Sobha Ltd. share price target

We recently met with SOBHA’s management. Bengaluru continues to see strong real estate absorption. SOBHA has also witnessed strong response to its recent launch, Sobha One World in Hoskote, Bengaluru, along with steady sales momentum across its Bengaluru projects.

Sobha Limited remains well positioned for sustained growth, supported by healthy launch visibility across key markets and improving regional diversification. The company slightly missed its revised FY26 pre-sales guidance because of delays in a key project. The management continues to maintain a ~30% pre-sales growth outlook. In addition, strong revenue visibility through ~Rs. 18,600 crore of unrecognized revenue is expected to support cash flows and profitability. Considering the healthy growth outlook, we maintain an Accumulate rating with a...

Reported FY26 EPS of Rs 18.09, missing our estimates by -31%, dragged down by higher operating expenses (+10% vs our estimates)

Sobha Ltd. (SOBHA) clocked FY26 sales bookings of 5.5msf worth INR 81.4bn (up 30% YoY in value terms). Heading into FY27, the company plans to launch ~10msf across Bengaluru, Gurugram and other markets, as it aims to achieve 30% YoY sales booking growth in FY27 as well to INR 106bn.

Sobha (SOBHA) launched three new projects in 4Q – Sobha Rivana in Greater Noida (INR39b GDV), Sobha Altair in East Bengaluru (INR7b GDV), and Sobha Woods Whispering Hill in Trivandrum (INR3b GDV).

Total bookings grew 52% YoY/11% QoQ to INR21.2b (29% below estimate). Sobha’s share of bookings was up 45% YoY/18% QoQ to INR18.2b. For 9MFY26, SOBHA clocked total bookings of INR61b, up 37% YoY.

Sobha has a strong inventory level of 10.26msf and ongoing projects of 27.68msf, along with launch pipeline of around 16.69msf expected to launch within the next 4 6 quarters. Sobha delivered a strong quarter, supported by robust pre-sales and record cash collections. Although margins remain under pressure, recovery is expected from Rs.18,000cr of pending revenue with an estimated 33% project-level margin. With a healthy project pipeline and strategic regional expansion, the company is on track to achieve its 30% YoY pre-sales growth...

Sobha's broad-based expansion across cities is set to gain momentum, with ~3.1msf of launches planned in Noida and 0.2msf in Mumbai, positioning the company to capitalize on growing demand across markets....

SOBHA ended FY25 with 6% lower presales YoY due to approval delays, but the company has a strong project pipeline, supported by its extensive land bank.

SOBHA reported bookings of INR14b (37% below estimate) and -29%/+18% YoY/QoQ. SOBHA’s share of sales stood at INR12.5b, -28%/+27% YoY/QoQ.

SOBHA posted flat YoY bookings of INR15b (in line) in 4QFY24, which
declined 23% QoQ for the first time since 2QFY22. While the company
launched four projects with a saleable area of 3.2msf, two of those large
launches came at the end of the quarter, thus limiting its contribution to
pre-sales.

Sobha Ltd. (SOBHA) achieved record Q2FY24 gross sales bookings of 1.7msf worth INR17.2bn (up 48% YoY in value terms), aided by the company achieving over 1msf of sales bookings in Bengaluru. The strong performance in H1FY24 with INR31.9bn of gross sales bookings comes on the back of a strong performance in FY23 when the company had clocked its best-ever annual sales with gross sales bookings of 5.65msf worth INR52.0bn.

Sobha Ltd. (SOBHA) achieved record Q1FY24 gross sales bookings of 1.39msf worth INR14.7bn (up 28% YoY in value terms), aided by the company achieving its highest-ever gross realisation of INR10,506/psf. The strong start to FY24 comes on the back of a strong FY23 operating performance where the company had clocked its best-ever annual sales performance with gross sales bookings of 5.65msf worth INR52.0bn.

Sobha Ltd. (SOBHA) achieved record Q1FY24 gross sales bookings of 1.39msf worth Rs14.7bn (up 28% YoY in value terms), aided by the company achieving its highest-ever gross realisation of Rs10,506/psf. The Bengaluru market clocked 0.84msf or 60% of the quarter’s volumes and 54% of sales value.