PNB Housing Finance Ltd. share price target

23 July 2020 PNBHOUSI reported 1QFY21 PAT of INR2.6b (v/s est. The beat was driven by stronger PPoP and significantly lower credit cost. AUM remained sequentially stable at INR835b. Given the high leverage, we expect the company to continue to run down its balance sheet until it raises fresh equity capital. Maintain Neutral, with TP of INR210. As disbursements were negligible, AUM remained sequentially unchanged at INR835b. The company did not sell down any loans in the quarter; hence, upfront assignment income was nil v/s INR1.2b YoY. Cost of funds is likely to further decline due to recent MCLR cuts by banks. The GS3 ratio remained stable QoQ at 2.76%. While the company kept Stage 1 and 2 ECL provisions stable, it increased Stage 3 PCR from 36% to 40% QoQ. Collection efficiency stood at 9697% during the quarter and was largely stable each month.

15 June 2020 PNBHOUSI reported INR2.4b net loss (v/s est. of INR2.4b PAT) in 4QFY20, driven by higher-than-expected provisions. The company reported provisions of INR7.5b (v/s est. of INR1.4b), including COVID-19-related provisions of INR4.7b. Given the high leverage, we expect the company to continue to run down its balance sheet. We increase our FY21 credit cost estimates by 70bp. Maintain Neutral, with TP of INR190. Given the lockdown in the last week of the quarter, disbursements were muted at INR28b. Interestingly, the retail home loan book declined 5% QoQ. On the other hand, the retail GNPL ratio doubled YoY to 1.

PNB Housing Finance (PNBHF) reported a weak set of numbers in Q3FY20 as asset quality deteriorated on the back of slippages from the developer financing segment.

PNB Housing Finance (PNBHF) reported stellar set of numbers in terms of operating performance and AUM growth given multiple sectoral headwinds.

PNB Housing Finance (PNBHFL) reported muted performance during Q1FY20. Profit for the quarter grew by 11% YoY to Rs 284 cr, impacted due to lower disbursements and higher credit cost. NII for the quarter grew by 45% YoY/2.6% QOQ to Rs 625 cr while margins compressed by 4bps QoQ. Disbursements during the quarter declined by 22% YoY to Rs 7634 cr, primarily due to company's cautious approach towards wholesale loan book which resulted into corporate disbursement de-growth of 81% YoY. PNB housing finance maintained excess liquidity of Rs 5000 cr in form of cash and liquid investments...

PNB housing Finance (PNBHF) reported strong core operating performance aided by healthy growth in AUM and marginal improvement in net interest margin (NIM).

PNB Housing Finance (PNBHF) continued to report stellar set of numbers despite headwinds in the sector.

PNB Housing Finance (PNBHFL) came out with good set of numbers, ahead of our estimates. Profit for the quarter grew by 51% YoY to Rs 380 cr, driven by lower provisions and better than expected margins. NII for the quarter grew by 13% YoY to Rs 610 cr, led by strong advances growth of 30% YoY. NIM fell by 12 bps QoQ to 3.18% due to decline in yields. Disbursements during Q4FY19 declined by 8% QoQ/2% YoY to Rs 8562 cr. PNB housing finance maintained excess liquidity of Rs 7000 cr in form of cash and liquid investments as on 31st Mar 2019. At the same time, PNBHFL did not face any issues in raising fund...

The slowdown in real estate market is peaking now and there is enough demand seen in retail segment. Though, liquidity scenario has improved compared to Q3FY19, sector continues to see challenges due to higher funding costs resulting into pressure on margin (as compared to last year). In light of liquidity issue and lower demand in reality sector, PNBHFL finds itself in a sweet spot. Company has maintained Rs. 6000 cr liquidity in form of cash and investments as on 9MFY19 and expects to close year FY19 with enough liquidity. PNBHFL has well diversified borrowings profile. It borrows 17%, 30% & 17% from...

PNBHF reported a strong sets of numbers in its Q3FY19 financial results, primarily driven by healthy growth in AUM and marginal expansion in NIM.

