Hero MotoCorp Ltd. share price target

Hero Motocorps (HMCL) Q1 adjusted margin (16.8%) was ~100 bps higher than estimated. Expecting a recovery in rural volumes and good monsoon, management reiterated its positive outlook on volumes. That coupled with the low base of H2FY17 (demonetization)and market share recovery in scooters, we expec..

Revenue increased by 15.28% to Rs. 7971.58 Cr in Q1FY18 when compared to the previous quarter Revenue increased by 15.28% to Rs. 7971.58 Cr in Q1FY18 when compared to the previous quarter

Hero Motocorp's (HMCL) Q1FY18 number to a great extent, meet the consensus estimates. Net sales were at Rs7,972cr, up 7.7% yoy. EBITDA was at Rs1,296cr up 5.4% yoy and PAT was at Rs914cr, up 3.5% yoy. Consensus estimates of revenue, EBITDA and PAT were Rs8,053cr, Rs1,280cr and Rs912cr. HMCL's performance looks better than quarterly perfor..

We roll forward our target price on Jun-19, and value HMCL at Rs 4,250 (20x Jun-19E EPS) vs Rs 3,740 earlier, and recommend BUY. Hero Motocorps (HMCL) 1QFY18 EBITDA at Rs 12.95bn (+5.4% YoY) was slightly above estimates, led by a price hike made in May-17, and the benefit of operating leverage. Net sales stood at Rs 79bn (+8% YoY, +15% QoQ), on the back of 1.4% YoY rise in net ASP, along with 6% improvement in volumes. PAT at Rs 9.1bn (+4% YoY, +27% QoQ) was in line with estimates. Management expects the strong demand momentum to continue, on expectations of normal monsoon and new launches in FY18.

price hikes and continued success of LEAP program on the other expenses line item. Other expenses to sales were down at 11.4% as compared to 11.7% yoy and 12.9% qoq. Sequentially the margins have scaled up by 250 bps. Depreciation came in 15% higher yoy as Halol plant in...

Revenue increased by 8.65% to Rs. 6915.2 Cr in Q4FY17 when compared to the previous quarter.

ICICI Securities Ltd | Retail Equity Research Hero MotoCorp (HMCL) reported its Q4FY17 numbers, with topline & EBITDA below our estimates but PAT above estimates. Revenues came in at | 6915 crore, down 7.9% YoY, up 8.7% QoQ, against our estimate of | 7130 crore with the miss attributable to lower than estimated realisations. Net blended ASPs were at | 42644 vs. our estimate of | 43970. Revenues were also lower due to | 193 crore discount allowed in March 2017 for sale of BSIII compliant 2Ws...

Hero Motocorp's (HMCL) Q4 adjusted margin (16.2%) was slightly better than expected. Expecting a recovery in rural volumes and decent monsoon, management upped its FY18 volume guidance to low double digit vs. high single digit earlier.

Hero Motocorps (HMCL) 4QFY17 EBITDA at Rs 9.57bn (-19.5% YoY) came in below estimates, led by a poor model mix, higher RM cost and discounts offered to clear the BS3 inventory. PAT at Rs 7.2bn (-14% YoY) was affected by a lower operating margin (13.8%, -200bps YoY). The drop in the 4Q margin is a one-time impact, owing to the ban on BS3 vehicles.