JK Paper Ltd. share price target

We recommend adding longs buying range 390-395 with a stop loss below 356 levels for 1st target at 444 levels...

JK Paper Ltd.'s (JK Paper) Q4FY26 result was in-line with our estimate on net sales front, while margins were beat to our forecast. The management cited that the higher volume with improved operational efficiencies contributed to better performance during the current quarter compared to the corresponding period as well as sequentially. Despite high wood cost and low priced imports, which have severely eroded industry margins, JK Paper achieved its highest ever Paper and Board sale of 8.19 Lac MT during FY26 and maintained its leadership position across its product categories. The performance of the Company's packaging...

JK Paper Ltd.'s (JK Paper) Q3FY26 result was below our estimates on key parameters. The management cited that Q3FY26 performance has been adversely impacted primarily due to planned annual shut at two major plants of JK Paper Ltd in Odisha and Gujarat leading to lower production. Further, continued imports at low price have resulted in lower sales realisation, and sharp rupee depreciation against Euro has impacted the finance cost. On a positive note, some improvement is anticipated in the coming quarter due to improved demand and reduction in input costs. The Company's Composite Scheme of Arrangement has...

JK Paper Ltd.'s (JK Paper) Q2FY26 result was broadly in-line with our estimates on key parameters. The management guided that the Paper and Paper Board segment continued to face challenges arising from higher wood cost and lower sales realisation due to cheap imports. This has adversely impacted profitability across the product segments despite increased sales volume over the corresponding period. However, on a positive note the performance of the Company's packaging conversion subsidiaries improved during the quarter. Further, the management cited that the recent changes in GST rates have also had...

JK Paper Ltd.'s (JK Paper) Q1FY26 result was broadly in-line with estimates on net sales and EBITDA front, while net profit was below our forecast. The Company's core business in Paper and Paper Board continued to face headwinds from cheap imports resulting in depressed sales realization and ongoing high domestic wood prices weighed on operating margin. Despite this, JK Paper improved its profits on a sequential basis. The management believes that packaging conversion business is amongst the fastest growing segments in the Indian Paper and Packaging industry driven by growth in end use industries....

Beats EBITDA estimate (+17%) on improved gross margin; EBITDA margin improved for the second consecutive quarter

JK Paper Ltd.'s (JK Paper) Q4FY25 result was broadly in-line with estimates on key parameters. The company reported improved performance on a sequential basis led by higher volume and cost optimization. However, on YoY basis the earnings were subdued, reflecting underline pain in NSR and raw material cost. The management attributed weak earnings to surge in imports at low prices and high wood cost. During Q4FY25, the Company acquired 60% of the Equity Shares of Radhesham Wellpack Private Limited (RWPL) and 62.14% of Equity Shares of Quadragen Vethealth Private Limited (QVPL). We have fine-tuned earnings...

Higher sales volume and improved NSR aided net sales growth Despite challenging business environment, JK Paper's sales volume was at 104,841MT, a growth of 32% YoY. The company reported NSR improvement of 7% YoY to Rs63,029/MT led by higher packaging board and coated paper prices. Sirpur plant has gained traction during Q1FY22 and it would reach at 100% capacity expansion by Q4FY22E or Q1FY23E. Packaging board unit will be operational in Q3FY21E and would have meaningful contribution to net sales in FY23E. Operating leverage and cost cutting led to robust EBITDA margin expansion...

JK Paper Ltd.'s Q4FY21 result was beat to our estimates on key parameters. The company reported another quarter of an all-round performance aided by higher volume as well as improved net sales realization. Net sales increased by 22.1% YoY to Rs8,982mn, while EBITDA came in at Rs2,284mn, up by 29.4% YoY. It reported net profit of Rs1,361mn, a healthy growth of 46.8% over Q4FY20. The management's prudent strategies on price hike and focus on increasing sales volume led to outperformance despite challenging business environment. The global softwood pulp prices are still holding up at ~USD800/MT mark, which gives us confidence that the domestic paper prices are bound to increase once...

JK Paper Ltd.'s Q3FY21 result was in-line with our estimates on net sales and EBITDA front, while higher than anticipated interest cost led net profit below our forecast. Net sales declined by 9.6% YoY to Rs7,423mn, while EBITDA came in at Rs1,552mn, down by 32.7% YoY. The company reported net profit of Rs646mn, lower by 51% over Q3FY21. The management attributed net sales decline to sharp degrowth in net sales realization (NSR) on account of subdued demand for PWP in Q3FY21. On a positive note, higher global pulp prices and demand revival in the domestic market from beginning of Q4FY21 has led to increase in NSR. Sirpur plant is now operational and should contribute to net sales in next...