Nestle India Ltd. share price target

4QFY25 sales were above our estimates, but EBITDA was in line. NEST continues to manage margins despite high cocoa/coffee inflation

Nescafe, Milkmaid, Masala-Ae-Magic, Petcare reported double-digit growth while KitKat reported high-single digit growth NESTLE saw a decent quarter with margin beat as calibrated price hikes neutralized the impact of high inflation in coffee and cocoa. Although demand remains weak, there seems QoQ improvement across segments. Although we expect gradual pick up in volume growth, high input cost inflation in coffee &...

We retain REDUCE on Nestlé India and Mar-26E TP of Rs2,300, on 60x P/E. We see demand stress persisting in a major part of the portfolio, with demand for milk products continuing to see impact of healthy price hikes (amid inflation) and competitive pressure in prepared dishes.

We remain optimistic about the company's long-term prospects. With a 10% upside potential from the CMP, we maintain our BUY rating on the stock.

Nestle India (Nestle) reported a 4.5% YoY growth in total revenue in 4QFY25, in line with our estimate. Domestic sales grew only 4.2% YoY (vs. 9% growth in the previous eight quarters) given the macroeconomic headwinds.

Nestle’s Q4FY25 operational performance was subdued with revenue growth of 4% YoY on a high base of 9% and ~100 bps margin contraction primarily due to inflationary pressures in key raw materials such as coffee, edible oil and palm oil.

We remain optimistic about the company's long-term prospects. With a 10% upside potential from the CMP, we maintain our BUY rating on the stock.

Nestlé sees strong growth potential in India, as its per capita packaged food consumption remains low. With 60 million people expected to join the middle- and high-income segments by 2030, rising affordability will boost demand.

The company's revenue stood at Rs. 47,797 Millions in Dec 24 quarter, showing a 3.9% increase compared to Rs. 46,004 Millions in the corresponding quarter of the previous year whereas there was a de growth of 6.4% on QoQ basis. In 9M FY25 basis, the company reported a revenue of Rs. 146,977 Millions a growth of 2.8% on annual basis.

NEST continues to manage profits amidst inflation in cocoa and coffee. Wheat and palm have also turned inflationary

Nestle India (Nestle) reported a 4% YoY revenue growth (est. 5%) in 3QFY25. Domestic sales grew 3% YoY, hurt by a slowdown in urban consumption and higher commodity prices.

Nestle’s Q2FY25 revenue growth was disappointing; it further de-accelerated to 1% YoY (vs 4% in Q1FY25) due to subdued consumer demand.

We remain optimistic about the company's long-term prospects. With an 11% upside potential from the CMP, we maintain our BUY rating on the stock.

Nestle India’s (Nestle’s) Q2FY2025 numbers were weak, missing estimates on all fronts. Muted revenue growth at 1.3% y-o-y along with 144 bps y-o-y decline in OPM and lower other income lead to 9.1% y-o-y decline in adjusted PAT.

Sales came in 4% below consensus while EBITDA was 10% lower due to margin being 152bps below expectations

Nestle India (Nestle) reported weak revenue growth of 1% YoY (est. 6%) in 2QFY25. Last eight-quarter average revenue growth was 10%. Domestic sales grew 1% YoY, impacted by muted demand and higher commodity prices.