JK Cement Ltd. share price target

A leading cement manufacturer in the country, JK Cement Ltd is an affiliate of the multi-disciplinary industrial conglomerate JK Organization, which was founded by Lala Kamlapat Singhania. The Company has over four decades of experience in cement manufacturing.

JK Cement in its FY20 annual report, highlights about growing together and staying ahead of the curve. JK Cement has posted a strong all round performance in a challenging year and a challenging external environment that was dampened by the Covid-19 pandemic. The company was able to demonstrate such growth driven by resource efficiency, expanding capacities, growing prominence across urban and rural markets. The company continuously improves resource efficiency in clinker and cement production process by optimizing energy usage, utilizing generated waste...

We initiate coverage on JK Cement Ltd with a BUY recommendation and a Target Price of Rs 1697, which implies 19% upside from the current levels.

Background: JK Cements is one of the largest cement players in North India. It manufactures grey cement, white cement and white cement-based wall putty. Currently the grey cement capacity is 10.5MTPA. Domestic white cement capacity is 0.6MTPA (second only to UltraTech). The company also manufacturers putty and has an installed capacity of 0.7MTPA. The company also has plants in Fujairah (UAE) with an installed capacity of 0.6MTPA (white cement) and 1.02MTPA (grey cement) in a 90:10 JV with the Government of Fujairah. It has also expanded its grey cement capacity by 3 MTPA through two split grinding units (1.5 MTPA...

JK Cement reported better-than-expected Q4FY20 numbers, beating our estimates on the operational front. Revenues broadly stayed flat YoY at | 1,477 crore (I-direct estimate: | 1,433 crore). Suspension of operations in end-March led to a 7.3% drop in volume YoY to 2.67 MT (in line with I-direct estimate). Blended realisations grew 6.8% YoY to | 5,533/t (I-direct estimate: | 5,393/t). Higher realisations drove EBITDA margin expansion of 470 bps YoY to 23.4% (I-direct estimate: 21.3%). EBITDA/t jumped 33.6% YoY to | 1,297/t (I-direct estimate: | 1,148/t); EBITDA increased 24% YoY to | 346...

Robust Performance on Steady Realisation & Cost Benefits JK Cement (JKCE) continued to report a strong set of numbers in 3QFY20 amid challenges as its reported EBITDA grew by a strong 42% YoY to Rs2.78bn broadly in-line with our estimate. Unitary EBITDA for grey cement stood at Rs770 vs. Rs433 in 3QFY19 and Rs824 in 2QFY20. While sales volume of grey cement, including clinker, grew by 3.5% YoY, average realisation came in at Rs4,355/tonne (+10% YoY and -2.5% QoQ) broadly in-line with our estimate. Operating cost/ tonne declined by 1.5% QoQ to Rs4,404 despite sequential rise in input cost. JKCE noted that continued high cost of fuel inventory from RIL did not let the benefit of lower fuel prices reflect in...

Robust Performance on Steady Realisation & Cost Benefits JK Cement (JKCE) continued to report a strong set of numbers in 3QFY20 amid challenges as its reported EBITDA grew by a strong 42% YoY to Rs2.78bn broadly in-line with our estimate. Unitary EBITDA for grey cement stood at Rs770 vs. Rs433 in 3QFY19 and Rs824 in 2QFY20. While sales volume of grey cement, including clinker, grew by 3.5% YoY, average realisation came in at Rs4,355/tonne (+10% YoY and -2.5% QoQ) broadly in-line with our estimate. Operating cost/ tonne declined by 1.5% QoQ to Rs4,404 despite sequential rise in input cost. JKCE noted that continued high cost of fuel inventory from RIL did not let the benefit of lower fuel prices reflect in...

We reiterate BUY with a higher TP of Rs 1,654, valuing it at 10x Sep'21E consol EBITDA (in-line its 5-yr mean multiple). We like the co for its increased presence in the robust north market (grey biz) and for its steady growth in the white/putty segment. Its balance sheet remains under control (net Debt/EBITDA at ~2x in FY21-22), despite its large capacity increase across both grey cement (+40% to 14.7mn MT) and putty (+33% to 1.2 mn MT) by FY21E. We reiterate BUY on JK Cement (JKCE) with a TP of Rs 1,654 (10x its consol Sep21E EBITDA: EV/MT of USD 120).

Ramping up of additional capacity to drive growth JK Cement, on a YTD basis, has commissioned grinding capacity totalling to 3.5 MT over three locations and 8000 TPD of clinker capacity. Clinker bottlenecks, which the company used to face during peak demand periods, would not be a concern with the commissioning of the additional clinker line at Mangrol. Another GU of 0.7 MT is expected to be commissioned in the coming March/April. With expectation of a cement demand revival in the upcoming financial year and elimination of clinker bottlenecks, JK Cement...

Background: JK Cements is one of the largest cement players in North India. It manufactures grey cement, white cement and white cement based wall putty. Currently the grey cement capacity is 10.5MTPA. Domestic white cement capacity is 0.6MTPA (second only to UltraTech). The company also manufacturers putty and has an installed capacity of 0.7MTPA. The company also has plants in Fujairah (UAE) with an installed capacity of 0.6MTPA (white cement) and 1.02MTPA (grey cement) in a 90:10 JV with the Government of Fujairah. It has also expanded its grey cement capacity by 3 MTPA through two split grinding units (1.5 MTPA...