November to December, mutual funds disposed 1.4 crore shares, reducing their stake by 5% month-on-month. This is the highest single month outflow since July when over 2 crore shares were sold.

    5. Sobha: This real estate company reported Rs 888 crore in total sales in Q3, its best-ever quarterly sales. This has piqued the interest of domestic and international brokerages. HDFC Securities named the company as one of its top picks in the real estate sector, and Morgan Stanley raised its target price on the company’s stock.

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    The Baseline
    13 Jan 2021
    Five Interesting Stocks Today

    Five Interesting Stocks Today

    1. VST Industries: D-Mart founder Radhakishan Damani has increased his stake in this tobacco company in Q3. He now holds a 31% stake in the company worth Rs 1,756 crore.

    2. Deepak Nitrite: This chemical company’s stock surged by 45% since November to a lifetime high. Amid this rally, domestic institutional investors are booking profits and disposing of their stake in the company. IDFC Sterling Value Fund, India Capital Fund, Franklin India Smaller Companies Fund, and Reliance Capital Trustee have each decreased their stake in the company in Q3FY21.

    3. Huhtamaki India: This packaging company’s stock is up by 10% in the past three weeks. Despite the price rise, its trailing 12-month (TTM) PE of 14.6 is below its average historic PE of 31.7, putting it in the buy zone.

    4. Hindustan Copper: This mining company’s stock has jumped by 46% in the past month, rising above its 200-day, 100-day, and 50-day exponential moving average (EMA). Despite the rise, its relative strength index (RSI), and money flow index (MFI) remain mid-range.

    5. Tata Chemicals: This chemical company’s domestic institutional investor (DII), ICICI Prudential Mutual Fund, which holds a 5.1% stake, disposed over 3.8 lakh shares via a single market sale. Last month, its promoter Tata Sons acquired nearly 90 lakh shares increasing its stake by 3.5%.

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    The Baseline
    08 Jan 2021, 09:12AM
    Five Interesting Stocks Today

    Five Interesting Stocks Today

    1. Hemisphere Properties India: This special purpose vehicle (SPV) company owned by Tata Communications is being sold off by a major investor. Eastbridge Capital, its foreign institutional investor (FII) sold 32.7 lakh shares decreasing its stake by 1.1% via a market sale. This sale was a month after the FII acquired 1.6 crore shares in the company.

    2. Excel Industries: This chemical company’s price is up by 8.5% this week, moving above its 20-day, 50-day, and 100-day exponential moving average (EMA). Its relative strength index (RSI) remains mid-range at 47.6.

    3. Ramkrishna Forgings: Since the week began, this industrial equipment manufacturer’s price is up by 12%, pushing up its delivery volume. Its average delivery volume this week was 76.6%, higher than the average monthly delivery volume of 58.7% and average 6-month delivery volume of 42.5%.

    4. CSB Bank: This private sector bank has caught the eye of mutual funds and its promoters are buying back equity. In November 2020, mutual funds held 1.1 crore shares, up from 90.4 lakh shares in June. This week, SBI Mutual Fund acquired over 86,000 shares in the company via a market purchase. In November and December, the bank’s promoters reacquired over 15,000 shares. This was the set of first insider trades in the company since December 2019.

    5. Max Financial Services: This life insurance company’s promoter recently created a pledge using 14.7 lakh shares worth Rs 101.7 crore. As of September 2020, 90.3% of promoter shareholding was pledged, up from 71.5% in December 2019.

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    The Baseline
    05 Jan 2021
    Five Interesting Stocks Today

    Five Interesting Stocks Today

    1. Eicher Motors: This two-wheeler and commercial vehicle maker’s recovering sales numbers pushed up its stock price. In December 2020, total sales rose by 37% on a yearly basis, and by 16% on a monthly basis. Its price is up by 12% since December 21 nearing a 52-week high.

    2. Rashtriya Chemicals & Fertilizers: This chemical company’s stock is up by 8% in the past two weeks, and is 5% off the 52-week high. Its current trailing 12-month (TTM) PE of 8.7 is below its historic average PE of 21.3, putting it in the buy-zone.

    3. Tata Consultancy Services: This IT-services company’s results are expected later this week, and in anticipation, the stock has jumped 8% since the month began. Its gains have outpaced that of its rivals Wipro and Infosys, which are up by 5.2% and 3.1% respectively.

    4. Punjab National Bank: This public sector bank is being offloaded by mutual funds. Between July to December, mutual funds sold 13.6 crore shares in the company, with net outflows in each month. In that time, its stock declined by 2%, while the benchmark Nifty gained 32% and the Nifty PSU Bank index gained 23%.

