IRB Infrastructure Developers Ltd. share price target

IRB's revenue declined 15% YoY to INR13.8b, below our estimate of INR16.4b, due to weaker-than-estimated BoT revenue. Operating profit stood at INR6.6b (-19.0% YoY), below our estimate of INR8.3b. Operating margin shrunk 280bp YoY to47.7% due to negative operating leverage and weak margins in the EPC segment (-180bp YoY to 26.8%). Adj. profit of INR2.4b came in below our estimate of INR2.7b, led by the revenue miss.

In its notice to the stock exchange, IRB Infrastructure Ltd has informed that Hon'ble CBI Judge at Pune has discharged the charge sheet filed against Mr. Virendra D Mhaiskar, the company-M/s AIIPL and Mr Deepak D Gadgil. It was in pursuant to its notice on Dec. 6, 2017 wherein the company had filed an Application for Discharge. Honorable judge in his order has observed that no case is made out even to frame the charges under any of the sections alleged by CBI. Hence, all the parties were discharged and their application for discharge has been allowed. We believe that post the CBI clearance, the negative overhang on the stock has been...

Maintain BUY with SOTP of Rs 274/sh. IRBs 3QFY18 Revenue, EBIDTA and PAT were 1.9/5.4/21.7% ahead of our estimates. BOT revenue (ex 7 BOTs which got transferred to IRB InvIT) grew 18.8% YoY after adjusting for demonit toll stoppage of 23 days and excluding new projects post 3QFY17.

ICICI Securities Ltd | Retail Equity Research IRB Infrastructure's (IRB) topline de-grew 8.1% YoY to | 1296.2 crore and was below our estimate of | 1335.5 crore on account of sharp drop in toll revenues. With 7 BOT assets transferred to InVIT, the toll revenues declined 24.2% YoY to | 459.7 crore (our estimate: | 410.5...

IRB's revenue declined 8% YoY to INR11.2b, below our estimate of INR13.7b, due to weaker-than-estimated EPC revenue. Operating profit stood at INR6.7b (-9.0% YoY), below our estimate of INR7.1b. Operating margin shrunk 70bpYoY to 52% due to an adverse revenue mix (higher contribution from the low-margin construction business). Adj. profit of INR2.5b was meaningfully above our estimate of INR1.6b, led by lower-than-estimated interest cost and higher-than-estimated other income

wins improves its book bill to ratio to 2.5x its Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) construction revenue from 1.85x at the end of Q3FY2018. These order wins come at a stitch in time as its book to bill ratio was at a three year's low. This in turn had cast a doubt on its construction segment revenue growth outlook. IRB now stands successful in reviving growth in its...

IRB Infrastructure's (IRB) topline de-grew 13.0% YoY to | 1122.7 crore (our estimate: | 1336.7 crore) due to sharp drop in toll revenues as seven BOT assets were transferred to InVIT EBITDA margins declined sharply by 395 bps YoY to 51.0% (our estimate: 47.0%) due to higher proportion of revenues from low margin construction division (66.8% in Q2FY18 vs 56.5% in Q2FY17) PAT grew robustly by 65.0% YoY to | 234.7 crore (our estimate: | 195.8 crore) due to higher other income (| 146.5 crore in Q2FY18...

Revenues of the company for Q2FY18 were slightly lower than our estimates due to lower than expected toll revenues. BOT revenues are not comparable due to transfer of assets to InVIT. Consolidated operating margins witnessed an improvement due to higher other income accrued in the EPC/BOT segment owing to transfer of projects to InVIT as well as dividend income from InVIT. Net profit performance stood ahead of our estimates led by fall in interest expense and higher other income despite higher tax rate for the quarter....

Maintain BUY with SOTP of Rs 270/sh. IRBs 2QFY18 revenue, EBIDTA and PAT were (15.7)/ (7.5)/9.1% ahead/ (below) our estimates. BOT revenue (ex-6 BOTs, which were transferred to IRB InvIT) de-grew 33.8% YoY. EBITDA margins contracted ~395bps YoY, owing to higher EPC revenue share (70% rev share vs 57% YoY). The EPC segment has lower EBIDTA margins vs BOT.

Operating performance below expectations: IRB's revenue declined 13% YoY to INR11.2b, below our estimate of INR13.2b, due to weaker-thanestimated BoT revenue (led by subdued traffic growth on account of GST implementation). Operating profit stood at INR5.7b (-19.5% YoY), below our estimate of INR6.8b. Operating margin shrunk 390bp YoY to 51% due to an adverse revenue mix (higher contribution from the low-margin construction business). Adj. profit of INR1.5b missed our estimate of INR1.9b. BoT revenue impacted by GST: Toll revenue from continuing projects grew 22% YoY to INR3.9b, supported by a toll hike of 18.5% at the Mumbai-Pune...