Radico Khaitan Ltd. share price target

Innovation and premiumization success demand a premium

RKL’s Q3FY25 performance was good with revenue growth of 11.5% y-o-y to Rs. 1,294 crore and OPM rising by 191 bps y-o-y to 14.2%, which led to PAT growth of 27% y-o-y to Rs. 96 crore.

We recommend a BUY on the stock with an upside of 10% from the CMP

We re-iterate a Buy on Radico Khaitan (RKL) with a revised PT of Rs. 2,996. Stock trades at 64x/51x its FY26E/FY27E earnings, respectively. P&A category to post over 15% volume growth in FY2025 driven by focus on premiumisation, while regular category is expected to deliver mid-single-digit volume growth.

Radico Khaitan Limited’s (RKL’s) Q2FY2025 numbers were strong beating estimates on all fronts, with net revenues rising by 21% y-o-y and OPM improving 152 bps y-o-y to 14.6%, leading to 33% y-o-y growth in PAT.

We retain a Buy on Radico Khaitan (RKL) with a revised PT of Rs. 2,489. Stock trades at 53x and 42x its FY2026E and FY2027E earnings, respectively.

Radico Khaitan Limited’s (RKL’s) Q1FY2025 numbers were strong in tough times, with revenues rising by 19% y-o-y; EBIDTA margins improving 58 bps y-o-y to 13.1%; EBIDTA grew by 25% y-o-y.

We remain positive on the stock and maintain our BUY recommendation Target Price & Valuation: We value the stock at | 1200 i.e. 40x P/E on FY23E EPS Key triggers for future price performance: Newer capacities would ensure enough availability of grain based ENA to address Radico higher growth...

The liquor sector is witnessing emergence of newer premium price points due to higher instances of at-home liquor consumption. Fewer avenues for customer discretionary spend resulted in higher spends towards upgradation of liquor brands (that typically exhibit higher customer...

IMFL segment comprises ~80% of consolidated revenues. The rest is contributed by IMIL and bulk alcohol P&A volumes contribute 30% to the overall IMFL volumes (rest by popular)...

IMFL segment comprises ~80% of consolidated revenues. The rest is contributed by IMIL and bulk alcohol P&A; volumes contribute 30% to the overall IMFL volumes (rest by popular)...

RKL has been continuously reducing its overall net-debt from peak of ~| 950 crore to current ~| 198 crore and generated ~| 380 crore of CFO in FY21. The management also intends to outsource its bottling of popular segment volumes, which would lower its incremental investment into increasing capacity, thus improving its return ratios. Radico continues to widen its volume growth performance over other industry players while its increased brand presence in higher categories is helping it to instil longevity into Radico's premiumisation journey. We maintain our BUY rating on the stock...

Radico continues to widen its volume growth performance over other industry players. It is on the cusp of another breakthrough (post dominance of domestic vodka market volumes) with its focus on the bigger domestic P&A; whisky segment by launching more brands in the segment. Exports market (8% of revenues) and CSD (8-9% of revenue), present other opportunities to grow its premium products. The company is also expected to become debt free in a year or two. We maintain our BUY rating on the...

Newer launches to help company tap premium segments Premium variants of successful brands such as 8PM whisky (8PM platinum), Morpheus brandy (Morpheus Blue), Magic Moments (better canister packaging, Magic Moments Verve) has helped the company to explore newer segments (Prestige and Above whisky) and also tap different consumer palates. Radico is planning to launch more premium products in the whiskey segment. Launches in super-premium segments (Jaisalmer Indian Craft gin, Rampur Indian Single Malt) are expected to help the...

Upping the competitive ante; Growth + PE re-rating story Radico Khaitan (RDCK) AR highlight that it registered a healthy 12.5% volume growth in FY20 against industry growth of meager 0.5%. Premiumisation remains the key focus area and a growth driver. 11 out of 12 brands launched in last decade were in premium category. RDCK's brand portfolio is entirely organically developed. RDCK has four millionaire brands and two more in the pipe. RDCK was ranked as the no. 1 mid-cap company in Fortune India's The Next 500 viz. the most...

The company is seeing a good recovery as June sales were only down ~10% YoY and the company expects to reach normal revenue trajectory in H2FY21. On profitability front, gross margin expanded owing to combination of factors like better price realisation and favourable state and product mix and price increase in key southern state of Telangana. Benign input cost and higher product realisation are expected to aid in gross margin improvement and stringent cost control and judicious spend on sales promotion will...