    5. City Union Bank: Brokerages are positive about this bank. In the past month, it received one recommendation upgrade and three target price upgrades in four broker reports. Its average broker target price is 8% higher than its market price.

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    The Baseline
    02 Jan 2021
    Five Interesting Stocks Today

    Five Interesting Stocks Today

    1. Orient Cement: This cement company’s price has jumped by 20% since the month began, higher than the 8.5% gain of the cement industry. Despite the rise, it remains in the neutral zone as its trailing 12-month (TTM) price to earnings ratio of 18 is lower than the median PE of 21.8.

    2. Kotak Mahindra Bank: This private-sector bank’s insiders are disposing equity. In this week alone, over 36,000 shares worth Rs 7.3 crore were disposed in 15 market sales. This includes 15,500 shares worth Rs 3.1 crore disposed by promoters and directors of the company.

    3. KNR Constructions: In December, this infrastructure company’s stock has gained 14% to a new 52-week high and its board approved a bonus issue in a 1:1 ratio. It was also one of two infrastructure companies receiving a ‘Buy’ rating from ICICI Securities in its sector report.

    4. Jindal Poly Films: This polyester-packaging film company’s CEO resigned from the company effective immediately. Its stock price is down by 11.5% since August.

    5. Chemcon Speciality Chemicals: Plutus Wealth Management, a UK-based investment company picked up 10 lakh shares worth Rs 42.8 crore in this chemical company. The company listed on exchanges only in September, at a premium of 71% over its upper IPO price band. Since listing, its price has dropped by 14%.

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    The Baseline
    30 Dec 2020
    Five Interesting Stocks Today

    Five Interesting Stocks Today

    1. Larsen & Toubro: This construction engineering company’s stock jumped 42% in Q3, pushing its trailing 12-month (TTM) PE from 11.2 to 15.8. Despite this, its TTM PE is below its historic average PE of 24.4, putting it in the buy zone. 

    2. SBI Life Insurance Company: Brokerages were positive on this life insurance company in Q3. In the past three months, it received one recommendation upgrade and five target price upgrades from brokers. Its average broker target price is 11.8% higher than its market price.

    3. JK Cement: This mutual fund company’s stock is down by 11% since the month began, while the benchmark index is up by 6%. Given its slump, SBI Mutual cut its stake by nearly 1% disposing over 7 lakh shares in the company last week.

    4. Info Edge: This internet company’s chairman and non-executive director recently disposed over 5,700 shares worth Rs 2.6 crore via a market sale. In December, over 77,000 shares worth Rs 23 crore were disposed across 19 market sales

    5. Sumitomo Chemical India: This chemicals company saw massive mutual fund buys this quarter. In September 2020, mutual funds held 52.4 lakh shares, and by December, they acquired an additional 40 lakh shares. Since July, it has seen net mutual fund inflows in every month.

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    The Baseline
    26 Dec 2020
    Five Interesting Stocks Today

    Five Interesting Stocks Today

    1. Shalby: After Monday’s market fall, this hospital chain operator’s price has jumped by 8.5% and is 2% off its 52-week high. On the back of this price momentum, its delivery volume has shot up. It’s delivery volume this week was 43.7%, against an average monthly delivery volume of 33.4%, and an average 6-month delivery volume of 35.6%.

    2. Max Financial Services: This life insurance company’s managing director and vice-chairman disposed 2 lakh shares worth 12.8 crores via a market sale. Earlier this week, private equity firm KKR, sold 37.4 lakh shares in the company for Rs 245 crores, representing 1.08% of the company.

    3. Alkem Laboratories: This pharmaceutical company’s stock price has jumped by 8% since the end of November, outpacing the Nifty Pharma index which gained 5%. Despite this price rise, its trailing 12-month PE stands at 23.6 times, against a historic PE of 28.8 times, and lower than the Nifty Pharma PE of 37.9 times.

    4. Ujjivan Small Finance Bank: Mutual funds have taken a liking to this small finance bank. Between October to November, mutual funds acquired 38 lakh shares in the company, the third month of successive mutual fund inflow, against 78.8 lakh shares disposed between March to July.

    5. Lemon Tree Hotels: The promoter group of this hotel company disposed4.1 crore shares, representing 5.1% of the company via a market sale. Its stock rose by nearly 50% between November 24 to December 8 as a Covid-19 vaccine began deployment, but since then is down by 16.5%.

