1. Oberoi Realty:
This Mumbai-based realty developer hit a new 52-week high of Rs 1771.5 on Friday after surging 19.5% over the week, following the release of its Q4 and FY24 results. In Q4FY24, the company reported operating revenue growth of 36.8% YoY to Rs 1,314.8 crore, surpassing Trendlyne’s Forecaster estimate by 2.8%. Its net profit rose 64.1% YoY to Rs 788 crore, beating forecaster estimates by 136%. The company got a boost from strong demand for its luxury projects and was able to reduce inventory significantly, leading to lower operating costs.
Oberoi Realty’s rental portfolio, which contributed around 12% of Q4 revenue, grew 68% YoY to Rs 155 crore. Occupancy levels at Commerz I and II have increased by 8% and 6% respectively on an annual basis. A new entrant to their leasing portfolio, Commerz III, has already reached an occupancy of 50% with Morgan Stanley occupying most of it. The management aims to expand occupancy levels to 80-85% in the next two quarters.
The company’s board has approved a fundraising of up to Rs 4,000 crore by issuing non-convertible debentures and a qualified institutional placement of equity shares. The funds will be used for ongoing and upcoming projects.
Chairman and Managing Director, Vikas Oberoi says, “The company will be able to achieve the Rs 1,000 crore mark from its rental portfolio from its current levels of 450 crore by the end of FY25.” He also highlighted that most of its realty peers have already sold their properties, leaving them with little to no competition. As a result, the company expects to sell its inventory of Rs 5,000 crore, mostly ready-to-move properties, in the next 24-30 months.
Zee Business reports that HDFC Securities maintains a ‘Buy’ rating on Oberoi Realty. Analysts are optimistic due to the cash flow visibility from ready-to-move-in inventory in the 360 West and Mulund projects, along with other new projects. With a target price of Rs 1,833, this real estate developer has a potential upside of 5.2%.
2. Polycab India:
This consumer durables company surged by 11.8% over the past week and hit a new 52-week high of Rs 6,542.9 on Friday. This comes after its net profit rose 29.1% YoY to Rs 553.5 crore in Q4FY24, beating Trendlyne’s Forecaster estimates by 13.5%. Its revenue also rose by 29% YoY during the quarter, driven by the wires and cables segment. As a result of the rise in share price, Polycab India features in a screener of stocks with prices above short, medium, and long-term moving averages.
The company’s wires and cables (W&C) segment, which constitutes around 85% of the revenue, grew by 19.3% YoY during the quarter. In comparison, its peers Havells India and KEI Industries saw W&C segment growth of 14.1% and 17.9%, respectively YoY. In FY24, Polycab’s market share in the W&C industry improved to 25-26% (compared to 22-24% in FY23).
Cables and wires manufacturers have gained overall, from the increased demand in the real estate and infrastructure sectors, as well as increased government capex. Polycab’s FMEG segment also witnessed healthy growth at 17.3% YoY due to higher demand.
According to Gandharv Tongia, the CFO, “Rural market is growing, and with consumer goods players witnessing a good run, more investments are likely. In addition to domestic markets, we see a lot of demand coming in from Europe, Australia, and other countries. All this is expected to help sustain the demand momentum in the cables and wire segment.” The consumer durables maker expects to achieve its target of Rs 20,000 crore in revenue, as per its Project Leap by the end of FY26. It has also guided a capex of Rs 10,000-11,000 crore over the next two years.
Earlier this year, the Income Tax Department allegedly detected unaccounted cash sales by the company and conducted raids at various premises. The management highlighted that it was instructed to provide explanations for certain queries. Polycab has not been charged any penalty so far.
Post the company’s results, Prabhudas Lilladher maintains its ‘Buy’ rating on Polycab with an upgraded target price of Rs 7,086. The brokerage sees revenue and PAT CAGR of 17.9% and 16.6%, respectively, over FY25-26, led by a strong domestic demand environment and expected improvement in international business.
3. Siemens:
This heavy electrical equipment company surged 17.2% over the past week and hit its all-time high of Rs 7,249.1 per share on Thursday as its net profit rose 70.2% YoY to Rs 802.5 crore in Q4FY24. Revenue increased by 18.6% YoY to Rs 5,681 crore, driven by improvements in the energy, smart infrastructure, mobility, and digital segments.
The company’s net profit beat Trendlyne’s Forecaster estimates by 36.3%. However, revenue missed estimates by 0.6%. The revenue miss was due to a decline in order booking to Rs 5,180 crore in Q4FY24 compared to an order inflow of Rs 25,400 crore in Q3FY24 which, according to the management, was due to delays in deal finalisation. It shows up in a screener of stocks with negative to positive growth in sales and net profit with strong price momentum.
