Varun Beverages Ltd. share price target

Varun Beverages reported revenues at | 2810.5 crore, up 36.5%, led by 43.3% overall volume growth on the back of acquisition of south and west sub-territories from PepsiCo that contributed for two months in the quarter. The India organic volume growth of 18.5% has been led by extended summer and the peak season demand. International volume growth of 34.2% on account of healthy growth in Morocco and Zimbabwe. Despite the integration of low margin South & West territories, EBITDA increased 37.1% to | 787.8 crore and the company has been able to maintain its operating...

Varun Beverages (VBL) made an announcement on bonus shares on June 17, 2019. The ratio was one bonus share for every two equity shares i.e. 1:2. The record date for the same is July 27, 2019 while the ex-date for the same is today i.e. July 25, 2019. Consequently, Varun Beverages' share price, as per yesterday's closing price, has adjusted to | 600/share from | 900/share....

Net Revenues grew 24% YoY to `1359crs. led by robust volume growth of 12.3%. EBITDA grew by 27% YoY to `218crs while EBITDA margins expanded by 30bps to16.1%. PAT for Q1CY19 increased by 103% YoY to `40crs. VBL now accounts for ~80%+ of PepsiCo India's beverage sales in India from 51% earlier. The company has also expanded its presence...

VBL has been delivering robust volume growth aided by territory acquisition and distribution rights for Tropicana. Non-carbonated (NCD) and bottled water segments now contributes more than 29% of total volumes vs. <15% share in CY16. In CY18, sales volume for Tropicana juices grew 57% YoY and contributed ~6% to total sales volumes. With the launch of NCB's like Masala Nimbooz, Tropicana Fruitz, 7 Up Revive & Sting, VBL can establish its leadership position in the NCD segment, going forward. VBL's ongoing capex plan of | 450 crore for the production of both Tropicana and Gatorade...

Varun Beverages Ltd. declared its Q4CY18 results recently. Net Revenues grew by 49% YoY to `786crs. led by robust volume growth of 40%. EBITDA for Q4CY18 grew by 46% on a YoY basis to `48crs. Margins merely contracted by 10bps to 6.1%. Net loss for Q4CY18 decreased by 1.7% YoY to `71.5 crs. VBL now account for 80%+ of PepsiCo India's...

Revenues witnessed growth of 49% to | 785.6 crore (I-direct estimate | 600.1 crore) led by 39.4% volume growth and 10% realisation increase mainly due to a change in product mix in favour of juices. Volume growth was led by aggressive territory acquisition in MP, Odisha, Bihar and Jharkhand in previous year. The organic volume growth in India was 28% during the quarter Operating profit more than doubled from | 22.5 crore to | 47.8 crore (I-direct estimate: | 35.2 crore) in Q4. Operating margins...

The new territories are in South and West regions and should generate superior ROCEs due to better seasonality. The deal size is Rs18bn, valuing the acquiring business at 1x EV/Sales and 4.5x EV/EBITDA on a 1-year forward basis. VBL plans to raise new equity capital to partly fund the deal. We have not factored this into our forecasts as we await further details. The deal is expected to be EPS-accretive by CY20. We expect ROE to rise to 19.5% in CY20 from 15% in CY18. In our view, VBL should command valuations similar to other consumer franchise...

Varun Beverages Ltd. declared its Q3CY18 results recently. Net Revenues grew by 21% YoY to `1166crs. led by robust volume growth of 17.2%. EBITDA for Q3CY18 grew by 13.9% on a YOY basis to `211.3crs. Margins contracted by 110bps to 18.1%. PAT for Q3CY18...

ICICI Securities Ltd | Retail Equity Research Revenues witnessed a growth of 21% to | 1165.7 crore (I-direct estimate: | 1127.3 crore) led by 17.2% volume growth mainly on the back of territory acquisition in MP, Odisha, Bihar and Jharkhand...