Birlasoft Ltd. share price target

3QFY25 performance impacted by higher-than-expected furloughs and decline in ERP Biz. Revenue declined by 1.1% QoQ in CC terms

Birlasoft reported revenue of $160.8 million, down 1.1% q-o-q/0.1% y-o-y, in constant currency (CC) terms, missing our estimate of $164.3 million. Revenue in rupee terms stood at Rs. 1362.7 crore, down 0.4% q-o-q/up 1.5% y-o-y.

Birlasoft is trying to pivot to address both annuity and transformation deals to remain on the growth path with decent margins

Big miss on revenue and margins. Significant shifts in cost items on a QoQ basis help prevent collapse in margins

TCV in Q4 (down 16% y/y) and H2 (down 11% y/y) was soft. In FY24, it was flattish (up 1%). However, the book:bill was 1.5x (LTM 1.4x),hence, the slow FY24 TCVgrowth may not impact revenue growth in FY25

? Reported revenue stood at $163.9 million, up 1.6% q-o-q/9.6% y-o-y in constant currency (cc) terms, slightly missing our estimates of $164.2 million driven by BFSI, E&U and manufacturing verticals.

Birlasoft’s revenue grew 3.1% QoQ (2.7% in cc terms) to US$ 153.6mn. Adjusted for receipt of US$ 2mn for disengagement services pertaining to settlement with Invacare, revenue grew 1.7% QoQ (1.4% in cc terms). OPM stood at 15.3%, aided by better gross margin, lower SG&A expenses, better utilization, automation and lower attrition.