173.55 -0.90 (-0.52%)
NSE Oct 27, 2020 15:31 PM
Volume: 6.0M

HDFC Securities
HPCL is doubling its existing capacity at Visakh from 8.3mmtpa to 15mmtpa by FY21E (outlay Rs. 210bn) and increasing it from the current 7.5mmtpa to 9.5mmtpa (outlay Rs 50bn) at Mumbai. This will drive the earnings for its refinery business. We remain constructive on HPCL in a falling crude price scenario as it will (1) Reduce Govt's intervention in auto fuel pricing, (2) Reduce working capital, (3) Put subsidy burden overhang to rest. Our SOTP target is Rs 315 (6x Dec 21E EV/e for standalone refining and pipeline, 7x EV/e for marketing and Rs 51/sh from other investments) vs the consensus TP of Rs 340/sh. HPCL reported an in-line revenue/gross profit in Q3. However, EBITDA/PAT were below our estimates by 18.2/26.1% owing to higher operating expenses. We maintain BUY given the impending 55% increase in refining capacity and stable marketing margins.
Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd. has lost -42.35% in the last 1 Year
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