PNB Housing Finances (PNBHF) 3QFY19 PAT increased 32% YoY to INR3.0b (14% beat). The beat was largely driven by higher-than-expected upfront income on loan assignment and MTM on the treasury book. Despite a tough and volatile environment, PNBHF disbursed INR93b worth of loans (+1% YoY). Repayment rate (annualized) continues to decline and hit a 24 January 2019 multi-quarter low of 21%, largely due to lower balance transfers in our view. As a result, AUM grew a healthy 38% to INR797b. PNBHF sold down INR27.1b worth of loans in the quarter, compared to INR31b in the previous quarter. The company recorded an upfront income of INR1.5b in 3QFY19 v/s INR617m in 2QFY19. The key negative surprise in the quarter came from loan spreads (calculated), which declined 17bp QoQ to a multi-quarter low of 1.77%. This was on account of ~60bp QoQ increase in cost of funds partially offset by ~40bp increase in loan yield.

PNB Housing Finance (PNBHF) continued to report strong set of numbers this quarter amid headwinds in the housing finance sector, numbers were in line with our estimates on AUM.

PNB Housing Finance (PNBHF) reported yet another stellar set of numbers in Q1FY19 financial results, exceeding our estimates on AUM and PAT.

9 August 2018 PNBHFs 1QFY19 PAT grew robustly by 38% YoY to INR2.4b, driven by strong AUM growth, margin pressure and lower credit costs. AUM grew 47% YoY/10% QoQ to INR686b. Repayment rate (annualized) was 24.6% in 1QFY19 v/s 29.7% in the year-ago period. While spreads (calc.) declined 10bp YoY to 2.47%, margins shrank ~40bp YoY to 2.65% due to higher leverage. As a result, NII growth was 28% YoY v/s AUM growth of 47% YoY. Spreads are likely to remain under pressure, as the increase in home loan rates may not be able to match the rise in cost of funds, in our view. C/I ratio (calculated) came in at 24.5% v/s average of 22-24% in the past few quarters. We believe that a sustained reduction in the C/I ratio is a must for an improvement in RoE.

Operating Income rose by 9.14% to Rs. 1569.97 Cr in Q4FY18 when compared to the previous quarter. PNB Housing Finance Ltd Q4FY18 results Comment

PNB Housing Finance (PNBHF) reported yet another strong quarter in its Q4FY18 financial results. AUM growth exceeded our...

PNB Housing Finance's (PNBHF) 4QFY18 PAT grew robustly by 50% YoY toINR2.2b, but missed our estimate by 5%, largely due to higher-than-expected opex. Excluding one-off expense of INR130m related to securitization, PAT would have been largely in line with estimates. AUM grew 50% YoY/8% QoQ to INR623b. Interestingly, PNBHF sold downINR31b worth of loans during the quarter, taking the total off-BS loan book to INR52b (8% of AUM).Repayment rate (annualized) was 28.8% in 4QFY18v/s 24.4% in the year-ago period.

PNB Housing Finance Ltd Q3FY18 results comment Operating Income grew by 9.33% to Rs. 1438.49 Cr in Q3FY18 when compared to the previous quarter. Also, it grew by 44.03% when compared with Q3FY17.

PNB Housing Finance (PNBHF) reported a strong set of numbers in its Q3FY18 financial results. Disbursement grew at 110% to INR 9,276cr, leading 53% YoY growth in AUM to INR 57,668cr. PNBHF...

PNB Housing Finance's (PNBHF) 3QFY18 PAT grew at a robust 58% YoY toINR2.18b, led by strong AUM growth, improvement in margins, and lower C/I ratio. Disbursements more than doubled YoY to INR93b (off a low base). Consequently, AUM increased 53% YoY to INR577b - 5% ahead of our estimate of INR549b. AUM mix continues to inch closer towards non-core loans (LAP, construction finance, etc). Share of these loans increased 160bpQoQ and 400bp YoY to 42.8%. While calculated spreads (on AUM) came in sequentially flat at 2.08%, the management has lowered its spread guidance from 210-225bp earlier to195-210bp due to rising G-Sec yields. It has also guided to the following liability mix: Deposits - 25%, NCD- 45%, CP- 15-18%, Banks ??? 10%+, NHB ???5%.