Star Cement Ltd. share price target

We interacted with the senior management of Star Cement (Star), for a deep dive into their growth plans and competitive scenario in the Northeast.

With 9.7m cement tpa now, Star Cement is targeting 18m-20m tpa by FY30. Greater operational efficiency with the stabilised clinker unit, incentives from capacity commissioning and the rising share of green energy (aimed at 55-60%) would aid the operating performance.

With healthy volume growth and healthy improvement in EBITDA/ton over FY25-28E, we expect revenue to grow ~15% CAGR over FY25-28E while EBITDA & PAT are expected to grow at ~30% & ~50% CAGR respectively. We recommend BUY on Star Cement with a revised target price of Rs 300...

We maintain our BUY rating on the stock.

The stock is currently trading at 12.5x/11.5xFY26E/27E EV/EBITDA. We recommend a BUY on the stock with a TP of Rs 288/share, implying an upside potential of 10% from the CMP.

We maintain our BUY rating on the stock with a TP of Rs 325/share, implying an upside potential of 27% from the CMP.

We interacted with Tushar Bhajanka, Deputy MD of Star Cement, to understand the company’s growth plans and the demand-supply outlook in the Northeast.

Superior profitability to sustain, led by focus on operating efficiencies: During Q1FY26, company's profitability improved sharply on YoY basis (EBITDA/ton stood at Rs 1761/ton, +75% YoY), led by better volume growth, improvement in realisations and lower RM cost. We believe that company's EBITDA/ton to remain strong going forward, led by continuous focus on operational efficiencies (led by increase in share of renewable power, WHRS and captive coal, freight cost optimisation through addition of grinding units in NE and Rajasthan), incentives from state government & positive operating...

We maintain our BUY rating on the stock.

We recommend a BUY rating on the stock with a TP of Rs 237/share, implying an upside potential of 10% from the CMP.

We assume coverage on Star Cement (Star) with BUY and target price of Rs250, while valuing the stock at FY27E EV/EBITDA of 12x. Star, with the upcoming commissioning of grinding units (GUs) in Silchar and Jorhat (both in Assam) is set to consolidate its leadership position in the Northeast.

The Meghalaya clinker-unit stabilisation along with the better demand-pricing environment in its operating region (East/North east) aided Star’s overall performance.

Revenues rose ~15% YoY in Q4FY25 on the back of ~9% volume gains, though realisations stayed flat (-1% YoY)

As market leader, Star Cement’s Q3 volume growth outstripped northeastern demand growth, but its operational performance was hit by the delayed Meghalaya clinker stabilisation, higher maintenance shutdown cost, higher freight on a highway being constructed, etc.

Revenues rose ~10%/12% YoY/QoQ in Q3FY25 backed by volume gains though realisations stayed flat

We maintain our BUY rating on the stocks.

Timely capacity expansion (new 4mnt grinding unit by FY27) to help volume growth ahead of industry tapping buoyancy in north-east region

We maintain our BUY rating on the stocks.

Revenue rose 10% backed by healthy 9% volume gains and realisations remained flat YoY/QoQ at Rs 6,560/t with improved regional mix

We maintain our BUY rating on the stock with a TP of Rs 250/share, implying an upside potential of 20% from the CMP.