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    The Baseline
    23 Dec 2020
    Five Interesting Stocks Today

    Five Interesting Stocks Today

    1. Kolte-Patil Developers: This real estate company’s chief financial officer (CFO) resigned from the company effective immediately. The company’s stock price sharply recovered by 16% after Monday’s drop, outperforming the Nifty Realty index, down by 2% since the week began.

    2. Persistent Systems: This IT-services company’s price has jumped by 30% since November to hit a lifetime high. The price rise has pushed its trailing 12-month PE from 23.1 to 30.6 times in the past month, placing it in the sell zone.

    3. Hero MotoCorp: Broker excitement towards this two-wheeler market leader has cooled off. ICICI Securities, in its recent report on the automobile industry, downgraded the company’s stock from Buy to Hold. The only downgrade in the two-wheeler market, while its competitor Bajaj Auto received a ‘Buy’ rating.

    4. Chalet Hotels: This hotel company’s promoter recently acquired 1 lakh shares worth Rs 1.8 crore via a market purchase. Since the month began, over 3.2 lakh shares worth Rs 5.6 crore have been acquired by promoters. These acquisitions by promoters were the first insider trades since April 2020.

    5. Birlasoft: This software company’s foreign institutional investor (FII) Acadia Partners sold 67 lakh shares worth Rs 137.6 crore via a bulk deal. Out of this, 8 lakh shares worth Rs 16.4 crore were picked up by four mutual funds - Aditya Birla Sun Life, ICICI Prudential, Invesco, and Avendus.

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    The Baseline
    18 Dec 2020
    Five Interesting Stocks Today

    Five Interesting Stocks Today

    1. Max Financial Services: This insurance company’s stock has shot up by 15% since October, reaching a new 52-week high, and is less than 2% off its lifetime high. Its trailing 12-month (TTM) PE is 69.9, against an average historic PE of 92.4, putting it in the ‘neutral zone.’ The average TTM PE of the life insurance industry is 71.7.

    2. Dixon Technologies: This consumer durables company’s promoters have resumed disposing equity. This week over 5,300 shares worth Rs 6.6 crore were disposed. In the past two months, over 55,000 shares were disposed worth Rs 58 crore. Since the beginning of the month, its price is up by 19%.

    3. Westlife Development: This fast-food restaurant operator which holds the master franchisee for McDonald’s in South and West India is up by 10% since the week began. This week saw its competitor, Burger King India list at a premium of 92% to its upper IPO price band, and its food service provider Mrs. Bectors Food Specialties’ IPO.

    4. Va Tech Wabag: This water treatment company in which Rekha Jhunjhunwala holds an 8% stake is seeing mutual fund exits. Between July to November, mutual funds disposed 5.4 lakh shares, with 1.6 lakh shares sold last month. For the quarter ended September 2020, its mutual fund holding was 3.5%, down from 7% in September 2019.

    5. Apollo Tyres: Brokers are turning cold on this tyre manufacturing company. Recently, ICICI Securities downgraded its recommendation on the stock from ‘Buy’ to ‘Hold.’ After its Q2 earnings, Dolat Capital and BOB Capital Markets each decreased their target price on the stock. Its average broker target price is a downside of 19.7% against its market price.

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    The Baseline
    16 Dec 2020
    Five Interesting Stocks Today

    Five Interesting Stocks Today

    1. Sequent Scientific: This pharmaceutical company’s promoter group has been steadily disposing its equity. Since the month began, the promoter group disposed over 8 lakh shares worth Rs. 13.8 crores in 8 market sales.

    2. Ramkrishna Forgings: This carbon and steel manufacturing company’s stock is trading with high delivery volume. The stock’s daily delivery volume (75%) on 14 December jumped over its weekly (25.4%) and monthly (44.8%) delivery average. This rising delivery is accompanied by rising price as its stock has risen by 45% since October.

    3. Rashtriya Chemicals & Fertilizers: This chemical company’s price has shot up by 30% since November and is 4% off its 52-week high. However, it still remains historically undervalued, as its current trading 12-month PE of 8.9 is below its average PE of 21.4, putting it in the ‘buy zone.’

    4. Chalet Hotels: With a Covid-19 vaccine being deployed, this hotel operator’s stock is rising. Since the month began its stock has climbed 30% and the rating agency ICRA has upgraded its term loans from BB+ to BBB+, and short-term loans from A4+ to A2.

    5. Nesco: Mutual funds are trimming their holding in this engineering company. Since May 2020, mutual funds have sold over 1.3 lakh shares in the company. November was the seventh straight month of mutual fund outflows.

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