Ajanta Pharma Ltd. share price target

With stability in industry cash cycle, AJP has enhanced its business scope in the branded markets of Asia and Africa. For branded generics business (67% of sales), AJP has guided for 9- 11% YoY growth for the next three years. Covered market growth in Dermatology for the past five years was 16%, while AJP grew at 8% due to a high base of Melacare range of products and higher attrition in MRs. Going forward, covered market growth is expected to be 9- 10%. Compared to its subdued growth in the past, AJP expects to do better (11- 12%) as (a) MR team being stabilized for this segment, (b) renewed interest in Melacare range of products and (c) new launches lined up in this segment. Considering covered market growth expectation at 7-8%, AJP intends to do better than industry at 10-11% in Cardiology.

Domestic formulations comprise 33% of FY19 revenues. The main distinguishing factor is the uncanny knack of launching maximum number of first time launches with focus on new drug delivery system (NDDS). Out of 270+ actively marketed brands, ~60% were first time launches. However, a slowdown in dermatology segment due to increased competition in existing products and slow offtake in new launches are some near term challenges. We expect domestic formulations to grow at ~12% CAGR in...

Domestic formulations comprise 33% of FY19 revenues. The main distinguishing factor is the uncanny knack of launching maximum number of first time launches with focus on new drug delivery system (NDDS). Out of 270+ actively marketed brands, ~60% were first time launches. However, a slowdown in dermatology segment due to increased competition in existing products and slow offtake in new launches are some near term challenges. We expect domestic formulations to grow at ~12% CAGR in...

Ajanta reported growth across most of the financial line items YoY and QoQ. Revenue/EBITDA/PAT grew by 20%/7%/9%YoY, while sequentially it grew by 19%/32%/30%. However, gross and EBITDA margins declined 700bps and 335bps YoY....

Domestic formulations - Focus on new launches, few therapies Domestic formulations comprise 33% of FY19 revenues. The main distinguishing factor is the uncanny knack of launching maximum number of first time launches with focus on new drug delivery system (NDDS). Out of 270+ actively marketed brands, ~60% were first time launches. However, a slowdown in dermatology segment due to increased competition in existing products and slow offtake in new launches are some near term challenges. We expect domestic formulations to grow at ~12% CAGR in...

Domestic formulations comprise 33% of FY19 revenues. The main distinguishing factor is the uncanny knack of launching maximum number of first time launches with focus on new drug delivery system (NDDS). Out of 270+ actively marketed brands, ~60% were first time launches. However, a slowdown in the dermatology segment due to increased competition in existing products and slow offtake in new launches may impact near term...

1 May 2019 Revenue declined 3% YoY to INR5.1b (in-line) in 4QFY19, largely on account of the weakness in (a) institutional anti-malaria (-26% YoY; 9% of sales) and (b) Africa branded generic (-31% YoY; 15% of sales) businesses. However, the impact was partly mitigated by the ramp-up in US sales (+79% YoY; 15% of sales) and steady growth in the India business (+8% YoY; 30% of sales)/Asia (+9% YoY; 28% of sales). EBITDA margin, too, contracted 164bp YoY to 24.7% (our v/s 19.8% in the year-ago period) and RM cost. Other expenses, however, declined to 34% of sales (36.2% in 4QFY18), providing some comfort to the FY19, sales/EBITDA/PAT declined 4%/14%/17% YoY to INR20.5b/INR5.6b/INR3.8b. In FY19, AJP filed 13 and received 12 ANDA approvals (including two tentative approvals). The company has commercialized 25 ANDAs till date.

Ajanta Pharma's Q3FY19 results were below I-direct estimates on all fronts mainly due to lower-than-exacted export formulation sales Revenues declined 17.4% YoY to | 485.1 crore (I-direct estimate: | 522.6 crore) due to 26.7% YoY decline in export formulations to...

Ajanta Pharma Ltd Q2FY19 results Comment Revenue increased by 6.48% to Rs. 544.11 Cr in Q2FY19 when compared to the previous quarter. Also, it rose by 0.69% when compared with Q2FY18

Ajanta Pharma (AJP) has delivered a better-than-expected performance on all operational metrics in 2QFY19 led by strong sales growth in Asia/US as well as lower-than-expected decline in Africa sales. Domestic business reported flat growth due to high YoY base led by channel re-filling post GST roll-out. Despite marginal sales growth, AJP's EBITDA de-grew by 9.5% YoY to Rs1.7bn on account of higher staff and other operating expenditure, owing to which EBITDA margin contracted by 345bps YoY to 30.5%. However, AJP's gross margin expanded by 255bps YoY to 82.4% due to better product-mix. Led by higher taxes, PAT de-grew by 4.9% YoY to Rs1.3bn. The Company is expected to file 10-12 ANDAs with the USFDA in FY19E. LPC maintained...