Siemens also approved a capex of Rs 550 crore for capacity expansion. It also plans the demerger of its energy business into a separate listed entity, Siemens Energy. The company’s board of directors approved issuing one share of Siemens Energy for one share held in Siemens. In FY24, the company’s energy business recorded a revenue of Rs 6,080.3 crore, contributing to 33.2% of its total revenue.
Speaking on the company’s capex plans, Sunil Mathur, MD and CEO, said, “Siemens is focused on expanding its operations, with the expansion of the gas insulated switchgear (GIS) factory in Goa (approx. Rs 330 crore) and a new metro train manufacturing facility in Aurangabad (approx. Rs 190 crore), which is set to serve multiple international markets.”
Post results, Motilal Oswal maintains its ‘Buy’ call on the stock with an upgraded target price of Rs 7,800 per share. This indicates a potential upside of 8.6%. The brokerage remains positive on the company due to its spending in the transmission and business and its strong positioning to win orders in the railway segment. It expects the company’s revenue to grow at a CAGR of 13.1% over FY25-26.
4. Zomato:
This internet software and services company fell 3.5% on Monday after announcing its results. In the past year, the firm's share price has risen by 209.3%, outperforming its industry by 91.6 percentage points. In Q4FY24, the company reported a net profit of Rs 175 crore, compared to a loss of Rs 188.2 crore in Q4FY23. The company’s revenue grew 70.5% YoY. It appears in a screener for stocks with increasing revenue every quarter for the past eight quarters. However, the company missed Trendlyne Forecaster’s net profit estimate by 13%. The estimates miss was due to a higher employee stock option plan (ESOP) cost. The total ESOP charge for Q4FY24 was Rs 161 crore.
Zomato’s revenue from the food delivery business grew 48.4% YoY, while Hyperpure (its B2B business) increased by 99% YoY. Blinkit, its quick commerce segment, grew by 111.9% YoY and turned EBITDA positive in March 2024. It added 75 stores in Q4, taking its total store count to 526.
The company expects to add another 100 stores in the next quarter and reach 1,000 stores by the end of FY25. CEO Deepinder Goyal said, “With the aggressive store expansion plans, the EBITDA is likely to be lower for the next few quarters.” In steady state, he expects it to be 4-5% as a percentage of gross order value.
Among other news, in the past week, Zomato surrendered its payment aggregator license and its application for the mobile wallet license. The management believes that it doesn't have a significant competitive advantage in the payments space and hence does not foresee the payments business as commercially viable.
CLSA upgraded its rating to a 'Buy' due to Zomato's strong guidance for Blinkit and steady performance in food delivery, despite ESOP costs impacting profits in Q4. Analysts are optimistic about the company’s achievement of breakeven for Blinkit and plan to prioritize its growth. They also believe that the expansion will impact the short-term profitability of the company but say that it will help the business become a quick-commerce leader.
5. JK Cement:
This cement & cement products company rose by 2.4% on Monday after it announced its result on May 12. The firm beat Trendlyne’s Forecaster estimates for Q4FY24 for revenue by 0.8%, but missed the net profit estimate by 20.8%. For Q4FY24, the company’s net profit rose by 95.7% YoY to Rs 219.8 crore on the back of 29% decline in power and fuel costs, while revenue rose by 11.9% YoY. The stock shows up in a screener for companies with strong annual EPS growth.
The company saw a 19% increase in volumes in FY24, thanks to the recent expansion of cement capacity in central India, where utilization rates reached 85%. Additionally, its new expansion plan aims to boost total Grey Cement capacity from 22 mtpa to 30 mtpa, at a capital cost of Rs 2,850 crore.
The company expects demand to pick up in Q3FY25 post the elections and monsoon in Q1 & Q2. With the government's increased attention on infrastructure development in states like UP and Maharashtra, there's anticipation of accelerated per-capita cement consumption in the future. The company’s upcoming Prayagraj unit is expected to commence in Q2FY25.
The company’s management expects volume growth of ~10% vs. industry growth of ~7% in FY25 along with further cost reduction of Rs 150-200/tn by FY26. For its paint business, the management expects the sales to reach Rs 300 crore in FY25 and Rs 500 crore in FY26. In Q1FY25, the company anticipates a slight decrease in power and fuel expenses.
Axis Direct has retained its "Buy" rating on JK Cement with a price target of Rs 4,340. The brokerage expects the company’s revenue to reach a CAGR of 14% over FY25-26 and expects the company to report an EBITDA margin in the range of 18-20% with EBITDA/tonne of Rs 1,140/1215 in FY25E/FY26E, driven by higher volumes, stable realizations, and lower costs.
Trendlyne's analysts identify stocks that are seeing interesting price movements, analyst calls, or new developments. These are not buy recommendations.
