Bajaj Finance Ltd. share price target

Bajaj Finance Ltd (BAF) reported strong business momentum in Q1FY25 and continued to beat its guidance (of 26-28%) for AUM growth.

BAF has announced that on 2-May-24 the RBI has communicated to the
company about removal of restrictions by the Regulator on BAF sanctioning and
disbursing new loans under its ‘eCOM’ and ‘Insta EMI Card’ segments
(restrictions put on 15-Nov-23) and suspension of issuance of EMI Cards to new
customers (on 17-Nov-23).

MSIL: Steady performance, but steep valuations; downgrade to HOLD. HUVR: Subdued performance; expect gradual recovery. BAF: Obstacles for a powerful player on a protracted journey. SBILIFE: Expect market dominance to continue. SI: In-line Q4FY24; pipe volume guided to grow at healthy rate in FY25. DALBHARA: Disappointments all over; but paving the way for growth. UTIAM: Core profit in line; maintain HOLD. GLS: Weak quarter; maintain HOLD

BAF reported a good set of numbers in Q4FY24, against the backdrop of RBI’s
embargo on EMI and Ecom cards which affected PBT by ~4%, largely meeting
Consensus estimates. Management gave guidance for FY25 AUM growth of ~26-
28% and RoA of ~4.6-4.8% of AAUM, with profitability improving in the second
half as the first half will see some moderation in NIM on account of elevated
borrowing cost.

We maintain our BUY recommendation on the stock.

Bajaj Finance’s (Bajaj) Q4FY24 financial performance was mixed as AUM growth, new customer acquisition, asset quality
and operating efficiencies continued to trend as envisaged; continued stress in rural B2C and 21bps QoQ NIM contraction were dampeners.

Bajaj Finance (BAF)’s 4QFY24 reported PAT grew ~21% YoY to
~INR38.2b (in line), while FY24 PAT rose ~26% YoY to INR144.5b.

We initiate coverage on Bajaj Finance (BAF) with a BUY recommendation and
Mar-25E TP of Rs9,000/sh (~23.4% upside), implying FY26E consolidated P/B
of 5.1x.