Muthoot Finance Ltd. share price target

Muthoot Finance (MUTH) reported robust gold loan growth at 40% YoY vs 41% YoY (FY25) led by higher gold prices and new customer additions. Overall AUM growth stood at 42% YoY vs 43% YoY (FY25). Management maintained guidance at 15% gold loan growth for FY26. We revised upwards gold loan growth to 15% vs 12% CAGR (FY25-27E) earlier. NIMs improved QoQ led by increase in yield on advances. NII grew strongly by 51% YoY led by rise in margins; PPoP grew by 63% YoY led by higher other income (up 135% YoY). Further, provisions declined by 81% YoY due to recovery from NPA accounts; thus PAT grew by 90% YoY. Stage...

Muthoot Finance (MUTH)’s strong operating performance in 3QFY25 was characterized by: 1) strong gold loan growth of ~34% YoY to ~INR930b, without any trade-off in margins; 2) ~5bp QoQ expansion of NIM to ~11.9%; and 3) an increase in gold tonnage by ~2% QoQ to 202 tons.

Muthoot Finance (MUTH)’s 2QFY25 performance was characterized by: 1) strong gold loan growth of ~28% YoY to ~INR862b without the associated trade-off in margins; 2) sequentially stable NIM at ~11.8%; and 3) an increase in gold tonnage by ~3% QoQ to 199 tonnes.

Muthoot reported a healthy quarter with 6.5% QoQ/28% YoY growth in gold book along with slight sequential improvement in spreads (+10 bps) driven by higher yields and contained opex aiding PAT growth of 26% YoY despite higher provisions from GL/PL delinquencies.

MUTH’s 1QFY25 performance was characterized as gold loan growth of ~11% YoY to ~INR809b, NIM compression of ~15bp QoQ to 11.8%.