NHPC Ltd. share price target and research reports

Latest analyst research reports with target prices and PDF download for NHPC, BSE:533098 NHPC Ltd.

NHPC Ltd.

11 Nov 2020

84.20

-0.24%

Lower other income offsets modest generation growth

Neutral: NHPC Ltd.

Motilal Oswal

Capex run-rate is expected to increase on account of investment in new projects. However, their commissioning remains 4-5 years away, implying FCF/RoEs dragging in the near term. Maintain Neutral with TP of INR23. Profits in line as lower other income offsets modest generation growth NHPC's S/A PAT declined 3% YoY to INR13.0b (v/s est. INR13.3b) on account of lower other income. Other income was down 15% YoY to INR4.3b. Generation was up 4% YoY to 9.4BU in 2QFY21 based on data available at...

NHPC Ltd. is trading below its 200 day SMA of 87.2

NHPC Ltd.

01 Sep 2020

84.20

-0.24%

Impact of rebate flowing through

Neutral: NHPC Ltd.

Target

Motilal Oswal

INR6.8b) due to Generation declined 5% YoY to 8.1BU in 1QFY21 due to the shutdown of 2 Chamera units and lower water availability. NHPC is also planning to complete the linkage of work by Oct20, thereby increasing discharge of water for Parbati-II. NHPC expects to receive INR18b from the PFC-REC scheme on completion of certain formalities for J&K.; Capex run-rate, on the other hand, is expected to increase as the company is investing/exploring new projects, which is expected to reduce FCF and drag RoEs in the near term. Generation declined 5% YoY to 8.1BU in 1QFY21 due to shutdown of two Chamera units and lower water availability. Moreover, commissioning for the project is still some time away (FY24 Capex run-rate, on the other hand, is expected to increase as the company is investing/exploring new projects, which is expected to reduce FCF and drag RoEs in the near term.

NHPC Ltd. has an average target of 126.00 from 2 brokers.

NHPC Ltd.

10 Feb 2020

84.20

-0.24%

Profits improve off a low base

Neutral: NHPC Ltd.

Motilal Oswal

NHPCs results highlight the benefit of higher generation and the low base of the previous year. Capex run-rate is expected to increase on account of investment in new projects. However, their commissioning remains 4-5 years away, implying NHPCs standalone PAT more than doubled YoY to INR4.0b (from INR1.8b in 3QFY19; in line with our estimate of INR4.0b) off a low base. The previous year included the impact of regularization of pay scales (INR1.9b). noted while Dibang is still in the initial stages, capex would be required for providing access to the site such NHPC highlighted the current quarter also included provisioning of INR0.6b for PRP given incremental profits. Capex run-rate, on the other hand, is expected to increase as the company is investing /exploring new projects which will reduce FCF and drag RoE over the near term. Capex guidance for NHPC noted the current quarter was impacted by INR0.6b on account of.

Number of FII/FPI investors increased from 584 to 590 in Dec 2024 qtr.

NHPC Ltd.

19 Nov 2019

84.20

-0.24%

In -line; Work on Subansiri restarts

Neutral: NHPC Ltd.

Target

Motilal Oswal

INR12.4b) on the back of resumed income recognition for its Subansiri project (since 1QFY20). Construction on NHPCs Lower Subansiri (2,000MW) project has restarted from Oct19. NHPC expects the project to be completed by 2QFY24. Company expects the project to be commissioned in FY22 (unchanged). Capex run- rate, on the other hand, is expected to increase as the company is investing/ exploring new projects. in prior quarter numbers Management has noted that work on Subansiri project has resumed and the project is expected to be completed by 2QFY24. The tender for Power house is yet to be awarded and company is in the process The project requires a tunnel of 31km, of this, 2.5km is yet to be completed and NHPC expects the project to be commissioned in FY22. Company expects the project to be completed in 5 years time.

NHPC Ltd. has an average target of 126.00 from 2 brokers.

NHPC Ltd.

14 Aug 2019, 12:00AM

84.20

-0.24%

Higher generation drives earnings

Neutral: NHPC Ltd.

Motilal Oswal

The NGT has given a favorable order for the Lower Subansiri (2,000MW) project clearing the last legal hurdle for re-starting the project. According to the management, local people have been supportive of the various CSR initiatives undertaken by the company over the years. It expects to restart fullscale construction after the monsoon season. With clarity on the project, it has resumed capitalizing expenses (stopped w.e.f. 2QFY19) on the project....

Number of FII/FPI investors increased from 584 to 590 in Dec 2024 qtr.

NHPC Ltd.

30 May 2019

84.20

-0.24%

Higher operating cost drives a miss

Neutral: NHPC Ltd.

Recommendation Target

Motilal Oswal

Earnings growth muted, capex run-rate increasing; Maintain Neutral Standalone (S/A) adj. PAT of INR36m in 4QFY19 was below our estimate of INR1.6b due to higher-than-expected operating cost. This also implies a sharp fall from INR1.9b in 4QFY18, particularly because the company no longer capitalizes expenses (as part of regulatory deferral account) for the Lower Subhansiri power...

