Mold-Tek Packaging Ltd. share price target

Mold-Tek Packaging (MTEP) reported numbers beat all our estimates owing to better than expected traction in demand in June 2020 from across sectros like Paints, Lubes and F&F.; Net Sales at Rs.65cr down 44% YoY (Rs. 32cr our estim) as operations across segments were hit for month of April

Mold Tek Packaging Gradual recovery already set in Moldtek Packaging (MTEP) Q1 results were a surprise. While management had guided losses in Q1, company reported marginal profits of Rs 16m due to sharper than expected recovery (June cu at 42% v/s 35% expected earlier). Revenues de-grew 43.7% on back of 41%/4% decline in volume/realisation. EBITDA/kg fell 24% to Rs 24.5. EBITDAM contracted 450bps YoY to 13.9% largely due to lower fixed cost absorption. PAT decline was sharper at...

Mold-Tek Packaging Ltd (MTEP), one of leading manufacturers' and suppliers of high quality airtight and pilfer proof containers/pails in India for Paints, Lubricants, Food and FMCG. Given near term impact on account of lockdown due to spread of...

Mold-Tek Packaging (MTEP) Q3FY20 print was in-line with our estimates. However, on margin front it beat our estimates. Revenue growth at 2% was flat (dragged by lower RM prices) despite 8% volume growth (aided by new plants for Asian Paints 11% vols growth).

Mold-tek packaging Ltd.'s (MPL) Q3FY20 result was marred by overall demand slowdown. Further, decline in raw material prices were passed on to the clients, which dented net sales. Net sales stood at Rs1,007 mn (+2% YoY) driven by 8.2% YoY volume growth. EBITDA came in at Rs187 mn (+10.8% YoY). Softness in raw material prices supported EBITDA margin which expanded by 127bps YoY to 18.6%. The company reported...

MTEP reported lower topline growth primarily due to slowdown in paint industry. Revenues grew 5.0% YoY but de-grew 11.9% QoQ to Rs 1,007m. EBITDA stood at Rs 192m, up 11.2% YoY but lower 8.5% QoQ. Improvement in gross margins by 460bps YoY and 280bps QoQ due to benign crude prices, EBITDAM expanded 110bps YoY and 70bps QoQ to 19.1. EBITDA/kg was Rs 34.3. PAT grew marginally (1.9%) YoY but de-grew 16.2% QoQ to Rs 88m. EPS stood at Rs 3.2. Q3 Paint volumes stood at 2,894 tons up 12.4% YoY (due to additional volumes from Vizag & Mysuru) but de-grew 20.9% sequentially due to slowdown in the...

IML key growth driver: IML volumes/value contribution in Q2FY20 stood at 61%/65% resp. IML's healthy rise in volume/value contribution is led by robust F&F; segment growth of 41%/55% YoY in both volume/value terms. F&F; growth was driven by q-packs for Edible Oil packaging.

Legacy paints division and F&F; segment supports topline growth: Q1FY20 topline growth of 14% was driven by volume growth of 15% wherein IML & Non-IML volume share grew by 61%/39% respectively YoY.

IML revenues as a percentage of sales increased from 61.7% in Q1FY19 to 65% in Q1FY20 and volumes from 53.5% to 61% on back of manifold growth in F&F; business. In spite of sustained growth in F&F; we do not anticipate this mix to change in the near term due to incremental volumes from Vizag and Mysuru. In spite of increase in interest costs estimates we have revised our PAT estimates upwards by 3.8% for FY20E and 21E due to lower tax rate (28% versus 35% previously). We expect Revenue/EBITDA/Adj.PAT to grow at 18.8%/19.0%/20.5% CAGR to Rs 5,563m/Rs 1,018m/ Rs 517m in FY21E on back of 1) sustained growth...

IML revenues as a percentage of sales increased from 61.7% in Q1FY19 to 65% in Q1FY20 and volumes from 53.5% to 61% on back of manifold growth in F&F; business. In spite of sustained growth in F&F; we do not anticipate this mix to change in the near term due to incremental volumes from Vizag and Mysuru. In spite of increase in interest costs estimates we have revised our PAT estimates upwards by 3.8% for FY20E and 21E due to lower tax rate (28% versus 35% previously). We expect Revenue/EBITDA/Adj.PAT to grow at 18.8%/19.0%/20.5% CAGR to Rs 5,563m/Rs 1,018m/ Rs 517m in FY21E on back of 1) sustained growth...

Mold-Tek Packaging Ltd (MTEP), one of the leading manufacturers and suppliers of high quality airtight and pilfer proof containers/pails in India for Paints, Lubricants, Food and FMCG. MTEP's revenue grew by 12% CAGR whereas PAT grew by whopping 41% CAGR over FY13-FY18. EBITDA margin expanded by 830bps to 18.7% over FY13-18. Strong profitability growth was led by margin expansion on account of increasing share of in-mold volumes....

Mold-Tek Packaging (MTEP) in Q3FY19 posted consolidated revenues of Rs. 98.7 Cr. (16% YoY, 2%QoQ) led by mix of volume and pricing growth. Volumes growth was on account of growth in Edible Oil packaging, Food & FMCG (F&F;) and Paints segment. EBITDA during the quarter stood at Rs. 17Cr.

There has been a slight delay in commencement of production at the Mysuru plant from December end to Mid January. As of now supplies to Asian Paints are being met from the Hyderabad plant. The Vizag plant will go on stream by end of February. Hence both plants will begin to contribute to production March onwards. The company expects to clock in...

There has been a slight delay in commencement of production at the Mysuru plant from December end to Mid January. As of now supplies to Asian Paints are being met from the Hyderabad plant. The Vizag plant will go on stream by end of February. Hence both plants will begin to contribute to production March onwards. The company expects to clock in...

Mold-Tek Packaging Ltds (MPL) Q2FY19 net revenue grew by 27.5% YoY in Q2FY19, driven by healthy volume growth of 19%. However, growth in EBITDA was relatively lower at 18.9% YoY, while EBITDA margins declined by 120bps YoY at 16.5%, impacted by input cost inflation.

Mold-Tek Packaging (MTPL) in Q2FY19 posted consolidated revenues of Rs. 100 Cr. (28% YoY, 2%QoQ) aided by 19%/9% volume/pricing led growth.

Mold-Tek Packaging (MTPL) in Q1FY19 posted consolidated revenues of Rs. 102 Cr. (up 16%/8%; YoY/QoQ basis) due to value growth led by a favourable product mix change in favour of high margin F&F; segment. EBITDA during the quarter stood at Rs. 18 Cr up 13%/8% on a YoY/QoQ basis respectively.

We initiate coverage on Mold-tek packaging Ltd. (MPL) with a BUY rating and price target of Rs 377 based on PE of 22x at FY20E EPS of Rs 17.1. We believe 1) leadership in IML manufacturing 2) complete in-house backward integrated operations 3) foray in high margin Food and FMCG segment 4) capacity expansion would be key growth catalysts for MPL. We expect MPL to clock Net Sales/EBITDA/PAT CAGR of...

MTPL Q1FY19 PAT was in-line with estimates, but EBITDA was above estimates, due to higher realisation. Despite the increase in raw materials costs, margin during the quarter remained flat QoQ, backed by higher IML sales and higher realisation. MTPL is on its way of sustainable growth story, backed by capacity addition at Mysuru, Vizag, greenfield plant at Hyderabad...