We recently hosted Mr. Kamal Gupta, MD of J Kumar Infraprojects Ltd (JKIL) Change in Estimates | Target | Reco to gain insights on company's growth strategy and industry outlook. Despite of challenging environment due to pandemic, the company reported healthy...

Management raised its revenue guidance for FY21 to Rs22bn (vs earlier guidance of Rs20bn), with EBITDA margins in the range of 13-14%. JKIL reported a healthy operational performance with revenues coming in above our and street estimates and margins showing resilience through...

We broadly maintain our FY21E/ FY22E estimates factoring H1FY21 results. We introduce FY23E estimates. JKIL's stable revenue growth (11.8% CAGR over FY20-23E) and EBITDA margin of 12.3%/ 14.0%/ 14.0% in FY21E/ FY22E/ FY23E will lead to healthy CAGR of 9.5% in its bottom line over FY20-23E. We, therefore, expect the RoCE and RoE to...

We reduce our revenue estimates by 11.8% and increase our EBITDA margins by 278 bps to 12.1% for FY21E factoring Q1FY21 results. Accordingly, we increase our PAT estimates by 125.0% for FY21E. We broadly maintain our FY22E estimates. JKIL's muted revenue growth (4.9% CAGR over FY20-22E) and EBITDA margin of 12.1%/ 14.0% in FY21E/ FY22E will lead to muted CAGR of -4.5% in its bottom line over FY20-22E. We, therefore, expect the RoCE and RoE to dip to 9.9%/ 8.6% in FY22E from 11.4%/ 10.5% in FY20....

We expect re-rating to happen in near term as 3QFY21 will see major turnaround on profitability. We maintain BUY. Key risks (1) Geographic concentration (2) Order conversion within estimated timelines (3) Extended lockdown (4) Prolonged monsoon. JKIL delivered 22/(6)/(24)% 4QFY20 Rev/EBIDTA/APAT beat/(miss) as margins collapsed owing to lockdown impact, esp. in urban centers like NCR/MMR (~90% of order book). Labor availability is ~20% and is gradually ramping up, expected to normalize by 3QFY21E. We expect about 35-40% execution for 1QFY21 and 45-50% during 2QFY21 (YoY). Whilst order backlog is robust at 4x FY20 book/bill, near term execution challenges have sprung up as Metro/Tier-1 cities are the worst impacted due to COVID-19 in terms of labor migration. We have revised our FY21/22E Rev estimates by (23)/(0.5)% and APAT by (85)/(3.8)%. At 4.1x FY22E EPS, 1HFY21 losses/execution disappointment is already priced in.

View: Weak quarter, EBITDA loss in Q1FY21E; downgrade to Accumulate JKIL reported revenue above estimates, EBITDA margin below estimates and PAT in line with estimates. JKIL posted 9.3%/ 31.4%/ 45.8% YoY de-growth in revenue/ EBITDA/ PAT to Rs8.8 bn/ Rs919 mn/ Rs311 mn in Q4FY20. We reduce our revenue estimates by 15.2%/ 7.6% for FY21E/ FY22E on account of lockdown due to covid-19. We factor EBITDA loss/ EBITDA breakeven levels in Q1FY21E/ Q2FY21E leading to reduction in EBITDA...

JKIL achieved strong performance during 3QFY20. FY20/21E Rev guidance is maintained at Rs 32/36bn. Order book is robust at 2.55x FY20E Revenue. With strong execution visibility on current order book, JKIL is well placed for re-rating. At CMP JKIL trades at 4.8x FY21E EPS. We maintain BUY. Key risks (1) Geographic concentration (2) Order conversion within estimated timelines. JKIL delivered 1/(10)/(4)% 3QFY20 Rev/EBIDTA/APAT beat/(miss). We retain our FY20/21E Revenue estimates while revising FY20/21E APAT estimates by 0.4/(2.6)%. We maintain BUY on JKIL with a TP of Rs 269/sh (vs. Rs 276/sh earlier, 8x Mar-21E EPS).

JKIL achieved strong performance during 2QFY20. FY20/21E Rev guidance is maintained at Rs 32/36bn. Old legacy issues are all settled now. Order book is robust at 4.1x FY20E Revenue. With strong execution visibility on current order book, JKIL is well placed for re-rating. At CMP JKIL trades at 4.6x FY21E EPS. We maintain BUY. Key risks (1) Political instability in Maharashtra; (2) Order conversion within estimated timelines. JKIL delivered 8/14/21% 2QFY20 Rev/EBIDTA/APAT beat. We maintain our FY20/21E Rev/EBIDTA estimates. Owing to lower tax rate adoption, we have increased FY20/21E APAT estimates by 1.3/6.7%. We maintain BUY on JKIL with a TP of Rs 276/sh (vs. Rs 258/sh earlier, 8x Mar-21E EPS), increase is largely driven by FY21E EPS upgrade.

