Amara Raja Energy & Mobility Ltd. share price target

Sector: Auto Parts & Equipment /Mid-Cap | Earnings Update 4QFY19 Background: Amara Raja Batteries Ltd (ARBL) is the second largest automotive battery manufacturer and the largest supplier of industrial storage batteries in India. It is a joint venture between the Galla family and US based Johnson Control (JCI) with 26% each. JCI, the global leader in lead-acid automotive batteries and advanced batteries for start-stop, hybrid and electric vehicles, provides technical support to ARBL. Company's business model...

Amara Raja Batteries Ltd (ARBL) is India's second largest Lead-acid battery manufacturer. Its segment includes automotive and industrial lead acid batteries, with market leadership in Telecom segment. During Q4FY19, ARBL reported a muted revenue growth of 0.9%YoY, (below our estimate) on the back of lower auto sales from manufacture's and weak contribution from telecom segment . However EBITDA margin expanded by 200bps to 15.5% due to sharp decline in Lead price and better operating efficiencies....

Replacement demand, benign lead prices to support! ARBL's segment mix was at ~75% automotive and ~25% industrial. Replacement demand forms a lion's share of automotive demand at ~70% while OEM demand makes up the rest. The auto OEM space has been witnessing muted demand since Diwali, thereby having a knock-on impact on ancillary players including battery makers. OEM demand is expected to remain subdued in the next few quarters amid vast regulatory changes (ABS, BS-VI) and general slowdown in consumer discretionary expenditure....

Weak OEM, Telecom impacts revenue growth; Mix, decline in RM drives margins First revenue decline since 1QFY10: Revenues declined by 1% YoY to INR15.7b (our est. INR16.9b), impacted by lead price pass-through (in 40-50% of the business). The healthy volume growth in aftermarket (4W 11-12% YoY, 2W 18-20% YoY) and exports (15-20% YoY) was offset by ~10% YoY decline in...

Broadly in line with our estimates; Accumulate Amara Raja's Q4FY19 results were broadly in line with our estimates. The net revenue was ` 15.6bn (-1% YoY due to muted revenue from the automotive OEM segment and the telecom segment, offset by decent growth in the automotive replacement and inverter sales. The APAT grew 7% YoY to ` 1.20 bn, due to margin expansion. We remain positive about the Indian batteries market, as we expect 1) replacement demand to further improve, given healthy primary sales in the past three years, 2) a...

In November 2018, Johnson Control had entered into an agreement with Brookfield Business Partners LP and institutional partners (collectively Brookfield) to sell its entire stake in the power solution business and focus on its core capability. The said transaction included transfer of the entire automobile battery business to Brookfield. It valued power solution business at US$13.2 billion, which clocked sales of US$8 billion in CY18 with corresponding EBITDA at US$1.7 billion (EBITDA margins 21%). On the valuation front, the said business was acquired at ~1.6 EV/sales and ~8x...

Amara Raja Batteries (ARBL) reported steady results for Q3FY19 Revenues came in at | 1,695 crore (up 9.1% YoY, down 3.3% QoQ) According to the management, the automotive segment displayed strong volumes during the quarter, especially in the aftermarket space. Industrial segment growth was steady in comparison EBITDA rose 4.6% YoY to | 253 crore. The EBITDA margin contracted 64 bps YoY but expanded 142 bps QoQ to 14.9%. On a YoY basis, margins were impacted due to higher raw material cost...

Amara Raja Batteries is the second largest automotive battery manufacturer...

Revenue in line lead price shows resilience Amara Raja Batteries Ltd (ARBL) is India's second largest Lead-acid battery manufacturer. Its segment includes automotive and industrial lead acid batteries, with market leadership in Telecom segment. ARBL has approved an investment of Rs540cr for the deployment of...