Vedanta Ltd. share price target

The strategic focus on cost optimization, price hikes along with low leverage and diversified asset base will support the company in maintaining growth momentum over the long-run. Hence, we remain optimistic on company's outlook and reiterate our BUY rating on the...

Restructuring business adds to uncertainties at peak LME Vedanta reported all-time high EBITDA at INR107b (YoY up 38%, QoQ up 4%) driven by record-high LME. However, it was short of our estimate of INR121b due to a 47% QoQ rise in power and fuel costs. The sharp rise in aluminum CoP explains the large part of the EBITDA miss; it also highlights the cost reduction in the Aluminum business was not entirely structural but also driven by lower coal prices. The company declared dividend of INR13.2/sh....

Vedanta Limited is a natural resource company.

Growth capex commitment to provide comfort on capital allocation Vedanta (VEDL)'s 1QFY22 result highlights the benefit of higher commodity prices, as EBITDA rose 9% QoQ to INR98.7b, the highest ever. Net debt/EBITDA also declined to 0.6x, the lowest in the last four years. The management's intention to service the holding company's debt by way of dividend payments provides comfort on the capital allocation and should lead to higher dividend payouts. Moreover, the announced growth...

With respect to the oil and gas business, in Q4FY21 average daily gross operated production was at 165 kboepd compared to 160 kboepd in Q3FY21. Operating cost during Q4FY21 was at US$9/boe compared to US$7.7/boe in Q3FY21. The increase in CoP was primarily due to workover and maintenance activities. For FY22, the average daily gross volume...

Given the promoter's intent to increase the stake and loans given to the parent by VEDL, we believe potential corporate actions could be the key drivers of the stock price. Moreover, high leverage and scheduled debt repayments at the parent VRL remain an overhang. Maintain Neutral. High commodity prices boost EBITDA to all-time high 4Q EBITDA rose 17% QoQ (99% YoY) to INR90.4b (est. INR87.6b) and adj. PAT rose 15% QoQ to INR34.9b (est. INR37.4b), led by higher commodity prices. EBITDA (excl. Hindustan Zinc) improved 15% QoQ to INR51.5b....

Vedanta resources limited has come up with an open offer to acquire 651 million shares representing 17.5% of the share capital at an offer price of Rs 235. Earlier in Jan21, the company had offered to buy a 10% stake at an offer price of Rs 160.

Vedanta's earnings remain sensitive to movement in commodity prices. The improvement in major commodity prices over the last couple of quarters augurs well for the company. We value the stock on a SoTP basis and arrive...