Apollo Tyres Ltd. share price target

Apollo Tyres Limited manufactures tires and tubes for cars, trucks, farm equipment, and light commercial vehicles. The company markets its products with two global brands: Apollo and Vredestein in APMEA (Asia...

YTD FY22 Product Mix: Truck & Bus (43%), PV (34%), Farm & Off Highway (12%), Light Truck (6%), Others (6%). YTD FY22 Channel Mix: Replacement (81%), OEM (19%)....

Expected India CV cyclical rebound, higher radialisation levels, pent up demand in PV and network expansion to be major topline drivers. We expect India-led 16.9% FY21-23E net sales CAGR Higher cost competitiveness post Dutch plant specialisation, Europe mix...

Consolidated performance: Revenue grew 18% YoY (11% QoQ) to INR50.8b (v/s est. INR48.7b). EBITDA declined 10% YoY (+13% QoQ) to INR6.4b (v/s est. INR6.6b). Adj PAT grew 37% YoY/QoQ to INR 1.77b (v/s est. INR1.8b). Standalone revenue growth was strong at 25% YoY (13% QoQ) to INR36.5b (v/s INR33.8b), driven by 13% volume growth. The gross margin declined 160bp QoQ (9.7pp YoY) to 32.6% (v/s est. 35%), impacted by higher-than-estimated cost inflation. The EBITDA margin declined 8.6pp YoY (-10bp QoQ) to 10.3% (v/s est. 11.7%). Adj PAT declined...

Apollo Tyres Limited manufactures tires and tubes for cars, trucks, farm equipment, and light commercial vehicles. The company markets its products with two global brands: Apollo and Vredestein in APMEA (Asia...

Q1 revenue in line but EBITDA margin disappoints at 12.4% due to gross margin pressure and lower operating efficiency

On the margin front, ATL said that Europe margins achieved in H2FY21 (~15%) are sustainable, with Dutch plant specialisation holding the key to future performance. The company seeks to reduce raw material consumption by ~5-7% on like-to-like basis over the next five years, with production ramp up set to deliver operating leverage benefits across geographies, going forward. ATL is exploring organisation-wide capacity de-bottlenecking opportunities as a means to improve efficiencies. In order to meet revenue target, a fresh round of PCR and TBR expansion would be...

Performance at the gross margin level in Q4FY21 surprised us positively. As against our expectation of 360 bps QoQ contraction on account of sharp increase in prices of key inputs over the past few months, the deterioration was limited to 240 bps. ATL undertook a price hike of 4.5% in India replacement segment in H2FY21. Going forward, we believe margins at the blended level would face pressures in the form of ongoing commodity cost escalation and dip in India channel mix (sales to OEMs set to grow faster than sales to aftermarket). However, completion of Dutch plant...