Orient Cement Ltd. share price target

Company reported 36% QoQ increase in PAT to `348mn and PAT margins improved to 7.3% in Q2FY21 on the back of higher operating profit. Company's EBITDA per ton stood at `1109 per ton compared to `432 per ton and...

Background: Orient Cement, a CK Birla group company, formed in 2012 following the demerger from Orient Paper and Industries ltd, is a mid-sized south based cement manufacturer. The company is one of the leading cement manufacturers in India with a capacity of 8 MTPA with clinker manufacturing capacity 5.5 MTPA and captive power capacity of 95MW. The Company operates 3 manufacturing facilities, located at Devapur (3 MTPA) in Telangana, Chittapur (3 MTPA) in Karnataka and...

Background: Orient Cement, a CK Birla group company, formed in 2012 following the demerger from Orient Paper and Industries ltd, is a mid-sized south based cement manufacturer. The company is one of the leading cement manufacturers in India with a capacity of 8 MTPA with clinker manufacturing capacity 5.5 MTPA and captive power capacity of 95MW. The Company operates 3 manufacturing facilities, located at Devapur (3 MTPA) in Telangana, Chittapur (3 MTPA) in...

Orient Cement's top-line de-grew by ~13% Y-o-Y to `6545mn primarily on the back of decline in sales volume. Sales volume plunged 14.2% YoY to 1.57mn MT due to combination of weak demand in South India and nationwide shutdown (led by Covid-19 pandemic) in last week of March 2020. However, realisations were up marginally by 1-2% YoY to `4169/MT on account of higher sales from higher price markets. EBITDA in Q4FY20 stood at `1247mn down 18.5% Y-o-Y on the back of sales decline however it inched higher 127% QoQ primarily on the back of lower raw material costs which plunged 26% QoQ to `468mn in Q4FY20. Further higher realization and lower...

Background: Orient Cement, a CK Birla group company, formed in 2012 following the demerger from Orient Paper and Industries ltd, is a mid-sized south based cement manufacturer. The company is one of the leading cement manufacturers in India with a capacity of 8 MTPA with clinker manufacturing capacity 5.5 MTPA and captive power capacity of 95MW. The Company operates 3 manufacturing facilities, located at Devapur (3 MTPA) in Telangana, Chittapur (3 MTPA) in...

Amid continued demand turbulence in the south, Orient exhibited opex reduction. As demand recovers in subsequent quarters, op-lev gains should bolster margin recovery. Orient is also planning to add 10MW WHRS in Karnataka to further reduce opex (FY23 onwards). The stock currently trades at an attractive valuation of 6.9/6.8x FY21/22 EBITDA and at EV of USD 58/MT. We reiterate BUY with a TP of Rs 120 (8x Sep'21E EBITDA). We reiterate BUY on Orient Cement (ORCMNT) with a TP of Rs 120 (8x FY21E EBITDA, implies EV of USD 68/MT).

Sector: Cement /Small Cap | Earnings Update 2QFY20 Background: Orient Cement, a CK Birla group company, formed in 2012 following the demerger from Orient Paper and Industries ltd, is a mid-sized south based cement manufacturer. The company is one of the leading cement manufacturers in India with a capacity of 8 MTPA with clinker manufacturing capacity 5.5 MTPA and captive power capacity of 95MW. The Company operates 3 manufacturing facilities, located at Devapur (3 MTPA) in Telangana, Chittapur (3 MTPA) in Karnataka and...

21 October 2019 ORCMNTs volumes fell 16% YoY to 1.24mt in 2QFY20. Realizations increased 9% YoY but were down 9% QoQ to INR4,150/t due to weak pricing in the markets of south and Maharashtra. Cost/t rose 4% YoY (+4% QoQ) to INR3,718, higher than our estimate of INR3,554, due to higher freight cost/t (+4% YoY) and other expenses/t (+32% YoY). Freight cost was higher, primarily due to an increase in average lead distance as ORCMNT reached newer markets in south Karnataka. Thus, EBITDA/t stood at INR432/t (+78% INR908m) with the margin at 10.4% (+4.04pp YoY, -11.3pp QoQ). Tax rate was at 28.5% v/s 35% in 2QFY19. ORCMNT incurred a net loss of INR77m Sales were flat at INR12b, while EBITDA increased 68% YoY to INR2b. PAT came in at INR482m v/s loss of INR7.4m in 1HFY19. For 2HFY20, sales/EBITDA/PAT growth is estimated at 4%/5%/27% YoY.

ORMCNT, already a cost leader among mid size Indian cement cos, is evaluating WHRS additions to further reduce opex (by FY21E). ORCMNT will also do calibrated capex (all brown-field) to increase its capacity by 6 MT to 14mn MT by FY25E, across its existing locations. Robust earnings and calibrated capex should double ORCMNT's RoCE to 10% in FY19-20E (vs 5% in FY18-19) and keep its net D/E at/below 1x. The stock currently trades at attractive valuations of 6.1x FY21 EBITDA and at EV/MT of USD 61. We reiterate BUY with a TP of Rs 150 (8x FY21E EBITDA). We reiterate BUY on Orient Cement (ORCMNT) with a TP of Rs 150 (8x FY21E EBITDA). ORCMNTs stellar show continued in 1QFY20 on strong realization tailwinds amid benign input costs.