Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Ltd. share price target

With a 7% upside from the CMP, we maintain our HOLD rating.

Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail (ABFRL) reported a weak 2Q as higher A&P spends (up 200bp YoY) and losses in TMRW led to a 14% decline in reported EBITDA (37% miss). Pre-Ind AS EBITDA for 1HFY26 declined ~12% YoY.

We interacted with the management of Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail (ABFRL) to discuss the growth prospects and profitability outlook for the company’s various segments and other focus areas.

With a 0% upside from the CMP, we maintain our HOLD rating.

Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail (ABFRL) delivered a better-thanexpected operational performance in 1QFY26, with revenue growth of 9% YoY (strong performance in Ethnics and TMRW) and EBITDA growth of 25% YoY (~22% beat,) driven by 16-24pp improvement in profitability for Ethnics and Luxury Retail.

The demerger between ABFRL and ABLBL became effective from May 1, 2025. The demerged ABFRL reported high-single digit revenue growth and an improvement in profitability across businesses in Q4FY25.

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With a 2% downside from the CMP, we maintain our HOLD rating.

Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail’s (ABFRL) combined revenue grew 6% YoY, driven primarily by robust growth in ABFRL (demerged). EBITDA increased significantly, driven by improved profitability in Ethnic and Pantaloons and demerger-related adjustments.

Over the last few years, ABFRL has built its portfolio around five key consumption themes – western wear, ethnic wear, masstige and value retail, luxury retail, and digital brands – through organic and inorganic routes.

Aditya Birla Fashion & Retail Limited’s (ABFRL) Q3FY25 performance was driven by festive and wedding demand, leading to better LFL growth of key businesses, while overall demand sentiments continued to be muted.

With a 6% upside potential from the CMP, we maintain our HOLD rating

Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail (ABFRL)’s revenue growth remained muted at ~3% YoY (in line) in 3QFY25. The growth was driven mainly by Ethnic and TMRW (to be part of demerged ABFRL), whereas growth remained muted in Lifestyle Brands (robust LTL offset by weak wholesale) and Pantaloons (shift in Pujo dates).

With a 1% upside potential from the CMP, we maintain our HOLD rating.

Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail (ABFRL)’s consol. revenue grew 13% YoY,driven by TCNS consolidation and improvement in Lifestyle’s LTL growth.

Aditya Birla Fashion & Retail Limited’s (ABFRL’s) Q2FY2025 numbers were muted with revenues rising 13% y-o-y (LFL growth of key brands remained muted), while EBITDA margin stood flat y-o-y at 9.9% and adjusted loss widened y-o-y to Rs. 230 crore.

Recommendation With a 4% downside potential from the CMP, we maintain our HOLD rating.

Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail (ABFRL)’s consolidated EBITDA grew 23% YoY (12% beat), led by the Lifestyle/ABLFL others/Pantaloons segments.

Aditya Birla Fashion & Retail Limited (ABFRL) registered mixed performance in Q1FY2025 with revenue growing by 7% y-o-y (2% growth excluding TCNS), while EBITDA margin expanded 131 bps y-o-y to 10.5% (beating estimates), leading to 23% y-o-y EBITDA growth.

With an 8% downside potential from the CMP, we maintain our HOLD rating.