IRB Infrastructure Developers Ltd. share price target

In January, CPI inflation rose 2.8%. Wholesale WPI inflation increased for the second straight month to 1.8%, from 0.8% last month.

The Ministry of Statistics released the Consumer Price Index (CPI) with the base year updated from 2012 to 2024 to better reflect current household consumption and price patterns, and the evolving Indian economy.

IRB Infrastructure’s (IRB) revenue grew ~8% YoY to INR18.7b during 3Q FY26 (7% above our estimate). Revenue includes: Gain on InvITs & Related Assets as per fair value measurement, and Dividend/interest income from InvITs & Related Assets.

Revenue grew 10% YoY to INR17.5b in 2QFY26 (in line). Revenue included a gain from InvITs & related assets as per fair value measurement and dividend/interest income from InvITs & related assets.

IRB’s revenue grew 13% YoY (in line) to ~INR21b in 1QFY26. Revenue included gains on InvIT & related assets as per fair value measurement, and dividend/interest income from InvITs & related assets.

IRB Infrastructure (IRB)’s revenue grew 27% YoY to INR20.6b in 4QFY24 (in
line). EBITDA margin came in at 43.2% (down 370bp YoY, below our estimate
of 45%). EBITDA grew 17% YoY to INR8.9b, in line with our estimate

Constructing with a profitable growth

Constructing with a profitable growth

Cruising in top gear

IRB Infrastructure (IRB) reported revenue decline of 17% YoY to INR12.8b (11% below estimates) due to weak execution, impacted by a delay in the receipt of the appointed date for the Vadodara HAM (VM7) project. The EPC segment reported revenue/EBITDA decline of 27%/3% YoY. The outstanding EPC order book stood at INR121b, with an OB/revenue ratio of 2.9x. The EBITDA margin improved to 58%, with a higher share of toll revenues in the overall mix. EBITDA grew 3% YoY to INR7.4b (our estimate: INR6.9b). With COVID-related restrictions easing, toll collections are returning to...

Newly awarded projects to start contributing for construction revenues, as appointment date is expected within 2-3 months. IRB's 1QFY22 results were ahead of estimate led by strong growth in construction revenues, as execution pace rises. In 1Q, toll revenues in 11...

Construction revenues expected to remain strong with Rs77bn EPC order book to be executed over next 2 years. IRB's 4QFY21 results were a mixed bag with revenues missing estimates due to lower construction revenues, while margins surprised positively. In 4Q, toll...

IRB's consolidated financials are not comparable YoY due to the monetization of nine assets through the InvIT route and consolidation of the Mumbai-Pune Phase II project. The Construction business reported a revenue/EBITDA/adjusted PAT decline of 22%/22%/53% YoY. Normalcy in traffic led to strong (32% QoQ) growth in collections across 13 toll assets of IRB and IRB InvIT. Though losses from the associates reduced sequentially, higher depreciation from Mumbai-Pune Phase II project led to a 29% miss on our earnings estimate in spite of a beat on our revenue estimate. For...

Company targets Rs60-80bn order inflows in 4QFY21E on the back of strong NHAI bid pipeline. Order book stands at Rs113.1bn (2.9x TTM revenues). IRB reported strong quarterly performance, in line with our estimates primarily driven by sharp uptick in toll revenues. In 3Q, toll revenues came in...

At the end of Q2FY21, IRB's order book (OB) was at ~| 12,150 crore (2.2x TTM revenues), largely contributed by the construction segment (| 5,129 crore) and O&M; job of BOT, ToT projects (| 7,035 crore). However, in contrast with industry focused asset-light EPC business, IRB's emphasis remains on BOT, ToT and HAM projects wherein it is targeting ~| 5,000 crore of order inflows in the rest of FY21. The company has also participated in the bidding process of the ToT-5 bundle. We note that order inflow will...

Given strong bid pipeline for BOT projects, management guided Rs60-70bn order inflows in FY21E. Order book stands at Rs121.6bn (2.9x TTM revenues) IRB reported decent quarterly performance in line with our estimates led by...