Honeywell Automation India Ltd. share price target

Honeywell’s Q3FY2025 revenue and profitability were lower than estimates. Net revenue was barely up by 2% y-o-y due to weak execution and accounting treatment change, which adversely affected the company.

Honeywell’s Q2FY2025 numbers saw a miss on estimates on all fronts, impacted by
weak execution, softer demand, and accounting treatment change.

Honeywell Automation India’s (HAIL) Q1FY24 reported revenue grew 19% YoY at INR 9.3 (one of the highest in many quarters except Q3FY23), led by pick up in execution. However, EBITDA was impacted (flat) on account of a decline in margin by 260bps YoY at 12.9%. PAT was flat YoY at INR 1bn, mainly due to muted EBITDA performance.

Honeywell Automation India’s (HAIL) Q4FY23 revenues at Rs8.5bn (up 27% YoY, down 16% QoQ) marginally exceeded our estimate of Rs8.1bn. EBITDA was up 59% YoY to Rs1.4bn. EBITDA margin, at 16.3% (up 327bps YoY), was higher than our estimate due to 91bps YoY improvement in gross margin and positive operating leverage.

Honeywell Automation India’s (HAIL) Q3FY23 revenues at Rs10bn (up 18% YoY, 28% QoQ) exceeded our estimate of Rs9bn. EBITDA increased 7% YoY to Rs1.3bn. EBITDA margin, at 12.8% (down 136bps YoY), was below our estimate due to 640bps YoY decline in gross margin.

Honeywell Automation India’s (HAIL) performance in Q2FY23 was in line with our
estimates. Revenue increased 7.7% YoY and was flat QoQ at Rs7.9bn (ISECe Rs8.1bn).

Honeywell Automation India’s (HAIL) performance in Q1FY23 was ahead of our estimates.

We maintain a Buy rating on Honeywell Automation India with a revised price target of Rs. 44,312, rolling forward our valuation multiple to FY2023E. Management expects FY2021 performance to be better than FY2020, backed by execution capabilities and growing demand for industrial automation and software solutions. Company likely to benefit from domestic growth, driven by rising technological capabilities...

est.). However, lower tax expenses (19% yoy) negated the impactofdecreaseinotherincomepartially.Taxratestoodat 25.7% vs 27.8% in Q2FY20. PAT marginal beat (+4% vs our...