JKIL delivered yet another robust quarter, driven by new order wins moving into execution. SEBI outcome is awaited post JKIL providing all documents. But this uncertainty is restraining re-rating. Order wins have been robust and JKIL is well placed for earnings led recovery. We maintain BUY. Key risks (1) Adverse SEBI judgment; (2) Government capex slowdown (3) Interest rate hike. We maintain BUY on JKIL with a reduced TP of Rs 322/sh (vs Rs 335/sh earlier). We value JKIL at 10x FY21E EPS. Due to strong order inflows we have increase our FY20/21E Revenue estimate by 10.9/10.9%. Lower EBIDTA margin assumption and higher interest cost has resulted in FY20/21E EPS change by 3.5/(3.8)%.

We have upgraded FY19/20E EPS by 8.6/12.1% and increase TP to Rs 336/sh (12x Dec-20E EPS) vs. Rs 284/sh earlier. JKIL delivered strong execution beat with Revenue/EBIDTA/PAT coming in 20/13/11% ahead of estimate. EBIDTA margins contracted by 77bps YoY to 16.2% (110bps miss) on account of 205bps increase in employee costs (new additions and festive bonuses paid out during 3QFY19). 9MFY19 order inflow stood at Rs 45bn ex L1 orders of Rs 20bn. Order book stands at Rs 104.7bn (59% in Metro, 9.9% Civil, 12% Flyover, 18.2% Roads) ex L1 of Rs 20bn (NHAI Dwarka Pkg 2 & Airoli Katai elevated road EPC).

guidance of Rs23bn/Rs27bn. Management expects the strong operating performance (EBITAM of 16-17%) to continue going forward. Negative sentiments on account of the SEBI issue will continue to remain an overhang on...

We maintain BUY with reduced TP of Rs 284/sh (12x Mar-20E EPS). JKIL delivered robust Revenue/PAT beat of 27/32% led by strong execution in Mumbai Metro and JNPT road project. It reported strong EBITDA margins at 17.7% (-172bps YoY, +149bps QoQ, 110bps beat). Metro Lines 2, 3 and 7 and the JNPT projects are particularly driving the revenues with 2QFY19 contribution of Rs 2.9bn and Rs 0.8bn respectively.

Led by sustained acceleration in project execution especially in Metro projects, JKIL's revenue grew by a stellar 62% YoY (-17% QoQ) to Rs5.1bn. Mumbai Metro Line-3, Metro Line-2&7 and JNPT contributed Rs1.85bn, Rs1bn and Rs0.75bn, respectively to its total quarterly revenue, while Rs400mn revenue was booked from Delhi Metro project. Further, JKIL looks forward to book Rs8bn from Metro Line-3, Rs3.5bn from JNPT and Rs3bn from Metro Line-2&7 in FY19E....

J Kumar Infraprojects (JKIL) in Q1FY19 posted revenues of Rs. 618 Cr due to strong execution of Mumbai Metro and JNPT projects. The EBITDA margins improved to 16.2% which increased 90 bps YoY in Q1FY19 with near completion of DMRC project.

We maintain BUY with a TP of Rs 415/sh (15x Mar-20E EPS) JKIL continued to demonstrate strong execution pace, posting revenue of Rs 6.2bn coming 18.3% above our estimates. With the DMRC project now practically over margins improved 293bps YoY to 16.2%. Metro Lines 2,3 and 7 and the JNPT projects are particularly driving the revenues with quarterly run rates of Rs 3.7bn and 1.3bn respectively.

at standalone as per Ind AS 111 primarily from Delhi metro project. EBITDA margin up 89bps YoY to 16.2% (95bps below estimate) led by lower employee costs and other expenses which was partially offset by rise in raw material cost. PAT grew sharply 55.7% YoY to `402mn driven by better...

J Kumar Infraprojects (JKIL) in 4QFY18 posted revenues of Rs. 902 Cr (up 73% Y-o-Y, up 97% Q-o-Q) due to strong execution of Mumbai Metro and JNPT projects as well as consolidation of JVs which contributed Rs. 150 Cr (DMRC project) in Q4FY18.

We maintain BUY with a TP of Rs 415/sh (15x Mar-20E EPS). JKIL reported terrific performance in 4QFY18 with revenue at Rs 9.0bn (+72.8% YoY, +97.4% QoQ) led by ~Rs 5.1bn from the 3 metro projects and Rs 1.7bn from JNPT. Out of the FY18 revenue of ~Rs 20.5bn these 4 projects contributed ~Rs 15.1bn. FY18 EBITDA margins came in at 15.7% vs 15.6% YoY.