Eicher Motors Ltd. share price target

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GST Rationalization: Structural boost for the industry: Government has announced GST 2.0 reforms thereby reducing GST rates for the automobile sector across the segments and value chain, small cars, 2-W's up to 350cc, and 3-Ws will now attract 18% GST vs. 28% earlier which enables the 2W domain to expect healthy volume growth in FY26E led up upbeat demand sentiments in the rural economy amid healthy farm produce and positive 2025 monsoons. Domestically, RE dominates in the premium segment, where it has a ~84% market share in the 250-750cc category. RE drives...

We recommend a HOLD rating on the stock

Eicher's 2QFY26 consolidated PAT at INR13.6b was slightly lower than our estimates of INR14.4b, due to lower-than-expected margins in both segments.

Eicher Motors’ (EIM) Q2FY26 standalone EBITDAM came in at 24.9%, 80bps below I-Sec estimate. Marketing / brandbuilding efforts and regular product interventions have been driving the outperformance for RE in domestic market.

Looking ahead, Eicher Motors is well placed to capitalise on rising premiumisation trends and sustained rural demand. Its strategy to broaden customer base, particularly by targeting a younger demographic, is gaining traction and is expected to further fuel its growth trajectory. Additionally, continued momentum in the export market, supported by robust demand and expansion initiatives, bodes well for its future performance. With a strong pipeline of upcoming launches and continued progress on its EV roadmap through the Flying Flea brand, the company is poised...

We recommend a HOLD rating on the stock.

Eicher Motors’ (EIM) Q4FY25 standalone EBITDAM came in at 24.7%, 130bps below I-Sec estimate. Elevated marketing / brand-building efforts and regular product interventions have been driving growth for RE in domestic market.

Q3 revenue increased ~21%/17% YoY/QoQ to Rs 42.1bn, driven by a mix of volume and realisation gain in the motorcycle segment

We recommend a HOLD rating on the stock.

EIM reported a marginally weaker-than-expected operating performance as its renewed growth focus slightly hurt profitability. The company logged a 5% miss on our EBITDA estimate, amid lower ASP (down 2.4% QoQ) and weaker EBITDA margin at 24.2% (down by 100bps QoQ/190bps YoY).

Q2 revenue increased ~7% YoY (flat QoQ) to Rs 42.1bn, driven by realisation gain of 8% YoY to Rs 184.5k/motorcycle (small dip QoQ)

We maintain our BUY rating on the stock.

Eicher Motors’ (EIM) 2QFY25 operating performance was below our est. as margins contracted 90bp YoY to 25.5% mainly due to higher other expenses.