NHPC Ltd. has an average target of 126.00 from 2 brokers.

NHPC Ltd.

21 Nov 2018

84.20

-0.24%

Powered by generation growth and weak base

Buy: NHPC Ltd.

Motilal Oswal

21 November 2018 NHPCs many recently commissioned projects are still not contributing to PAT. Kishanganga 330MW is breaking even at PAT, pending final approval of tariff order. Parbati-3 has been commercialized, and 2 units of 200MW of Prabati-2 have been commissioned but full revenue recognition will be post completion NHPCs standalone (S/A) PAT increased 20% YoY to INR12.2b in 2QFY19, led by generation growth of 11% (aided by commercialization of the 50MW solar unit in Mar18), the resumption of TLDP-3&4 and the absence of revenue reversal for Parbati-3, partly offset by lower other income and regulatory revenue. NHPC has stopped recognizing regulatory revenue against the Lower Subhanshari project, which has been stalled since Dec11. This will drag PBT by INR1.1b every quarter until the project is restarted. Renewable energy projects have contributed PBT of INR217m in 1HFY19. We lower FY19/20E PAT by 7/12% to ~INR23.4b/27.4b, primary due to the loss of regulatory revenue from the Lower Subhanshari project. We expect under-recoveries to reduce in FY20 on approval of pending final tariff for five projects and pass-through of wage hike in new regulation 2019-24.

NHPC Ltd. has an average target of 126.00 from 2 brokers.

NHPC Ltd.

06 Sep 2018

84.20

-0.24%

Core PAT up 19 %; one-offs impacted reported PAT

Buy: NHPC Ltd.

Target

Motilal Oswal

6 September 2018 NHPCs consolidated PAT declined ~17% YoY to INR25b in FY18. It was impacted periods revenue reversal at Parbati-III U-IV plant; (b) lower other income due to lower treasury and lower late-payment surcharge income; and (c) lower Stripping out the other income, prior-period items, one-offs and shutdown impact, the standalone (S/A) generation PAT grew by a healthy 19% YoY (Exhibit 1) even as regulated equity remained unchanged. Core (i.e. generation business) RoE on regulated equity increased ~200bp YoY to ~15%. We calculate O&M; under-recovery reduced on lower cost (Exhibit 2) and with a normative annual increase in O&M; allowance. Standalone (S/A) debtor days continue to improve, down to 67 days in FY18 from 75 days in FY17, and with a peak of 141 days in FY13, releasing INR5.8b. But INR5.4b payment to a contractor under arbitration offset this benefit. Cash capex was INR15.3b while the rest was allocation of cost through P&L;.

NHPC Ltd. is trading above its 150 day SMA of 82.5

NHPC Ltd.

04 Jun 2018

84.20

-0.24%

Sh utdowns, weather impact FY18 performance

Buy: NHPC Ltd.

Motilal Oswal

4 June 2018 INR1.7b), boosted by late payment surcharge income of INR1.5b, but partly offset by 32% YoY decline in incentive income to INR1b. Generation declined 35% YoY to 2.16BU due to hydrology. For FY18, S/A PAT was down ~1% YoY to INR27.5b. Higher dividend income from subsidiaries was offset by revenue reversal at Parbati-III Unit-IV and shutdown at TLDP. O&M; under-recovery reduced by ~INR1b on lower employee and other expenses. S/A regulated equity increased 0.6% YoY to INR109b. Generation declined 1% YoY to 22.9BU in FY18. Consolidated PAT declined 17% to INR25b due to lower other income (less liquid surplus and lower later payment surcharge) and ~40% decline in PAT at NHDC subsidiary (~51% stake) due to lower generation. Kishanganga 330MW was commissioned in May 2018.

NHPC Ltd. has an average target of 126.00 from 2 brokers.

NHPC Ltd.

04 Jun 2018

84.20

-0.24%

Generation declined by 34.5% yoy to 2.2bn units, while blended realization was up 7.5% yo...

Accumulate: NHPC Ltd.

Recommendation Target

Emkay

NHPC achieved CoD of 330MW Kishanganga project in April'18, but Parbati II (4x200MW) capacity is now expected to be commercialized only by FY21E-22E. Final report on Subansiri by MoEF has been kept reserved as the NGT is yet to decide whether the project is to be appraised through the current committee or form a new committee. We have cut our earnings estimates by 8.6%/14.9% for FY19E/20E to factor in delay in the commercialization of Parbati II project. Accordingly, we cut our SOTP-based Target Price (TP) to Rs31 v/s Rs34.6 earlier. We...

NHPC Ltd. is trading above its 150 day SMA of 82.5

Is NHPC Ltd. worth buying?

1826 Votes:

Buy 78.53%

Sell 9.2%

Hold 12.27%

RESEARCH REPORTS

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